Peter Brandt 的比特币大洗牌：下一个是 125,100 美元吗？

资深交易员 Peter Brandt 预测，比特币在可能飙升至 125,100 美元之前将出现震荡。他说得对吗？让我们深入了解最新的比特币趋势和见解。

Peter Brandt's Bitcoin Shakeout: Is $125,100 Next?

Peter Brandt 的比特币大洗牌：下一个是 125,100 美元吗？

Peter Brandt, the legendary trader, is making waves again with his Bitcoin predictions. He foresees a potential shakeout before Bitcoin hits a new all-time high of $125,100. Buckle up, because it's going to be a wild ride!

传奇交易员彼得·勃兰特 (Peter Brandt) 的比特币预测再次掀起波澜。他预计，在比特币触及 125,100 美元的历史新高之前，可能会出现震荡。系好安全带，因为这将是一次疯狂的旅程！

Brandt's Prediction: Shakeout or Parabola Break?

布兰特的预测：震荡还是抛物线突破？

Brandt outlines two possible scenarios. The first is a major shakeout, followed by a rapid ascent to a new all-time high. The second, a break of the parabola, could lead to a significant price drop, potentially down to the $50,000-$60,000 range. Which one will it be?

布兰特概述了两种可能的情况。首先是大幅震荡，随后迅速攀升至历史新高。第二个，抛物线的突破，可能会导致价格大幅下跌，有可能跌至 50,000 美元至 60,000 美元的范围。会是哪一个呢？

Brandt tweeted on October 12, 2025 about Bitcoin experiencing a mild 15% correction from its ATH. He quipped "The bigger the junk, the deeper the dunk"

Brandt 于 2025 年 10 月 12 日在推特上表示，比特币的 ATH 经历了 15% 的温和回调。他打趣道“垃圾越大，扣篮越深”

Macro Factors and Market Sentiment

宏观因素与市场情绪

Other analysts are optimistic, citing macroeconomic signals. Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes believes the end of quantitative tightening presents a buying opportunity. Swyftx's lead analyst, Pav Hundal, points to a "Goldilocks zone" for Bitcoin, with rising inflation and a weakening labor market potentially leading to further rate cuts.

其他分析师则以宏观经济信号为由表示乐观。 BitMEX 前首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 认为量化紧缩的结束带来了买入机会。 Swyftx 的首席分析师 Pav Hundal 指出，比特币处于“金发姑娘区”，通胀上升和劳动力市场疲软可能导致进一步降息。

Arthur Hayes tweeted on October 14, 2025: "QT is over. Back up the fucking truck and buy everything."

亚瑟·海耶斯 (Arthur Hayes) 于 2025 年 10 月 14 日发推文：“QT 结束了。倒回该死的卡车并买下所有东西。”

The Speculative Phase and New Whales

投机阶段和新鲸鱼

XWIN Research analysts suggest Bitcoin has entered a "speculative phase," with new large players taking control. They note that the NUPL indicator has reached +0.52, historically marking a transition from optimism to euphoria. While short-term holders are dominating, capital inflows into spot ETFs, growing stablecoin liquidity, and institutional participation are absorbing selling pressure.

XWIN Research 分析师表示，比特币已进入“投机阶段”，新的大型参与者占据了控制权。他们指出，NUPL 指标已达到 +0.52，历史上标志着从乐观到欣喜的转变。虽然短期持有者占主导地位，但资本流入现货 ETF、不断增长的稳定币流动性以及机构参与正在吸收抛售压力。

Leverage and Risk Management

杠杆和风险管理

Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards reminds traders to be cautious with leverage. High volatility can quickly wipe out leveraged positions, so it's crucial to manage risk carefully.

Capriole Investments 创始人 Charles Edwards 提醒交易者谨慎使用杠杆。高波动性会迅速消除杠杆头寸，因此谨慎管理风险至关重要。

DAT Meltdown?

那个崩溃？

While Brandt is focused on a short term shakeout, some sources suggest a digital asset treasury (DAT) shakeout may be occurring. Metaplanet, a top digital asset treasury (DAT) player with over 20,000 BTC on its books, just watched its market-to-net-asset-value (mNAV) ratio tank below 1 for the first time ever according to CoinDesk, meaning investors now value the entire company less than its crypto stash alone.

虽然布兰特专注于短期洗牌，但一些消息来源表明，数字资产国库（DAT）洗牌可能正在发生。根据 CoinDesk 的数据，账面上拥有超过 20,000 BTC 的顶级数字资产国库 (DAT) 玩家 Metaplanet 刚刚目睹其市值与净资产价值 (mNAV) 比率有史以来首次跌至 1 以下，这意味着投资者现在对整个公司的估值低于其加密货币储备。

Final Thoughts: To the Moon or Back to Earth?

最后的想法：去月球还是回到地球？

So, what's the takeaway? Peter Brandt's prediction of a Bitcoin shakeout adds another layer of intrigue to the already volatile crypto market. Whether it's a brief dip or a more significant correction, it's essential to stay informed, manage risk, and be prepared for anything. After all, in the world of Bitcoin, anything is possible. I'm not offering financial advice, but if Brandt is right, buckle up, buttercup! It could be a bumpy ride to $125,100!

那么，要点是什么？彼得·勃兰特（Peter Brandt）对比特币震荡的预测为本已动荡的加密货币市场增添了另一层阴谋。无论是短暂的下跌还是更严重的调整，保持信息灵通、管理风险并为任何情况做好准备都至关重要。毕竟，在比特币的世界里，一切皆有可能。我不是在提供财务建议，但如果布兰特是对的，请系好安全带，毛茛！达到 125,100 美元可能会很坎坷！