PI网络（PI）价格预测：令牌急剧下降后是否会恢复？

PI网络加密货币自2025年2月发射的主网发布以来，其加密货币的下降幅度急剧下降。

The Pi Network cryptocurrency has experienced a steep decline since its mainnet launch in February 2025. The token's price has plunged from highs of $3 to trade at around $0.63, reducing its market valuation from $15 billion to $4 billion. This drop has wiped out a significant portion of the wealth of early investors and pioneers in the project.

自2025年2月的主网推出以来，PI网络加密货币的下降幅度急剧下降。代币的价格从3美元的高价下降到贸易，贸易的价格为0.63美元左右，从150亿美元降低到40亿美元。该下降已经消除了该项目中早期投资者和开拓者的大部分财富。

However, despite this decline, several factors suggest that Pi Coin might be poised for a potential price recovery in the coming weeks.

但是，尽管有这种下降，但有几个因素表明，PI硬币可能会在接下来的几周内进行潜在的价格恢复。

Upcoming Major Ecosystem Announcement

即将发布的主要生态系统公告

The most immediate catalyst is an upcoming announcement from the Pi Network development team. They have scheduled a major ecosystem announcement for May 14 during the Consensus event in Toronto.

最直接的催化剂是PI网络开发团队即将发布的公告。他们安排了5月14日在多伦多共识活动期间的重大生态系统公告。

A Pi ecosystem announcement will be released on May 14. Tune in to find out what's coming next !

PI生态系统公告将于5月14日发布。收看接下来会发生什么！

— Pi Network (@PiCoreTeam) May 7, 2025

-PI Network（@picoreteam）2025年5月7日

While the exact nature of this announcement remains unclear, it has already sparked interest in the token. The token price rose by over 10% on Thursday as speculation grew.

尽管此公告的确切性质尚不清楚，但它已经引起了对令牌的兴趣。随着猜测的增长，周四的代币价格上涨了10％以上。

This announcement could involve several possible developments. One possibility is the creation of an ecosystem fund, similar to those established by other major cryptocurrency projects, such as Solana and Aptos. Such a fund would provide financial support to developers building applications on the Pi Network.

此公告可能涉及几个可能的发展。一种可能性是创建生态系统基金，类似于其他主要加密货币项目（例如Solana和Aptos）建立的基金。这样的基金将为PI网络上的开发人员提供财务支持。

Another possibility is a listing on one or more major cryptocurrency exchanges. HTX, formerly known as Huobi, has posted cryptic messages on social media that some interpret as hints about a potential Pi listing.

另一种可能性是在一个或多个主要的加密货币交换中列出。 HTX（以前称为Huobi）在社交媒体上发布了神秘的信息，其中有些人解释了有关潜在的PI列表的暗示。

Exchange Listing Speculation

交换清单猜测

The prospect of exchange listings represents a key potential driver for Pi Network’s price.

交换清单的前景代表了PI网络价格的关键驱动力。

Researcher CRYPTOAD00 shared findings on May 7 suggesting that Binance may be testing Pi transactions. According to the researcher, a Binance Stellar deposit wallet matches a Pi Network wallet showing activity on the Pi mainnet. This wallet was reportedly created two months ago.

研究人员CryptoAd00在5月7日分享了发现，表明Binance可能正在测试PI交易。根据研究人员的说法，二元恒星沉积物钱包与PI网络钱包相匹配，显示了Pi Mainnet上的活动。据报道，这个钱包是两个月前创建的。

A second wallet has also displayed similar activity, sending 1 PI in what appears to be verification testing. While neither Binance nor Pi Network has confirmed these claims, the cryptocurrency community is watching closely.

第二个钱包也显示出类似的活动，在似乎是验证测试中发送了1个PI。尽管Binance和PI网络都没有证实这些主张，但加密货币社区仍在密切关注。

Another community platform called Pi Barter Mall claimed on May 1 that Pi Network and Binance were in the “final stage” of negotiations, though this has not been verified by either party.

