2025年的聚合物氣盤是出現的嗎？

在加密貨幣中，人們唯一愛的比野生價格波動是一個很好的老式氣盤。免費令牌？是的，請。

In the realm of crypto, few things are discussed with as much passion as wild price swings—and perhaps, good old-fashioned airdrops. Free tokens? Yes, please. But in a world full of rumors, farming strategies, and scammy “claim here” links, figuring out which airdrops are real (and how to qualify) can feel like predicting the weather with a magic 8-ball.

在加密貨幣的領域中，很少有人能像野生價格波動那樣激情，也許是好的老式的氣滴。免費令牌？是的，請。但是，在一個充滿謠言，農業策略和騙子的“在這裡聲稱”鏈接的世界中，弄清楚哪些氣滴是真實的（以及如何符合條件）可以感覺就像用魔術8球預測天氣。

Lately, one project has everyone’s attention: Polymarket, the prediction platform where users bet on real-world events using USDC. And yet, despite billions in volume and some very big-name backers, it still hasn’t launched a native token.

最近，一個項目引起了所有人的注意：PolyMarket，這是一個預測平台，用戶使用USDC下注現實世界事件。然而，儘管數十億美元和一些非常名的支持者，但它仍然沒有推出本地令牌。

That’s got the crypto community wondering: Is a Polymarket airdrop coming in 2025?

這讓加密貨幣社區想知道：2025年的多聚市場氣盤會出現嗎？

Let me make it clear: Polymarket has not launched a token, and no airdrop has been officially announced. But just because it’s not been officially announced, doesn’t mean it can’t happen.

讓我明確說明：Polymarket尚未推出令牌，也沒有正式宣布空調。但是，僅僅因為它沒有正式宣布，並不意味著它不會發生。

In this article, I’ll break down what we know so far—the facts, the speculation, the hints from Polymarket itself. I’ll also cover what you can do (if anything) to position yourself, just in case this becomes the next big drop.

在本文中，我將分解我們到目前為止所知道的 - 事實，猜測，來自Polymarket本身的提示。我還將介紹您可以做的事情（如果有的話）來定位自己，以防萬一這成為下一個大滴。

Key highlights:

關鍵亮點：

What is Polymarket, and why are people talking about it?

什麼是多聚市場，為什麼人們在談論它？

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market where users can place bets on real-world events. These can include anything from elections and sports games to crypto trends and pop culture moments.

Polymarket是一個分散的預測市場，用戶可以在現實世界中下注。這些都可以包括從選舉和體育遊戲到加密趨勢和流行文化時刻的任何內容。

However, instead of gambling with random tokens, everything runs on USDC, a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar. So your winnings don’t swing with the market. Since launching in 2020, Polymarket has absolutely taken off. The platform saw over $3.6 billion wagered during the 2024 U.S. election cycle alone, and it’s been backed by serious heavyweights like Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund and Vitalik Buterin. That’s a lot of action for a platform that—and here’s the key thing—doesn’t even have its own token.

但是，與其具有隨機令牌的賭博，不如在USDC上運行，這是一個與美元掛鉤的穩定者。因此，您的獎金不會隨市場發展。自2020年推出以來，Polymarket絕對起飛。僅在2024年的美國選舉週期中，該平台就會出現超過36億美元的押注，並得到了彼得·泰爾（Peter Thiel）的創始人基金會和維塔利克·布特林（Vitalik Buterin）等嚴重的重量級人物的支持。對於一個平台而言，這是很多動作，這是關鍵的事情，甚至沒有自己的令牌。

And that’s where the chatter starts.

這就是chat不休的地方。

In DeFi, a platform this big not launching a token is like a pizza place opening with no cheese. People start asking questions. And the biggest one right now is: “When is Polymarket dropping its token, and how can I get in?”

在Defi中，一個不發射令牌的平台就像一個沒有奶酪的披薩店開口。人們開始問問題。現在最大的一個是：“何時拋棄它的令牌，我該如何進入？”

The official status: No token (so far)

官方身份：沒有令牌（到目前為止）

As exciting as the rumors are, the facts matter. This is especially important now that scammers are targeting hopeful users.

