POLKADOT（DOT）2025年的價格預測：此Web3超級計算機硬幣100X可以嗎？

加密貨幣最近一直在波動。這是2025年3月對加密貨幣進行任何認真分析的不可預測的背景。

Cryptocurrencies have been volatile affairs lately.

加密貨幣最近是波動的事務。

That's the unpredictable backdrop to any serious analysis of cryptocurrencies in March 2025. The election drove many coins sky-high, as investors hoped for dramatically more crypto-friendly policies under the Trump administration. But the new team hasn't actually offered much support to crypto owners so far, which explains the swooning price charts in recent weeks.

這是2025年3月對加密貨幣進行任何認真分析的不可預測的背景。選舉驅動了許多硬幣高空，因為投資者希望在特朗普政府執政下更加友好地對加密貨幣友好的政策。但是，到目前為止，新團隊實際上還沒有為加密貨幣所有者提供太多支持，這解釋了最近幾週的價格表。

On that note, let's talk about Polkadot (CRYPTO:DOT). The official cryptocurrency of the Web3 Foundation saw impressive gains in November and early December, but lost nearly all of it since hitting that multi-year summit. Today, it's trading at $4.40 per coin and has gained a meager 0.4% in six months.

在這一點上，讓我們談談Polkadot（加密：DOT）。 Web3基金會的官方加密貨幣在11月和12月初取得了令人印象深刻的收益，但自召開多年峰會以來，幾乎所有這些都失去了一切。如今，它的交易價格為每枚硬幣4.40美元，在六個月內增值0.4％。

Polkadot Price Data by YCharts

YCHARTS的Polkadot價格數據

In a broader view, Polkadot has underperformed the S&P 500 (GSPC -0.46%) stock market index in the past five years. That's a unique result among the cryptos mentioned above. Is the Web3 coin sliding into irrelevance, or should you buy Polkadot hand over fist while it's priced below $5?

從更廣泛的角度來看，Polkadot在過去五年中的表現不足，表現不佳（GSPC -0.46％）股市指數。這是上面提到的加密貨幣的獨特結果。 Web3硬幣是無關緊要的，還是在價格低於5美元的情況下購買Polkadot拳頭？

What can you do with the new Polkadot platform?

您可以使用新的Polkadot平台做什麼？

Polkadot is going through dramatic changes to its technical platform. Formerly billed as a cross-chain specialist that could help app developers build programs with the best features from many different blockchains, Polkadot is emerging as a heavy-duty computing system in 2025.

Polkadot正在對其技術平台進行巨大變化。 Polkadot以前被稱為跨鏈專家，可以幫助應用程序開發人員構建具有許多不同區塊鏈功能的最佳功能的程序，Polkadot在2025年成為一種重型計算系統。

I'm not kidding. Polkadot founder (and Ethereum co-founder) Gavin Wood has grand ambitions for the revamped virtual machine at the heart of Polkadot's smart contract execution system. The so-called JAM protocol (short for Join Accumulate Machine) will soon become Polkadot's main blockchain network. Wood calls it "the first real Web3 supercomputer" in the long run.

我不是在開玩笑。 Polkadot的創始人（和以太坊聯合創始人）Gavin Wood在Polkadot的智能合同執行系統的核心中對經過改建的虛擬機具有宏偉的野心。所謂的JAM協議（JOIN累積機器的簡稱）將很快成為Polkadot的主要區塊鍊網絡。從長遠來看，伍德稱其為“第一個真正的Web3超級計算機”。

Most smart contract platforms provide a limited set of computing tools. In theory, Polkadot can run any code that will compile for a RISC-V processor. This hardware architecture is an open-source alternative to popular solutions like Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) x86 processor base or the ARM (NASDAQ:ARM) designs found in everything from smartwatches to data center monster systems nowadays.