另一个名为PI易货星购物中心的社区平台在5月1日声称，PI网络和Binance处于谈判的“最后阶段”，尽管这尚未得到任何一方的核实。

Several factors have made exchanges hesitant to list Pi in recent months. Concerns about tokenomics that favor insiders have been raised, with insiders reportedly holding over 35 billion of the 100 billion tokens. Some exchanges, like Bybit, have expressed skepticism about the project.

几个因素使交易所犹豫不决地列出了PI。人们对支持内部人士有利的令牌学的担忧已经提出，据报道，内部人士持有超过350亿个代币中的350亿个代币。一些交流，例如Bybit，对该项目表示怀疑。

Low liquidity has also been a concern. CoinMarketCap data shows that daily trading volume has dropped from $1.3 billion to just $45 million—a decrease of 96%.

低流动性也是一个问题。 CoinMarketCap数据显示，每日交易量从13亿美元下降到仅4500万美元，减少了96％。

Despite these issues, many top-tier exchanges typically undergo lengthy review processes for new tokens, and Pi Network may still be under consideration by major platforms.

尽管存在这些问题，但许多顶级交易所通常会为新令牌经历冗长的审核过程，而PI网络仍可能被主要平台考虑。

Technical Analysis Points to Potential Breakout

技术分析指向潜在的突破

From a technical analysis perspective, Pi Network’s price chart shows signs that could precede a positive move.

从技术分析的角度来看，PI网络的价格图显示了可能在积极举动之前的迹象。

The token has been in a consolidation phase for several weeks. According to Wyckoff Theory principles, this pattern of low volume and sideways price movement often represents an accumulation phase before a potential markup period characterized by increased buying interest.

令牌已经在整合阶段已有数周了。根据Wyckoff理论原则，这种低容量和侧向价格运动的模式通常代表一个潜在的标记期之前的积累阶段，其特征是增加了购买兴趣。

Technical indicators also show narrowing Bollinger Bands this year, which often precedes increased volatility. The price chart has formed a falling wedge pattern with two descending, converging trendlines—a pattern that usually resolves with a bullish breakout when the lines converge.

技术指标还显示了今年的散布乐队的狭窄，这通常是波动性增加之前的。价格图已经形成了一个下落的楔形图案，并具有两个下降的趋势趋势线，这种模式通常在线融合时以看涨的突破而解决。

These technical elements, together with the fundamental catalysts mentioned earlier, suggest the possibility of upward price movement in the coming weeks.

这些技术要素以及前面提到的基本催化剂表明，在接下来的几周内，价格上涨的可能性。

Token Unlock Pressure Looms

令牌解锁压力织机

While positive developments may support price growth, Pi Network faces pressures from upcoming token unlocks. According to blockchain data from PiScan, more than 668 million Pi tokens are scheduled to unlock from May through July 2025.

尽管积极的发展可能支持价格增长，但PI网络面临即将到来的令牌解锁的压力。根据Piscan的区块链数据，计划从5月到2025年7月，将超过6.68亿个PI令牌解锁。

This includes 212.2 million in May, 222.6 million in June, and 233.4 million in July. These unlocks will increase the circulating supply at a time when trading volume has decreased dramatically.

其中包括5月的2.122亿，6月2260万，七月为2.334亿。这些解锁将在交易量大幅下降时增加循环供应。

Centralized exchanges are gradually accumulating more Pi tokens. Currently, Bitget holds over 95 million PI while OKX has approximately 154 million. Exchange reserves have more than doubled since February, raising concerns about potential selling pressure when tokens unlock.

集中式交流逐渐积累了更多的PI令牌。目前，Bitget持有超过9500万个PI，而OKX约有1.54亿。自2月以来，交换储量增加了一倍以上，这引起了人们对代币解锁时潜在销售压力的担忧。

At the time of writing, Pi is trading at $0.58, with minimal price change since early May. The initial price target for bullish expectations is $1.

在撰写本文时，PI的交易价格为0.58美元，自5月初以来价格变化最小。看涨期望的最初价格目标为1美元。