比特幣面臨 2024 年潛在投降事件時出現類似模式

著名加密貨幣交易員和分析師 Alan Santana 在 TradingView 上的技術分析顯示，比特幣已經橫盤整理了 224 天。

Prominent crypto trader and analyst Alan Santana has shared some interesting technical analysis on TradingView, highlighting that Bitcoin has now been trading sideways for 224 days.

著名的加密貨幣交易員和分析師 Alan Santana 在 TradingView 上分享了一些有趣的技術分析，強調比特幣目前已經橫盤交易 224 天了。

Santana contrasts the present market activity with the 2013/14 bullish wave, which he had earlier identified as a “recovery wave.” However, a key difference this time around is that Bitcoin had already reached a new all-time high (ATH) before shifting sideways. This pattern, to some extent, mirrors the market behavior prior to the March 2020 crash.

桑塔納將當前的市場活動與 2013/14 年的看漲浪潮進行了對比，他之前將其稱為「復甦浪潮」。然而，這次的一個關鍵區別是，比特幣在橫向移動之前已經達到了歷史新高（ATH）。這種模式在某種程度上反映了 2020 年 3 月崩盤之前的市場行為。

Similarities Emerge as Bitcoin May Be Gearing up for a Capitulation Event in 2024

隨著比特幣可能為 2024 年的投降事件做好準備，相似之處出現

Peaking in July, Bitcoin entered a sideways phase with lower highs for 224 days precisely in 2019, forming a similar bounce as what has been observed recently. Throughout the last five weeks of that sideways pattern, Bitcoin saw a slight pump, followed by a neutral week, and then, surprisingly, the last crash occurred.

比特幣在 7 月達到頂峰，進入橫盤階段，並在 2019 年連續 224 天創下較低高點，形成了與最近觀察到的類似反彈。在這種橫盤格局的最後五周中，比特幣出現了小幅上漲，隨後是中立的一周，然後令人驚訝的是，最後一次崩盤發生了。

This sudden drop took many traders by surprise, and Santana suggests that something similar could be on the cards for 2024. He points towards the possibility of a capitulation event where BTC might drop to levels it traded in around October or September 2023.

這種突然的下跌讓許多交易者感到驚訝，桑塔納表示 2024 年可能會出現類似的情況。

Like In March 2020, Santana Thinks the Possible Fall May Last Three Weeks Of Strong Bearish Behavior

與 2020 年 3 月一樣，桑塔納認為可能的下跌可能會持續三週的強烈看跌行為

Before the sharp downturn, Bitcoin may spend the first two weeks holding up at its highs. During the 2020 crash, Bitcoin tested a low price range observed in late 2018/early 2019 and quickly recovered after the initial drop.

在大幅下滑之前，比特幣可能會在前兩週保持在高位。在 2020 年崩盤期間，比特幣測試了 2018 年底/2019 年初觀察到的低價區間，並在最初下跌後迅速恢復。

If the same pattern continues, Bitcoin could suddenly drop to levels seen as recently as late 2023, followed by a swift recovery. Highlighting that $43,000 is not the lowest, he also cautions that the longer the market waits to undergo this capitulation, the more severe it will be.

如果同樣的模式持續下去，比特幣可能會突然跌至 2023 年末的水平，然後迅速復甦。他強調 43,000 美元並不是最低價，但他也警告說，市場等待這種投降的時間越長，情況就會越嚴重。

Elsewhere, BTC trades at $67,812.05 at the time of writing, seeing a daily trading volume of $30.64 billion and up by 1.57% in the last 24 hours. A mix of institutional and retail activity drives this price movement, and Bitcoin whales have been accumulating notably.

截至本文撰寫時，BTC 交易價格為 67,812.05 美元，日交易量為 306.4 億美元，過去 24 小時內上漲 1.57%。機構和零售活動共同推動了這一價格走勢，比特幣鯨魚一直在顯著累積。

As reported by CNF, over the past two weeks, Bitcoin wallets containing 100 or more BTC have jumped by 297K. While retail wallets experienced only a 0.1% rise in the same period, large wallet holders increased by 1.9%.

根據 CNF 報導，過去兩週，包含 100 個或以上 BTC 的比特幣錢包增加了 29.7 萬個。同期零售錢包僅成長 0.1%，而大型錢包持有者則成長 1.9%。