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由於尼日利亞的美元流動性大幅下降,尼日利亞奈拉兌美元匯率創數週以來最差表現,但比特幣仍持續
As the Nigerian Naira records its worst performance yet against the US dollar in several weeks, bitcoin continues to rally ahead to within striking distance of its All-Time High (ATH) levels of $73,737 from April.
隨著尼日利亞奈拉兌美元創下幾週來最差表現,比特幣繼續上漲,距離 4 月以來的歷史高點 (ATH) 73,737 美元僅一步之遙。
According to data from monierate, bitcoin is already reaching the ATH in Nigeria, at about ₦121m.
根據monierate的數據,比特幣在奈及利亞已經達到ATH,約1.21億₦。
Recent Naira-USD Performance
近期奈拉兌美元表現
The Naira is yet to find stability against the US dollar despite several forex market reforms, such as the free-floating of the Naira. However, First Securities Discount House (FSDH) Merchant Bank Ltd's macroeconomic report highlights that critical drivers such as "a rise in foreign exchange (forex) inflows, driven by increased policy rates and heightened FX interventions from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)" could push us closer to that reality.
儘管進行了多項外匯市場改革,例如奈拉的自由浮動,但奈拉兌美元匯率尚未穩定。然而,第一證券貼現行(FSDH)商業銀行有限公司的宏觀經濟報告強調了一些關鍵驅動因素,例如“由於政策利率提高和尼日利亞中央銀行(CBN)加強外匯幹預而導致外匯(外匯)流入增加”可以讓我們更接近這個現實。
The Naira is currently at ₦1,711.774 to the US dollar, based on data from monierate, following a 72% freefall to $81m in US dollar liquidity, according to reporting from Bloomberg, its lowest level in several months, marking its worst performance yet in weeks.
根據 monierate 的數據,奈拉兌美元目前為 1,711.774 英鎊,根據彭博社的報道,美元流動性暴跌 72% 至 8100 萬美元,為幾個月來的最低水平,標誌著有史以來最糟糕的表現。 。
Moreover, the recent World Bank report, Africa's Pulse, noted that the Naira, the Ethiopian Birr, and the South Sudanese Pound are among the worst-performing Sub-Saharan African currencies of 2024. The report cites several factors driving the Naira's 43% year-to-date depreciation, as primarily the surge in demand for the US dollar, limited US dollar liquidity and inflows, and delays from the CBN in forex disbursements.
此外,世界銀行最近的報告《非洲脈動》指出,奈拉、衣索比亞比爾和南蘇丹鎊是2024 年表現最差的撒哈拉以南非洲貨幣之一。個因素。
The Bitcoin Rally & Stablecoin Adoption Rise
比特幣上漲和穩定幣採用率上升
Meanwhile, bitcoin continues to build off its September rise and is steadily approaching a new ATH. It has already appreciated ~12% over the last half year and 66% year-to-date.
同時,比特幣繼續延續九月的上漲勢頭,並穩步逼近新的最高點。過去半年已升值約 12%,今年迄今已升值 66%。
Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Near-Tie In Latest HarrisX/Forbes Survey—Just Days Before Election
川普對決。哈里斯 2024 年民意調查:最新的 HarrisX/福布斯調查幾乎持平 - 就在選舉前幾天
Samsung’s Impossible Deadline—You Have 24 Hours To Update Your Phone
三星不可能的最後期限——你有 24 小時更新你的手機
Beyond the ETFs, there are other macro factors at play here, including the market's anticipatory exuberance ahead of a potential Trump victory in the US election and the consequences for bitcoin, given his recent perceived embrace of it.
除了 ETF 之外,還有其他宏觀因素在發揮作用,包括川普可能在美國大選中獲勝之前市場的預期繁榮以及鑑於他最近對比特幣的擁抱而對比特幣造成的後果。
In Nigeria, the story features even more factors. With the alarming inflation levels and the Naira's persistent underperformance and devaluations, bitcoin's stark contrast continues to present a haven for those on the ground.
在奈及利亞,這個故事還有更多因素。由於通貨膨脹水平令人震驚,而奈拉持續表現不佳和貶值,比特幣的鮮明對比繼續為人們提供了避風港。
Sub-saharan Africa Share of Bitcoin and Stablecoin value received (the 2024 geography of crypto ... [+] report)
撒哈拉以南非洲地區收到的比特幣和穩定幣價值份額(2024 年加密地理... [+] 報告)
Further, USDT has emerged as another alternative to the Naira over the last year, with stablecoins now accounting for 43% of the crypto transaction volume in Sub-Saharan Africa, according to Chainalysis. As the Naira continues to fall to the US dollar and US dollar liquidity tightens in the country, many seek out USDT as it is simply the easiest way to access the scarce USD for trade, short-term savings, and international payments.
此外,根據 Chainalysis 的數據,去年 USDT 已成為奈拉的另一種替代品,穩定幣目前佔撒哈拉以南非洲加密貨幣交易量的 43%。隨著奈拉繼續兌美元貶值以及該國美元流動性收緊,許多人尋求 USDT,因為這是獲取稀缺美元用於貿易、短期儲蓄和國際支付的最簡單方式。
Bitcoin Outlook In Nigeria
尼日利亞的比特幣前景
As the Naira continues to face further devaluations and slips against the US dollar, it has become almost second nature for those in Nigeria to seek out viable alternatives in the form of bitcoin and USDT.
隨著奈拉繼續面臨進一步貶值和兌美元匯率下滑的情況,尋求比特幣和 USDT 等可行的替代品幾乎已成為尼日利亞人的第二天性。
With 2025 on the horizon, we can expect that this dynamic will persist as long as the challenges facing the Naira continue and more Nigerians flock to alternatives to reap the attendant benefits of having cheap access to USD via USDT and the ability to store wealth and make unencumbered global cheap instant payments via bitcoin.
2025 年即將到來,我們可以預期,只要奈拉麵臨的挑戰持續存在,並且更多尼日利亞人湧向替代品,以獲取通過USDT 廉價獲取美元以及存儲財富和賺取收益的隨之而來的好處,這種動態就會持續下去。
Nevertheless, Q4 is not over yet, and there may well be some consolation for the Naira over the coming weeks in regaining its strength against the US dollar as the Government, especially the CBN, continues to proactively implement measures to ameliorate the present economic and currency challenges.
儘管如此,第四季度尚未結束,隨著政府(特別是中央銀行)繼續積極採取措施改善當前的經濟和貨幣狀況,奈拉兌美元匯率在未來幾週內恢復強勢可能會帶來一些安慰。 。
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