PI網絡（PI）價格預測：令牌急劇下降後是否會恢復？

PI網絡加密貨幣自2025年2月發射的主網發布以來，其加密貨幣的下降幅度急劇下降。

The Pi Network cryptocurrency has experienced a steep decline since its mainnet launch in February 2025. The token's price has plunged from highs of $3 to trade at around $0.63, reducing its market valuation from $15 billion to $4 billion. This drop has wiped out a significant portion of the wealth of early investors and pioneers in the project.

自2025年2月的主網推出以來，PI網絡加密貨幣的下降幅度急劇下降。代幣的價格從3美元的高價下降到貿易，貿易的價格為0.63美元左右，從150億美元降低到40億美元。該下降已經消除了該項目中早期投資者和開拓者的大部分財富。

However, despite this decline, several factors suggest that Pi Coin might be poised for a potential price recovery in the coming weeks.

但是，儘管有這種下降，但有幾個因素表明，PI硬幣可能會在接下來的幾週內進行潛在的價格恢復。

Upcoming Major Ecosystem Announcement

即將發布的主要生態系統公告

The most immediate catalyst is an upcoming announcement from the Pi Network development team. They have scheduled a major ecosystem announcement for May 14 during the Consensus event in Toronto.

最直接的催化劑是PI網絡開發團隊即將發布的公告。他們安排了5月14日在多倫多共識活動期間的重大生態系統公告。

A Pi ecosystem announcement will be released on May 14. Tune in to find out what's coming next !

PI生態系統公告將於5月14日發布。收看接下來會發生什麼！

— Pi Network (@PiCoreTeam) May 7, 2025

-PI Network（@picoreteam）2025年5月7日

While the exact nature of this announcement remains unclear, it has already sparked interest in the token. The token price rose by over 10% on Thursday as speculation grew.

儘管此公告的確切性質尚不清楚，但它已經引起了對令牌的興趣。隨著猜測的增長，週四的代幣價格上漲了10％以上。

This announcement could involve several possible developments. One possibility is the creation of an ecosystem fund, similar to those established by other major cryptocurrency projects, such as Solana and Aptos. Such a fund would provide financial support to developers building applications on the Pi Network.

此公告可能涉及幾個可能的發展。一種可能性是創建生態系統基金，類似於其他主要加密貨幣項目（例如Solana和Aptos）建立的基金。這樣的基金將為PI網絡上的開發人員提供財務支持。

Another possibility is a listing on one or more major cryptocurrency exchanges. HTX, formerly known as Huobi, has posted cryptic messages on social media that some interpret as hints about a potential Pi listing.

另一種可能性是在一個或多個主要的加密貨幣交換中列出。 HTX（以前稱為Huobi）在社交媒體上發布了神秘的信息，其中有些人解釋了有關潛在的PI列表的暗示。

Exchange Listing Speculation

交換清單猜測

The prospect of exchange listings represents a key potential driver for Pi Network’s price.

交換清單的前景代表了PI網絡價格的關鍵驅動力。

Researcher CRYPTOAD00 shared findings on May 7 suggesting that Binance may be testing Pi transactions. According to the researcher, a Binance Stellar deposit wallet matches a Pi Network wallet showing activity on the Pi mainnet. This wallet was reportedly created two months ago.

研究人員CryptoAd00在5月7日分享了發現，表明Binance可能正在測試PI交易。根據研究人員的說法，二元恆星沉積物錢包與PI網絡錢包相匹配，顯示了Pi Mainnet上的活動。據報導，這個錢包是兩個月前創建的。

A second wallet has also displayed similar activity, sending 1 PI in what appears to be verification testing. While neither Binance nor Pi Network has confirmed these claims, the cryptocurrency community is watching closely.

第二個錢包也顯示出類似的活動，在似乎是驗證測試中發送了1個PI。儘管Binance和PI網絡都沒有證實這些主張，但加密貨幣社區仍在密切關注。

Another community platform called Pi Barter Mall claimed on May 1 that Pi Network and Binance were in the “final stage” of negotiations, though this has not been verified by either party.

