Peter Brandt 的比特幣大洗牌：下一個是 125,100 美元嗎？

資深交易員 Peter Brandt 預測，比特幣在可能飆升至 125,100 美元之前將出現震盪。他說得對嗎？讓我們深入了解最新的比特幣趨勢和見解。

Peter Brandt's Bitcoin Shakeout: Is $125,100 Next?

Peter Brandt 的比特幣大洗牌：下一個是 125,100 美元嗎？

Peter Brandt, the legendary trader, is making waves again with his Bitcoin predictions. He foresees a potential shakeout before Bitcoin hits a new all-time high of $125,100. Buckle up, because it's going to be a wild ride!

傳奇交易員彼得·勃蘭特 (Peter Brandt) 的比特幣預測再次掀起波瀾。他預計，在比特幣觸及 125,100 美元的歷史新高之前，可能會出現震盪。係好安全帶，因為這將是一次瘋狂的旅程！

Brandt's Prediction: Shakeout or Parabola Break?

布蘭特的預測：震盪還是拋物線突破？

Brandt outlines two possible scenarios. The first is a major shakeout, followed by a rapid ascent to a new all-time high. The second, a break of the parabola, could lead to a significant price drop, potentially down to the $50,000-$60,000 range. Which one will it be?

布蘭特概述了兩種可能的情況。首先是大幅震盪，隨後迅速攀升至歷史新高。第二個，拋物線的突破，可能會導致價格大幅下跌，有可能跌至 50,000 美元至 60,000 美元的範圍。會是哪一個呢？

Brandt tweeted on October 12, 2025 about Bitcoin experiencing a mild 15% correction from its ATH. He quipped "The bigger the junk, the deeper the dunk"

Brandt 於 2025 年 10 月 12 日在推特上表示，比特幣的 ATH 經歷了 15% 的溫和回調。他打趣道“垃圾越大，扣籃越深”

Macro Factors and Market Sentiment

宏觀因素與市場情緒

Other analysts are optimistic, citing macroeconomic signals. Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes believes the end of quantitative tightening presents a buying opportunity. Swyftx's lead analyst, Pav Hundal, points to a "Goldilocks zone" for Bitcoin, with rising inflation and a weakening labor market potentially leading to further rate cuts.

其他分析師則以宏觀經濟信號為由表示樂觀。 BitMEX 前首席執行官 Arthur Hayes 認為量化緊縮的結束帶來了買入機會。 Swyftx 的首席分析師 Pav Hundal 指出，比特幣處於“金發姑娘區”，通脹上升和勞動力市場疲軟可能導致進一步降息。

Arthur Hayes tweeted on October 14, 2025: "QT is over. Back up the fucking truck and buy everything."

亞瑟·海耶斯 (Arthur Hayes) 於 2025 年 10 月 14 日發推文：“QT 結束了。倒回該死的卡車，買下所有東西。”

The Speculative Phase and New Whales

投機階段和新鯨魚

XWIN Research analysts suggest Bitcoin has entered a "speculative phase," with new large players taking control. They note that the NUPL indicator has reached +0.52, historically marking a transition from optimism to euphoria. While short-term holders are dominating, capital inflows into spot ETFs, growing stablecoin liquidity, and institutional participation are absorbing selling pressure.

XWIN Research 分析師表示，比特幣已進入“投機階段”，新的大型參與者佔據了控制權。他們指出，NUPL 指標已達到 +0.52，歷史上標誌著從樂觀到欣喜的轉變。雖然短期持有者占主導地位，但資本流入現貨 ETF、不斷增長的穩定幣流動性以及機構參與正在吸收拋售壓力。

Leverage and Risk Management

槓桿和風險管理

Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards reminds traders to be cautious with leverage. High volatility can quickly wipe out leveraged positions, so it's crucial to manage risk carefully.

Capriole Investments 創始人 Charles Edwards 提醒交易者謹慎使用槓桿。高波動性會迅速消除槓桿頭寸，因此謹慎管理風險至關重要。

DAT Meltdown?

那個崩潰？

While Brandt is focused on a short term shakeout, some sources suggest a digital asset treasury (DAT) shakeout may be occurring. Metaplanet, a top digital asset treasury (DAT) player with over 20,000 BTC on its books, just watched its market-to-net-asset-value (mNAV) ratio tank below 1 for the first time ever according to CoinDesk, meaning investors now value the entire company less than its crypto stash alone.

雖然布蘭特專注於短期洗牌，但一些消息來源表明，數字資產國庫（DAT）洗牌可能正在發生。根據 CoinDesk 的數據，賬面上擁有超過 20,000 BTC 的頂級數字資產國庫 (DAT) 玩家 Metaplanet 剛剛目睹其市值與淨資產價值 (mNAV) 比率有史以來首次跌至 1 以下，這意味著投資者現在對整個公司的估值低於其加密貨幣儲備。

Final Thoughts: To the Moon or Back to Earth?

最後的想法：去月球還是回到地球？

So, what's the takeaway? Peter Brandt's prediction of a Bitcoin shakeout adds another layer of intrigue to the already volatile crypto market. Whether it's a brief dip or a more significant correction, it's essential to stay informed, manage risk, and be prepared for anything. After all, in the world of Bitcoin, anything is possible. I'm not offering financial advice, but if Brandt is right, buckle up, buttercup! It could be a bumpy ride to $125,100!

那麼，要點是什麼？彼得·勃蘭特（Peter Brandt）對比特幣震蕩的預測為本已動蕩的加密貨幣市場增添了另一層陰謀。無論是短暫的下跌還是更嚴重的調整，保持信息靈通、管理風險並為任何情況做好準備都至關重要。畢竟，在比特幣的世界裡，一切皆有可能。我不是在提供財務建議，但如果布蘭特是對的，請係好安全帶，毛茛！達到 125,100 美元可能會很坎坷！