MicroStrategy，Bitcoin和S＆P 500：华尔街传奇

Microstrategy的比特币赌博可能会将它们纳入标准普尔500指数，而Saylor Eyes的价格为2100万美元。在华尔街的狂野骑行！

MicroStrategy's dance with Bitcoin could lead to an S&P 500 debut, hinging on BTC's price. Meanwhile, Michael Saylor's bullish predictions see Bitcoin soaring to $21 million by 2046. It's a high-stakes game of finance!

MicroStrategy与比特币的舞蹈可能会导致标准普尔500指数的首次亮相，并以BTC的价格呈现。同时，迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）的看涨预测是，到2046年，比特币飙升至2100万美元。这是一款高风险金融游戏！

The $95K Hurdle: MicroStrategy's S&P 500 Dream

$ 95K的障碍：Microstrategy的标准普尔500梦想

Michael Saylor's Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is on the cusp of joining the S&P 500, but there's a catch. Bitcoin needs to stay above $95,240 until June 30. Financial analyst Jeff Walton estimates a 91% chance of Strategy qualifying, provided Bitcoin holds steady. A single dip below that threshold could ruin their chances, as new accounting rules link Bitcoin's market price directly to Strategy's quarterly earnings.

迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）的策略（以前为MicroStrategy）正在加入标准普尔500指数的风口浪尖，但有一个接球。比特币需要保持在95,240美元以上，直到6月30日。财务分析师杰夫·沃尔顿（Jeff Walton）估计有91％的策略资格符合条件的机会，因为比特币保持稳定。低于该门槛的单一下降可能会破坏他们的机会，因为新会计规则将比特币的市场价格直接链接到战略的季度收益。

This isn't just about prestige; it's about mainstream acceptance. As Meryem Habibi from Bitpace noted, it "cements the legitimacy of an entire asset class." Strategy is already on the Nasdaq-100, but the S&P 500 would be next level.

这不仅仅是声望。这是关于主流接受的。正如Bitpace的Meryem Habibi所指出的那样，它“巩固了整个资产类别的合法性”。策略已经在NASDAQ-100上，但是标准普尔500标准普尔将是下一个级别。

Saylor's Sky-High Bitcoin Prediction: $21 Million by 2046

Saylor的高空比特币预测：到2046年，2100万美元

Saylor's not just playing the short game; he's thinking decades ahead. He recently upped his Bitcoin price prediction to $21 million by 2046, citing geopolitical shifts, regulatory developments, and accelerating crypto adoption. He even mentioned Trump's return to office as a positive catalyst. Talk about bullish!

Saylor不仅在玩短游戏；他正在思考未来几十年。他最近将他的比特币价格预测提高到2046年，介绍了地缘政治转变，监管发展和加速加密的采用。他甚至提到特朗普返回任职作为积极的催化剂。谈论看涨！

He believes that meaningful accumulation opportunities will end much sooner than the asset's total supply being capped in year 2140, due to increasing interest from institutions, governments, and retail investors. He sees Wall Street owning 10% of the total Bitcoin supply, pushing the market cap to $20 trillion.

他认为，由于机构，政府和零售投资者的利益增加，有意义的积累机会将比资产总供应限制在2140年的总供应要早得多。他认为华尔街拥有总比特币供应量的10％，将市值推向了20万亿美元。

Strategy's Bitcoin Fortress: A Blessing and a Curse?

策略的比特币要塞：祝福和诅咒？

Strategy holds a massive 592,345 BTC, worth over $63 billion as of June 22. That's a 50.92% unrealized gain! Saylor's not slowing down, either. Even with Bitcoin above $102,000, he's still buying. This unwavering commitment has some analysts worried, with one warning of a potential financial crisis akin to the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust collapse. The concern is Strategy's reliance on its market net asset value and $8.2 billion in convertible debt.

策略拥有巨额的592,345 BTC，截至6月22日，策略价值超过630亿美元。这是50.92％的未实现收益！ Saylor也没有放慢脚步。即使比特币超过102,000美元，他仍在购买。这种坚定不移的承诺使一些分析师担心，并警告了类似于灰比特币信托基金会崩溃的潜在金融危机。关注的是策略依赖其市场净资产价值和82亿美元的可转换债务。

Bitcoin vs. the S&P 500: Summer Trends

比特币与标准普尔500指数：夏季趋势

Bitcoin is facing a potential fourth straight summer loss if it ends 2025 in the red, while the S&P 500 could log its third straight seasonal rally. Bitcoin's summer slumps have been tied to crypto-native shocks and economic trends, while the S&P 500 is influenced by earnings and macro factors.

如果比特币在2025年以红色结束，那么比特币将连续第四次损失，而标准普尔500指数可能会连续第三次季节性集会。比特币的夏季低迷与加密本地的冲击和经济趋势有关，而标准普尔500号则受到收入和宏观因素的影响。

Saylor's Transformation: Bitcoin as an Identity

Saylor的转型：比特币作为身份

Saylor has fully embraced Bitcoin, even visually rebranding himself in a Steve Jobs-esque minimalist portrait. It's clear Bitcoin is more than just a commodity; it's an identity for Saylor. The premium investors are paying for Strategy's shares over spot ETFs shows they're still betting on Saylor's vision.

Saylor完全接受了比特币，甚至在视觉上以史蒂夫·乔布斯（Steve Jobs）风格的极简主义肖像来重塑自己。显然，比特币不仅仅是一种商品。这是Saylor的身份。高级投资者正在为现货ETF支付策略的股票，表明他们仍在押注Saylor的愿景。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

So, will MicroStrategy join the S&P 500? Will Bitcoin hit $21 million? Only time will tell. But one thing's for sure: the intersection of MicroStrategy, Bitcoin, and the S&P 500 is a wild ride worth watching. Buckle up, folks! It is going to be a fun next couple of decades!

那么，MicroStrategy会加入标准普尔500指数吗？比特币会达到2100万美元吗？只有时间会证明。但是可以肯定的是：MicroStrategy，Bitcoin和The S＆P 500的交集值得一看。搭扣，伙计们！接下来的几十年将是一个有趣的事情！