另一個名為PI易貨星購物中心的社區平台在5月1日聲稱，PI網絡和Binance處於談判的“最後階段”，儘管這尚未得到任何一方的核實。

Several factors have made exchanges hesitant to list Pi in recent months. Concerns about tokenomics that favor insiders have been raised, with insiders reportedly holding over 35 billion of the 100 billion tokens. Some exchanges, like Bybit, have expressed skepticism about the project.

幾個因素使交易所猶豫不決地列出了PI。人們對支持內部人士有利的令牌學的擔憂已經提出，據報導，內部人士持有超過350億個代幣中的350億個代幣。一些交流，例如Bybit，對該項目表示懷疑。

Low liquidity has also been a concern. CoinMarketCap data shows that daily trading volume has dropped from $1.3 billion to just $45 million—a decrease of 96%.

低流動性也是一個問題。 CoinMarketCap數據顯示，每日交易量從13億美元下降到僅4500萬美元，減少了96％。

Despite these issues, many top-tier exchanges typically undergo lengthy review processes for new tokens, and Pi Network may still be under consideration by major platforms.

儘管存在這些問題，但許多頂級交易所通常會為新令牌經歷冗長的審核過程，而PI網絡仍可能被主要平台考慮。

Technical Analysis Points to Potential Breakout

技術分析指向潛在的突破

From a technical analysis perspective, Pi Network’s price chart shows signs that could precede a positive move.

從技術分析的角度來看，PI網絡的價格圖顯示了可能在積極舉動之前的跡象。

The token has been in a consolidation phase for several weeks. According to Wyckoff Theory principles, this pattern of low volume and sideways price movement often represents an accumulation phase before a potential markup period characterized by increased buying interest.

令牌已經在整合階段已有數週了。根據Wyckoff理論原則，這種低容量和側向價格運動的模式通常代表一個潛在的標記期之前的積累階段，其特徵是增加了購買興趣。

Technical indicators also show narrowing Bollinger Bands this year, which often precedes increased volatility. The price chart has formed a falling wedge pattern with two descending, converging trendlines—a pattern that usually resolves with a bullish breakout when the lines converge.

技術指標還顯示了今年的散佈樂隊的狹窄，這通常是波動性增加之前的。價格圖已經形成了一個下落的楔形圖案，並具有兩個下降的趨勢趨勢線，這種模式通常在線融合時以看漲的突破而解決。

These technical elements, together with the fundamental catalysts mentioned earlier, suggest the possibility of upward price movement in the coming weeks.

這些技術要素以及前面提到的基本催化劑表明，在接下來的幾週內，價格上漲的可能性。

Token Unlock Pressure Looms

令牌解鎖壓力織機

While positive developments may support price growth, Pi Network faces pressures from upcoming token unlocks. According to blockchain data from PiScan, more than 668 million Pi tokens are scheduled to unlock from May through July 2025.

儘管積極的發展可能支持價格增長，但PI網絡面臨即將到來的令牌解鎖的壓力。根據Piscan的區塊鏈數據，計劃從5月到2025年7月，將超過6.68億個PI令牌解鎖。

This includes 212.2 million in May, 222.6 million in June, and 233.4 million in July. These unlocks will increase the circulating supply at a time when trading volume has decreased dramatically.

其中包括5月的2.122億，6月2260萬，七月為2.334億。這些解鎖將在交易量大幅下降時增加循環供應。

Centralized exchanges are gradually accumulating more Pi tokens. Currently, Bitget holds over 95 million PI while OKX has approximately 154 million. Exchange reserves have more than doubled since February, raising concerns about potential selling pressure when tokens unlock.

集中式交流逐漸積累了更多的PI令牌。目前，Bitget持有超過9500萬個PI，而OKX約有1.54億。自2月以來，交換儲量增加了一倍以上，這引起了人們對代幣解鎖時潛在銷售壓力的擔憂。

At the time of writing, Pi is trading at $0.58, with minimal price change since early May. The initial price target for bullish expectations is $1.

在撰寫本文時，PI的交易價格為0.58美元，自5月初以來價格變化最小。看漲期望的最初價格目標為1美元。