POLKADOT（DOT）2025年的价格预测：此Web3超级计算机硬币100X可以吗？

加密货币最近一直在波动。这是2025年3月对加密货币进行任何认真分析的不可预测的背景。

Cryptocurrencies have been volatile affairs lately.

加密货币最近是波动的事务。

That's the unpredictable backdrop to any serious analysis of cryptocurrencies in March 2025. The election drove many coins sky-high, as investors hoped for dramatically more crypto-friendly policies under the Trump administration. But the new team hasn't actually offered much support to crypto owners so far, which explains the swooning price charts in recent weeks.

这是2025年3月对加密货币进行任何认真分析的不可预测的背景。选举驱动了许多硬币高空，因为投资者希望在特朗普政府执政下更加友好地对加密货币友好的政策。但是，到目前为止，新团队实际上还没有为加密货币所有者提供太多支持，这解释了最近几周的价格表。

On that note, let's talk about Polkadot (CRYPTO:DOT). The official cryptocurrency of the Web3 Foundation saw impressive gains in November and early December, but lost nearly all of it since hitting that multi-year summit. Today, it's trading at $4.40 per coin and has gained a meager 0.4% in six months.

在这一点上，让我们谈谈Polkadot（加密：DOT）。 Web3基金会的官方加密货币在11月和12月初取得了令人印象深刻的收益，但自召开多年峰会以来，几乎所有这些都失去了一切。如今，它的交易价格为每枚硬币4.40美元，在六个月内增值0.4％。

Polkadot Price Data by YCharts

YCHARTS的Polkadot价格数据

In a broader view, Polkadot has underperformed the S&P 500 (GSPC -0.46%) stock market index in the past five years. That's a unique result among the cryptos mentioned above. Is the Web3 coin sliding into irrelevance, or should you buy Polkadot hand over fist while it's priced below $5?

从更广泛的角度来看，Polkadot在过去五年中的表现不足，表现不佳（GSPC -0.46％）股市指数。这是上面提到的加密货币的独特结果。 Web3硬币是无关紧要的，还是在价格低于5美元的情况下购买Polkadot拳头？

What can you do with the new Polkadot platform?

您可以使用新的Polkadot平台做什么？

Polkadot is going through dramatic changes to its technical platform. Formerly billed as a cross-chain specialist that could help app developers build programs with the best features from many different blockchains, Polkadot is emerging as a heavy-duty computing system in 2025.

Polkadot正在对其技术平台进行巨大变化。 Polkadot以前被称为跨链专家，可以帮助应用程序开发人员构建具有许多不同区块链功能的最佳功能的程序，Polkadot在2025年成为一种重型计算系统。

I'm not kidding. Polkadot founder (and Ethereum co-founder) Gavin Wood has grand ambitions for the revamped virtual machine at the heart of Polkadot's smart contract execution system. The so-called JAM protocol (short for Join Accumulate Machine) will soon become Polkadot's main blockchain network. Wood calls it "the first real Web3 supercomputer" in the long run.

我不是在开玩笑。 Polkadot的创始人（和以太坊联合创始人）Gavin Wood在Polkadot的智能合同执行系统的核心中对经过改建的虚拟机具有宏伟的野心。所谓的JAM协议（JOIN累积机器的简称）将很快成为Polkadot的主要区块链网络。从长远来看，伍德称其为“第一个真正的Web3超级计算机”。

Most smart contract platforms provide a limited set of computing tools. In theory, Polkadot can run any code that will compile for a RISC-V processor. This hardware architecture is an open-source alternative to popular solutions like Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) x86 processor base or the ARM (NASDAQ:ARM) designs found in everything from smartwatches to data center monster systems nowadays.

