2025年的聚合物气盘是出现的吗？

在加密货币中，人们唯一爱的比野生价格波动是一个很好的老式气盘。免费令牌？是的，请。

In the realm of crypto, few things are discussed with as much passion as wild price swings—and perhaps, good old-fashioned airdrops. Free tokens? Yes, please. But in a world full of rumors, farming strategies, and scammy “claim here” links, figuring out which airdrops are real (and how to qualify) can feel like predicting the weather with a magic 8-ball.

在加密货币的领域中，很少有人能像野生价格波动那样激情，也许是好的老式的气滴。免费令牌？是的，请。但是，在一个充满谣言，农业策略和骗子的“在这里声称”链接的世界中，弄清楚哪些气滴是真实的（以及如何符合条件）可以感觉就像用魔术8球预测天气。

Lately, one project has everyone’s attention: Polymarket, the prediction platform where users bet on real-world events using USDC. And yet, despite billions in volume and some very big-name backers, it still hasn’t launched a native token.

最近，一个项目引起了所有人的注意：PolyMarket，这是一个预测平台，用户使用USDC下注现实世界事件。然而，尽管数十亿美元和一些非常名的支持者，但它仍然没有推出本地令牌。

That’s got the crypto community wondering: Is a Polymarket airdrop coming in 2025?

这让加密货币社区想知道：2025年的多聚市场气盘会出现吗？

Let me make it clear: Polymarket has not launched a token, and no airdrop has been officially announced. But just because it’s not been officially announced, doesn’t mean it can’t happen.

让我明确说明：Polymarket尚未推出令牌，也没有正式宣布空调。但是，仅仅因为它没有正式宣布，并不意味着它不会发生。

In this article, I’ll break down what we know so far—the facts, the speculation, the hints from Polymarket itself. I’ll also cover what you can do (if anything) to position yourself, just in case this becomes the next big drop.

在本文中，我将分解我们到目前为止所知道的 - 事实，猜测，来自Polymarket本身的提示。我还将介绍您可以做的事情（如果有的话）来定位自己，以防万一这成为下一个大滴。

Key highlights:

关键亮点：

What is Polymarket, and why are people talking about it?

什么是多聚市场，为什么人们在谈论它？

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market where users can place bets on real-world events. These can include anything from elections and sports games to crypto trends and pop culture moments.

Polymarket是一个分散的预测市场，用户可以在现实世界中下注。这些都可以包括从选举和体育游戏到加密趋势和流行文化时刻的任何内容。

However, instead of gambling with random tokens, everything runs on USDC, a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar. So your winnings don’t swing with the market. Since launching in 2020, Polymarket has absolutely taken off. The platform saw over $3.6 billion wagered during the 2024 U.S. election cycle alone, and it’s been backed by serious heavyweights like Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund and Vitalik Buterin. That’s a lot of action for a platform that—and here’s the key thing—doesn’t even have its own token.

但是，与其具有随机令牌的赌博，不如在USDC上运行，这是一个与美元挂钩的稳定者。因此，您的奖金不会随市场发展。自2020年推出以来，Polymarket绝对起飞。仅在2024年的美国选举周期中，该平台就会出现超过36亿美元的押注，并得到了彼得·泰尔（Peter Thiel）的创始人基金会和维塔利克·布特林（Vitalik Buterin）等严重的重量级人物的支持。对于一个平台而言，这是很多动作，这是关键的事情，甚至没有自己的令牌。

And that’s where the chatter starts.

这就是chat不休的地方。

In DeFi, a platform this big not launching a token is like a pizza place opening with no cheese. People start asking questions. And the biggest one right now is: “When is Polymarket dropping its token, and how can I get in?”

在Defi中，一个不发射令牌的平台就像一个没有奶酪的披萨店开口。人们开始问问题。现在最大的一个是：“何时抛弃它的令牌，我该如何进入？”

The official status: No token (so far)

官方身份：没有令牌（到目前为止）

As exciting as the rumors are, the facts matter. This is especially important now that scammers are targeting hopeful users.

