MicroStrategy，Bitcoin和S＆P 500：華爾街傳奇

Microstrategy的比特幣賭博可能會將它們納入標準普爾500指數，而Saylor Eyes的價格為2100萬美元。在華爾街的狂野騎行！

MicroStrategy's dance with Bitcoin could lead to an S&P 500 debut, hinging on BTC's price. Meanwhile, Michael Saylor's bullish predictions see Bitcoin soaring to $21 million by 2046. It's a high-stakes game of finance!

MicroStrategy與比特幣的舞蹈可能會導致標準普爾500指數的首次亮相，並以BTC的價格呈現。同時，邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）的看漲預測是，到2046年，比特幣飆升至2100萬美元。這是一款高風險金融遊戲！

The $95K Hurdle: MicroStrategy's S&P 500 Dream

$ 95K的障礙：Microstrategy的標準普爾500夢想

Michael Saylor's Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is on the cusp of joining the S&P 500, but there's a catch. Bitcoin needs to stay above $95,240 until June 30. Financial analyst Jeff Walton estimates a 91% chance of Strategy qualifying, provided Bitcoin holds steady. A single dip below that threshold could ruin their chances, as new accounting rules link Bitcoin's market price directly to Strategy's quarterly earnings.

邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）的策略（以前為MicroStrategy）正在加入標準普爾500指數的風口浪尖，但有一個接球。比特幣需要保持在95,240美元以上，直到6月30日。財務分析師傑夫·沃爾頓（Jeff Walton）估計有91％的策略資格符合條件的機會，因為比特幣保持穩定。低於該門檻的單一下降可能會破壞他們的機會，因為新會計規則將比特幣的市場價格直接鏈接到戰略的季度收益。

This isn't just about prestige; it's about mainstream acceptance. As Meryem Habibi from Bitpace noted, it "cements the legitimacy of an entire asset class." Strategy is already on the Nasdaq-100, but the S&P 500 would be next level.

這不僅僅是聲望。這是關於主流接受的。正如Bitpace的Meryem Habibi所指出的那樣，它“鞏固了整個資產類別的合法性”。策略已經在NASDAQ-100上，但是標準普爾500標準普爾將是下一個級別。

Saylor's Sky-High Bitcoin Prediction: $21 Million by 2046

Saylor的高空比特幣預測：到2046年，2100萬美元

Saylor's not just playing the short game; he's thinking decades ahead. He recently upped his Bitcoin price prediction to $21 million by 2046, citing geopolitical shifts, regulatory developments, and accelerating crypto adoption. He even mentioned Trump's return to office as a positive catalyst. Talk about bullish!

Saylor不僅在玩短遊戲；他正在思考未來幾十年。他最近將他的比特幣價格預測提高到2046年，介紹了地緣政治轉變，監管發展和加速加密的採用。他甚至提到特朗普返回任職作為積極的催化劑。談論看漲！

He believes that meaningful accumulation opportunities will end much sooner than the asset's total supply being capped in year 2140, due to increasing interest from institutions, governments, and retail investors. He sees Wall Street owning 10% of the total Bitcoin supply, pushing the market cap to $20 trillion.

他認為，由於機構，政府和零售投資者的利益增加，有意義的積累機會將比資產總供應限制在2140年的總供應要早得多。他認為華爾街擁有總比特幣供應量的10％，將市值推向了20萬億美元。

Strategy's Bitcoin Fortress: A Blessing and a Curse?

策略的比特幣要塞：祝福和詛咒？

Strategy holds a massive 592,345 BTC, worth over $63 billion as of June 22. That's a 50.92% unrealized gain! Saylor's not slowing down, either. Even with Bitcoin above $102,000, he's still buying. This unwavering commitment has some analysts worried, with one warning of a potential financial crisis akin to the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust collapse. The concern is Strategy's reliance on its market net asset value and $8.2 billion in convertible debt.

策略擁有巨額的592,345 BTC，截至6月22日，策略價值超過630億美元。這是50.92％的未實現收益！ Saylor也沒有放慢腳步。即使比特幣超過102,000美元，他仍在購買。這種堅定不移的承諾使一些分析師擔心，並警告了類似於灰比特幣信託基金會崩潰的潛在金融危機。關注的是策略依賴其市場淨資產價值和82億美元的可轉換債務。

Bitcoin vs. the S&P 500: Summer Trends

比特幣與標準普爾500指數：夏季趨勢

Bitcoin is facing a potential fourth straight summer loss if it ends 2025 in the red, while the S&P 500 could log its third straight seasonal rally. Bitcoin's summer slumps have been tied to crypto-native shocks and economic trends, while the S&P 500 is influenced by earnings and macro factors.

如果比特幣在2025年以紅色結束，那麼比特幣將連續第四次損失，而標準普爾500指數可能會連續第三次季節性集會。比特幣的夏季低迷與加密本地的衝擊和經濟趨勢有關，而標準普爾500號則受到收入和宏觀因素的影響。

Saylor's Transformation: Bitcoin as an Identity

Saylor的轉型：比特幣作為身份

Saylor has fully embraced Bitcoin, even visually rebranding himself in a Steve Jobs-esque minimalist portrait. It's clear Bitcoin is more than just a commodity; it's an identity for Saylor. The premium investors are paying for Strategy's shares over spot ETFs shows they're still betting on Saylor's vision.

Saylor完全接受了比特幣，甚至在視覺上以史蒂夫·喬布斯（Steve Jobs）風格的極簡主義肖像來重塑自己。顯然，比特幣不僅僅是一種商品。這是Saylor的身份。高級投資者正在為現貨ETF支付策略的股票，表明他們仍在押注Saylor的願景。

Final Thoughts

最後的想法

So, will MicroStrategy join the S&P 500? Will Bitcoin hit $21 million? Only time will tell. But one thing's for sure: the intersection of MicroStrategy, Bitcoin, and the S&P 500 is a wild ride worth watching. Buckle up, folks! It is going to be a fun next couple of decades!

那麼，MicroStrategy會加入標準普爾500指數嗎？比特幣會達到2100萬美元嗎？只有時間會證明。但是可以肯定的是：MicroStrategy，Bitcoin和The S＆P 500的交集值得一看。搭扣，伙計們！接下來的幾十年將是一個有趣的事情！