儘管謠言令人興奮，但事實很重要。現在，騙子將希望的用戶瞄準，這一點尤其重要。

If you check Polymarket’s own FAQ, the message is loud and clear. There’s no token, no plans officially announced, and no magic “claim” button hiding in the shadows.

如果您查看Polymarket自己的常見問題解答，則消息很大且清晰。沒有令牌，沒有正式宣布的計劃，也沒有隱藏在陰影中的魔術“主張”按鈕。

The team has gone out of its way to warn users about fake crypto airdrops circulating on social media and phishing sites. In other words, if someone sends you a link saying you can claim your “POLY” tokens today, run.

該團隊已竭盡全力警告用戶關於在社交媒體和網絡釣魚網站上流傳的假加密駕駛。換句話說，如果有人向您發送鏈接，說您可以立即要求“ poly”令牌。

Polymarket has offered USDC-based incentives in the past, but those were part of liquidity campaigns and rewards for platform use. They were not connected to any token launch or airdrop.

Polymarket過去曾提供基於USDC的激勵措施，但這是流動性活動和平台使用獎勵的一部分。他們沒有連接到任何令牌發射或空投。

Why does this matter? Because the crypto world moves fast, and hype travels even faster. Without official confirmation, any airdrop chatter is still speculation, no matter how convincing it sounds.

為什麼這很重要？因為加密世界的移動速度很快，炒作的行駛速度甚至更快。沒有官方的確認，無論聽起來多麼令人信服，任何氣盤聊天仍然是猜測。

And in a space full of copycat scams, staying cautious can save you from losing funds to a fake claim page.

在充滿模仿騙局的空間中，保持謹慎的態度可以使您免於損失資金到假索賠頁面。

The rumors

謠言

Funding rounds and teasers

資金回合和預告片

While Polymarket hasn’t confirmed anything, the signs are stacking up. The community is paying attention.

雖然Polymarket尚未確認任何東西，但這些標誌正在堆疊。社區正在關注。

In late 2024, reports surfaced that Polymarket was raising another $50 million in funding. According to sources cited by CoinDesk, the new investors might receive warrants to buy tokens if Polymarket ever launches one.

2024年下半年，有報導稱Polmarket又籌集了5000萬美元的資金。據Coindesk引用的消息人士稱，如果Polymarket推出了一個，新投資者可能會收到購買令牌。

That detail alone set off alarms across the crypto world. After all, it wouldn’t be the first time a project quietly lined up token plans behind the scenes, only to drop an airdrop months later.

僅此細節就引發了加密貨幣世界的警報。畢竟，這並不是第一次在幕後靜靜地排隊的象徵計劃，而只是在幾個月後放下氣盤。

Add to that Polymarket’s earlier success. Back in May 2024, it raised $45 million in a round led by Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, with participation from none other than Vitalik Buterin. That kind of backing almost always comes with the expectation of a token down the road.

加上該聚合物的早期成功。早在2024年5月，它在彼得·泰爾（Peter Thiel）的創始人基金會領導的一輪中籌集了4,500萬美元，除了維塔利克·布特林（Vitalik Buterin）之外，還參與其中。這種支持幾乎總是帶來對路線上的象徵性的期望。

Then came the most talked-about clue of all. During the 2024 election markets, some users reported seeing a message when claiming their USDC winnings. It reads “We predict future drops.”

然後是所有人最容易說話的線索。在2024年的選舉市場中，一些用戶報告說，在聲稱其USDC獎金時會看到一條消息。它寫著“我們預測未來的下降”。

That phrase spread quickly. It was clever, sure, but it wasn’t just wordplay. Many users saw it as a signal from the Polymarket team. It felt like a nod, maybe even a wink, to those who stuck around and kept trading. The

該短語迅速傳播。當然，這很聰明，但這不僅僅是文字遊戲。許多用戶將其視為來自Polymarket團隊的信號。對於那些堅持不懈並繼續交易的人來說，這感覺就像是點頭，甚至是眨眼。這