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由于尼日利亚的美元流动性大幅下降,尼日利亚奈拉兑美元汇率创数周以来最差表现,但比特币继续
As the Nigerian Naira records its worst performance yet against the US dollar in several weeks, bitcoin continues to rally ahead to within striking distance of its All-Time High (ATH) levels of $73,737 from April.
随着尼日利亚奈拉兑美元创下几周来最差表现,比特币继续上涨,距离 4 月份以来的历史高点 (ATH) 73,737 美元仅一步之遥。
According to data from monierate, bitcoin is already reaching the ATH in Nigeria, at about ₦121m.
根据monierate的数据,比特币在尼日利亚已经达到ATH,约为1.21亿₦。
Recent Naira-USD Performance
近期奈拉兑美元表现
The Naira is yet to find stability against the US dollar despite several forex market reforms, such as the free-floating of the Naira. However, First Securities Discount House (FSDH) Merchant Bank Ltd's macroeconomic report highlights that critical drivers such as "a rise in foreign exchange (forex) inflows, driven by increased policy rates and heightened FX interventions from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)" could push us closer to that reality.
尽管进行了多项外汇市场改革,例如奈拉的自由浮动,但奈拉兑美元汇率尚未稳定。然而,第一证券贴现行(FSDH)商业银行有限公司的宏观经济报告强调了一些关键驱动因素,例如“由于政策利率提高和尼日利亚中央银行(CBN)加强外汇干预而导致外汇(外汇)流入增加”可以让我们更接近这个现实。
The Naira is currently at ₦1,711.774 to the US dollar, based on data from monierate, following a 72% freefall to $81m in US dollar liquidity, according to reporting from Bloomberg, its lowest level in several months, marking its worst performance yet in weeks.
根据 monierate 的数据,奈拉兑美元目前为 1,711.774 英镑,根据彭博社的报道,美元流动性暴跌 72% 至 8100 万美元,为几个月来的最低水平,标志着有史以来最糟糕的表现。几周。
Moreover, the recent World Bank report, Africa's Pulse, noted that the Naira, the Ethiopian Birr, and the South Sudanese Pound are among the worst-performing Sub-Saharan African currencies of 2024. The report cites several factors driving the Naira's 43% year-to-date depreciation, as primarily the surge in demand for the US dollar, limited US dollar liquidity and inflows, and delays from the CBN in forex disbursements.
此外,世界银行最近的报告《非洲脉动》指出,奈拉、埃塞俄比亚比尔和南苏丹镑是 2024 年表现最差的撒哈拉以南非洲货币之一。该报告列举了推动奈拉今年上涨 43% 的几个因素。 - 迄今为止的贬值,主要是由于美元需求激增、美元流动性和流入有限以及中央银行外汇支付的延迟。
The Bitcoin Rally & Stablecoin Adoption Rise
比特币上涨和稳定币采用率上升
Meanwhile, bitcoin continues to build off its September rise and is steadily approaching a new ATH. It has already appreciated ~12% over the last half year and 66% year-to-date.
与此同时,比特币继续延续九月的上涨势头,并稳步逼近新的最高点。过去半年已升值约 12%,今年迄今已升值 66%。
Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Near-Tie In Latest HarrisX/Forbes Survey—Just Days Before Election
特朗普对决。哈里斯 2024 年民意调查:最新的 HarrisX/福布斯调查几乎持平 - 就在选举前几天
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Beyond the ETFs, there are other macro factors at play here, including the market's anticipatory exuberance ahead of a potential Trump victory in the US election and the consequences for bitcoin, given his recent perceived embrace of it.
除了 ETF 之外,还有其他宏观因素在发挥作用,包括特朗普可能在美国大选中获胜之前市场的预期繁荣以及鉴于他最近对比特币的拥抱而对比特币造成的后果。
In Nigeria, the story features even more factors. With the alarming inflation levels and the Naira's persistent underperformance and devaluations, bitcoin's stark contrast continues to present a haven for those on the ground.
在尼日利亚,这个故事还有更多因素。由于通货膨胀水平令人震惊,而奈拉持续表现不佳和贬值,比特币的鲜明对比继续为人们提供了避风港。
Sub-saharan Africa Share of Bitcoin and Stablecoin value received (the 2024 geography of crypto ... [+] report)
撒哈拉以南非洲地区收到的比特币和稳定币价值份额(2024 年加密地理... [+] 报告)
Further, USDT has emerged as another alternative to the Naira over the last year, with stablecoins now accounting for 43% of the crypto transaction volume in Sub-Saharan Africa, according to Chainalysis. As the Naira continues to fall to the US dollar and US dollar liquidity tightens in the country, many seek out USDT as it is simply the easiest way to access the scarce USD for trade, short-term savings, and international payments.
此外,根据 Chainalysis 的数据,去年 USDT 已成为奈拉的另一种替代品,稳定币目前占撒哈拉以南非洲加密货币交易量的 43%。随着奈拉继续兑美元贬值以及该国美元流动性收紧,许多人寻求 USDT,因为这是获取稀缺美元用于贸易、短期储蓄和国际支付的最简单方式。
Bitcoin Outlook In Nigeria
尼日利亚的比特币前景
As the Naira continues to face further devaluations and slips against the US dollar, it has become almost second nature for those in Nigeria to seek out viable alternatives in the form of bitcoin and USDT.
随着奈拉继续面临进一步贬值和兑美元汇率下滑的情况,寻求比特币和 USDT 等可行的替代品几乎已成为尼日利亚人的第二天性。
With 2025 on the horizon, we can expect that this dynamic will persist as long as the challenges facing the Naira continue and more Nigerians flock to alternatives to reap the attendant benefits of having cheap access to USD via USDT and the ability to store wealth and make unencumbered global cheap instant payments via bitcoin.
2025 年即将到来,我们可以预期,只要奈拉面临的挑战持续存在,并且更多尼日利亚人涌向替代品,以获取通过 USDT 廉价获取美元以及存储财富和赚取收益的随之而来的好处,这种动态就会持续下去。通过比特币进行无阻碍的全球廉价即时支付。
Nevertheless, Q4 is not over yet, and there may well be some consolation for the Naira over the coming weeks in regaining its strength against the US dollar as the Government, especially the CBN, continues to proactively implement measures to ameliorate the present economic and currency challenges.
尽管如此,第四季度尚未结束,随着政府(特别是中央银行)继续积极采取措施改善当前的经济和货币状况,奈拉兑美元汇率在未来几周内恢复强势可能会带来一些安慰。挑战。
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