尽管谣言令人兴奋，但事实很重要。现在，骗子将希望的用户瞄准，这一点尤其重要。

If you check Polymarket’s own FAQ, the message is loud and clear. There’s no token, no plans officially announced, and no magic “claim” button hiding in the shadows.

如果您查看Polymarket自己的常见问题解答，则消息很大且清晰。没有令牌，没有正式宣布的计划，也没有隐藏在阴影中的魔术“主张”按钮。

The team has gone out of its way to warn users about fake crypto airdrops circulating on social media and phishing sites. In other words, if someone sends you a link saying you can claim your “POLY” tokens today, run.

该团队已竭尽全力警告用户关于在社交媒体和网络钓鱼网站上流传的假加密驾驶。换句话说，如果有人向您发送链接，说您可以立即要求“ poly”令牌。

Polymarket has offered USDC-based incentives in the past, but those were part of liquidity campaigns and rewards for platform use. They were not connected to any token launch or airdrop.

Polymarket过去曾提供基于USDC的激励措施，但这是流动性活动和平台使用奖励的一部分。他们没有连接到任何令牌发射或空投。

Why does this matter? Because the crypto world moves fast, and hype travels even faster. Without official confirmation, any airdrop chatter is still speculation, no matter how convincing it sounds.

为什么这很重要？因为加密世界的移动速度很快，炒作的行驶速度甚至更快。没有官方的确认，无论听起来多么令人信服，任何气盘聊天仍然是猜测。

And in a space full of copycat scams, staying cautious can save you from losing funds to a fake claim page.

在充满模仿骗局的空间中，保持谨慎的态度可以使您免于损失资金到假索赔页面。

The rumors

谣言

Funding rounds and teasers

资金回合和预告片

While Polymarket hasn’t confirmed anything, the signs are stacking up. The community is paying attention.

虽然Polymarket尚未确认任何东西，但这些标志正在堆叠。社区正在关注。

In late 2024, reports surfaced that Polymarket was raising another $50 million in funding. According to sources cited by CoinDesk, the new investors might receive warrants to buy tokens if Polymarket ever launches one.

2024年下半年，有报道称Polmarket又筹集了5000万美元的资金。据Coindesk引用的消息人士称，如果Polymarket推出了一个，新投资者可能会收到购买令牌。

That detail alone set off alarms across the crypto world. After all, it wouldn’t be the first time a project quietly lined up token plans behind the scenes, only to drop an airdrop months later.

仅此细节就引发了加密货币世界的警报。毕竟，这并不是第一次在幕后静静地排队的象征计划，而只是在几个月后放下气盘。

Add to that Polymarket’s earlier success. Back in May 2024, it raised $45 million in a round led by Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, with participation from none other than Vitalik Buterin. That kind of backing almost always comes with the expectation of a token down the road.

加上该聚合物的早期成功。早在2024年5月，它在彼得·泰尔（Peter Thiel）的创始人基金会领导的一轮中筹集了4,500万美元，除了维塔利克·布特林（Vitalik Buterin）之外，还参与其中。这种支持几乎总是带来对路线上的象征性的期望。

Then came the most talked-about clue of all. During the 2024 election markets, some users reported seeing a message when claiming their USDC winnings. It reads “We predict future drops.”

然后是所有人最容易说话的线索。在2024年的选举市场中，一些用户报告说，在声称其USDC奖金时会看到一条消息。它写着“我们预测未来的下降”。

That phrase spread quickly. It was clever, sure, but it wasn’t just wordplay. Many users saw it as a signal from the Polymarket team. It felt like a nod, maybe even a wink, to those who stuck around and kept trading. The

该短语迅速传播。当然，这很聪明，但这不仅仅是文字游戏。许多用户将其视为来自Polymarket团队的信号。对于那些坚持不懈并继续交易的人来说，这感觉就像是点头，甚至是眨眼。这