大多數智能合約平台都提供有限的計算工具。從理論上講，Polkadot可以運行將為RISC-V處理器編譯的任何代碼。該硬件體系結構是英特爾（NASDAQ：INTC）X86處理器基礎或ARM（NASDAQ：ARM）設計等流行解決方案的開源替代品，從智能手錶到數據中心怪物系統。

The fully functional high-performance version of Wood's JAM vision isn't here quite yet, but the backing group has provided some tantalizing live demos. Speaking at Shanghai's Fudan University in February, Gavin Wood ran the classic first-person shooter game Doom in the form of a compiled smart contract on the Polkadot blockchain. The game didn't require any special code tweaks and looked as antiquely smooth as ever. Then he explained that Doom wasn't much of a strain on the Polkadot execution system, and each one of its roughly 300 validation nodes could probably run 20 of these demonstrations at full speed.

伍德的果醬視覺的功能齊全的高性能版本尚不在這裡，但是後備小組提供了一些誘人的現場演示。加文·伍德（Gavin Wood）在2月在上海的福丹大學（Fudan University）發表講話時，以波爾卡多區塊鏈上的智能合約的形式進行了經典的第一人稱射擊遊戲末日末日。該遊戲不需要任何特殊的代碼調整，看起來像以往一樣流暢。然後他解釋說，毀滅戰士對Polkadot執行系統的壓力不大，其大約300個驗證節點中的每一個都可能全速運行20個這些演示。

So maybe it's not that impressive to show a game written for 1993-era Pentium processors, but this was just an early demonstration of what's to come. A few years from now, a more robust Polkadot JAM system could indeed shoulder the type of heavy-duty cloud computing you normally see Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Web Services and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Azure handle in 2025.

因此，展示為1993年的奔騰處理器寫的遊戲並不令人印象深刻，但這只是對即將發生的事情的早期展示。從現在開始的幾年後，更強大的Polkadot果醬系統確實可以掩蓋您通常會看到亞馬遜（NASDAQ：AMZN）Web Services和Microsoft（NASDAQ：MSFT）Azure手柄的重型雲計算的類型。

Polkadot's bold ambitions may turn into big wins

波爾卡多的大膽野心可能會變成重大勝利

Polkadot's backers have big dreams and are taking concrete steps to achieve them. Smart contract veterans like Ethereum and Solana (CRYPTO:SOL) are also stepping up their contract execution speeds and general usability, but I don't see them exploring fully functional virtual machines like the JAM protocol.

Polkadot的支持者有巨大的夢想，並且正在採取具體步驟來實現它們。諸如以太坊和索拉納（Crypto：Sol）之類的智能合同退伍軍人也在提高其合同執行速度和一般可用性，但我看不到他們探索諸如JAM協議之類的功能齊全的虛擬機。

So Polkadot continues to lead the Web3 revolution from the front lines, and I can't wait to see what happens to the underlying cryptocurrency when the first real killer app emerges. Early contenders include the Brave web browser, Mythical Game group's NFL and soccer games, or the Neuroweb information-sharing platform. More likely, it's something I haven't even heard of yet.

因此，Polkadot繼續從前線領導Web3革命，我迫不及待地想看看當第一個真正的殺手應用出現時，基礎加密貨幣會發生什麼。早期的競爭者包括Brave Web瀏覽器，神話遊戲組的NFL和足球遊戲或Neuroweb信息共享平台。更有可能，這是我什至還沒有聽說過的。

The bottom line on Polkadot's potential

Polkadot潛力的底線

Long story short, Polkadot remains one of my favorite cryptocurrencies, despite its stalled price chart. On the upside, the low coin price could set early investors up for greater long-term returns, if and when the Web3 sea change comes in. And I don't know about you, but I think many parts of the online experience are ripe for disruption. Polkadot's Web3 supremacy looks nearly unstoppable.

長話短說，儘管價格表停滯，但Polkadot仍然是我最喜歡的加密貨幣之一。從好的方面來看，如果Web3 Sea Change出現了，那麼低硬幣價格可能會使早期投資者獲得更大的長期收益。我不知道您，但是我認為許多部分的在線體驗已經成熟了。 Polkadot的Web3至高無上看起來幾乎不可阻擋。