大多数智能合约平台都提供有限的计算工具。从理论上讲，Polkadot可以运行将为RISC-V处理器编译的任何代码。该硬件体系结构是英特尔（NASDAQ：INTC）X86处理器基础或ARM（NASDAQ：ARM）设计等流行解决方案的开源替代品，从智能手表到数据中心怪物系统。

The fully functional high-performance version of Wood's JAM vision isn't here quite yet, but the backing group has provided some tantalizing live demos. Speaking at Shanghai's Fudan University in February, Gavin Wood ran the classic first-person shooter game Doom in the form of a compiled smart contract on the Polkadot blockchain. The game didn't require any special code tweaks and looked as antiquely smooth as ever. Then he explained that Doom wasn't much of a strain on the Polkadot execution system, and each one of its roughly 300 validation nodes could probably run 20 of these demonstrations at full speed.

伍德的果酱视觉的功能齐全的高性能版本尚不在这里，但是后备小组提供了一些诱人的现场演示。加文·伍德（Gavin Wood）在2月在上海的福丹大学（Fudan University）发表讲话时，以波尔卡多区块链上的智能合约的形式进行了经典的第一人称射击游戏末日末日。该游戏不需要任何特殊的代码调整，看起来像以往一样流畅。然后他解释说，毁灭战士对Polkadot执行系统的压力不大，其大约300个验证节点中的每一个都可能全速运行20个这些演示。

So maybe it's not that impressive to show a game written for 1993-era Pentium processors, but this was just an early demonstration of what's to come. A few years from now, a more robust Polkadot JAM system could indeed shoulder the type of heavy-duty cloud computing you normally see Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Web Services and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Azure handle in 2025.

因此，展示为1993年的奔腾处理器写的游戏并不令人印象深刻，但这只是对即将发生的事情的早期展示。从现在开始的几年后，更强大的Polkadot果酱系统确实可以掩盖您通常会看到亚马逊（NASDAQ：AMZN）Web Services和Microsoft（NASDAQ：MSFT）Azure手柄的重型云计算的类型。

Polkadot's bold ambitions may turn into big wins

波尔卡多的大胆野心可能会变成重大胜利

Polkadot's backers have big dreams and are taking concrete steps to achieve them. Smart contract veterans like Ethereum and Solana (CRYPTO:SOL) are also stepping up their contract execution speeds and general usability, but I don't see them exploring fully functional virtual machines like the JAM protocol.

Polkadot的支持者有巨大的梦想，并且正在采取具体步骤来实现它们。诸如以太坊和索拉纳（Crypto：Sol）之类的智能合同退伍军人也在提高其合同执行速度和一般可用性，但我看不到他们探索诸如JAM协议之类的功能齐全的虚拟机。

So Polkadot continues to lead the Web3 revolution from the front lines, and I can't wait to see what happens to the underlying cryptocurrency when the first real killer app emerges. Early contenders include the Brave web browser, Mythical Game group's NFL and soccer games, or the Neuroweb information-sharing platform. More likely, it's something I haven't even heard of yet.

因此，Polkadot继续从前线领导Web3革命，我迫不及待地想看看当第一个真正的杀手应用出现时，基础加密货币会发生什么。早期的竞争者包括Brave Web浏览器，神话游戏组的NFL和足球游戏或Neuroweb信息共享平台。更有可能，这是我什至还没有听说过的。

The bottom line on Polkadot's potential

Polkadot潜力的底线

Long story short, Polkadot remains one of my favorite cryptocurrencies, despite its stalled price chart. On the upside, the low coin price could set early investors up for greater long-term returns, if and when the Web3 sea change comes in. And I don't know about you, but I think many parts of the online experience are ripe for disruption. Polkadot's Web3 supremacy looks nearly unstoppable.

长话短说，尽管价格表停滞，但Polkadot仍然是我最喜欢的加密货币之一。从好的方面来看，如果Web3 Sea Change出现了，那么低硬币价格可能会使早期投资者获得更大的长期收益。我不知道您，但是我认为许多部分的在线体验已经成熟了。 Polkadot的Web3至高无上看起来几乎不可阻挡。