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加密貨幣新聞文章

金屬重點的白金和鈀價格預測:鉑金到2025年平均$ 970/oz,比2024年增長1%

2025/06/12 19:28

5月19日發布了由Metals Focus出版的116頁白金集團金屬焦點2025年,由Metals Focus出版。

金屬重點的白金和鈀價格預測:鉑金到2025年平均$ 970/oz,比2024年增長1%

The 116-page Platinum Group Metals Focus 2025 published by Metals Focus, an independent precious metals consultancy headquartered in London, was released May 19.

5月19日發布了由Metals Focus出版的116頁白金集團金屬焦點2025年,由Metals Focus出版。

Metals Focus boasts 28 metals analysts across nine markets.

金屬重點是九個市場上的28位金屬分析師。

Metals Focus provides in-depth consulting services to mining companies, corporations, investment funds, central banks, financial institutions and governments based on its extensive precious metals research.

金屬重點根據其廣泛的貴金屬研究為礦業公司,公司,投資基金,中央銀行,金融機構和政府提供深入的諮詢服務。

Among the highlights noted in Platinum Group Metals Focus 2025:* Platinum: The platinum price is forecast to average $970 in 2025, up 1% over 2024, supported by deficits in supply, but limited by above-ground stocks.

在白金集團金屬重點焦點中指出的亮點中,2025年:*鉑金:鉑金價格預計到2025年的平均價格為970美元,在2024年增長了1%,受供應不足的支持,但受到地上股票的限制。

Palladium: Palladium is expected to fall 5% to $930, as its bearish longer-term outlook and automotive uncertainty will weigh on the metal.

鈀:預計鈀將下跌5%至930美元,因為其看跌的長期前景和汽車不確定性將對金屬進行壓力。

Rhodium: Rhodium is forecast to increase 8% to $5,000, supported by limited stocks.

若im愧:預計若i會增加8%至5,000美元,並得到有限股票的支持。

Iridium: Iridium is forecast to decline 14% to $4,100, reflecting a high base in 2024.

虹膜:預計Iridium將下降14%至4,100美元,反映了2024年的高基礎。

Ruthenium: Decade-high demand is expected to lift the ruthenium price 26% to $550.

丁森族:預計十年最高的需求將把弦丁價格提高26%,至550美元。

Platinum

According to the 116-page report, platinum mine supply rose 3% in 2024 to 5.77 million ounces, primarily based on work-in-process stockpiles in South Africa. South African output was boosted to 4.13 million ounces, the first time since 2021 that it has exceeded 4 million ounces.

根據116頁的報告,2024年白金礦山供應量增長了3%,達到577萬盎司,主要基於南非的製品庫存。南非的產出被增至413萬盎司,這是自2021年以來首次超過400萬盎司。

Production elsewhere fell 1%, driven by lower output from North American primary miners.

在其他地方的生產下降了1%,這是由於北美主要礦工的產量降低。

During 2024, platinum jewelry fabrication skyrocketed 9% to 2.01 million ounces — its highest level since 2019.

在2024年,白金珠寶製造飆升了9%至201萬盎司,這是自2019年以來的最高水平。

India was the key driver, with export-focused orders lifting local fabrication by 31%.

印度是主要的驅動力,以出口為重點的訂單將當地製造提高了31%。

Japan followed with the next largest gain, helped by gold’s high price, which boosted platinum’s market share.

日本隨後獲得了第二大收益,這是黃金高價的幫助,這增加了白金的市場份額。

“Western demand rose, also on the back of the record-wide platinum to gold discount,” according to the Metals Focus analysis.

根據《金屬重點分析》的說法,“西方需求也上升了,在唱片量均折價的背面也增加了金黃色的折扣。”

Physical investment in platinum plummeted 40% in 2024 to 194,000 ounces, “a 10-year low, on weak North American retail interest and further Japanese selling.”

2024年的體力投資在2024年至194,000盎司的40%下降,“低10年,低於北美零售利息和進一步的日本銷售。”

Exchange-traded funds rose 10% to 3.30 million ounces, bolstered as “platinum’s widening discount to gold underpinned renewed investor interest.”

交易所交易的資金上漲了10%至330萬盎司,以“鉑金對黃金的折扣擴大為基礎的新投資者利息的折扣”。

Palladium

In 2024, palladium mine supply crept up by less than 1% to 6.56 million ounces, supported by higher Russian processing, despite sanctions.

2024年,儘管進行了製裁,但在俄羅斯加工的支持下,鈀金礦的供應量增加了不到1%至656萬盎司。

Canada’s production dropped by 10% from the year before, “as lower prices forced miners to prioritize higher margin ounces,” according to the Metals Focus market analysis.

根據金屬的重點市場分析,加拿大的產量從前一年開始下降了10%,“由於較低的價格迫使礦工迫使礦工優先考慮更高的利潤率”。

In 2024, total palladium demand slipped 4% to 9.75 million ounces, driven primarily by a decline in automotive demand, which accounted for 83% of the total.

2024年,鈀總需求的總需求下滑了4%至975萬盎司,這主要是由於汽車需求下降的驅動,佔總數的83​​%。

Jewelry demand for palladium rose by 1% in 2024 to 235,000 ounces, a five-year high although this still made up just 2% of total palladium demand. Japan led these gains, with increased use of palladium in platinum alloys.

鈀的珠寶需求在2024年上升了1%,達到235,000盎司,這是五年的高點,儘管這仍然佔鈀總需求的2%。日本領導了這些收益,隨著鉑合金中鈀的使用增加。

“Despite ongoing bearish investor sentiment,” palladium saw a 407,000-ounce shortfall in 2024. Nonetheless, stockpiles remain equivalent to 14 months of demand.

“儘管持續不斷的看跌投資者的情緒,” Palladium在2024年出現了407,000盎司的短缺。儘管如此,股票仍然等同於14個月的需求。

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