Michael Saylor 認為比特幣 (BTC) 將在大約兩年內飆升超過 19,000%

MicroStrategy 創辦人兼執行主席 Michael Saylor 認為比特幣 (BTC) 將在大約二十年內飆升超過 19,000%。

MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor thinks Bitcoin (BTC) will skyrocket over 19,000% in about two decades.

MicroStrategy 創辦人 Michael Saylor 認為比特幣 (BTC) 將在大約 20 年內飆升超過 19,000%。

At the Bitcoin2024 conference in Nashville, Saylor unveiled his long-term predictions for BTC, stretching out to the year 2045.

在納許維爾舉行的 Bitcoin2024 會議上，Saylor 公佈了他對 BTC 的長期預測，預計將持續到 2045 年。

In his base-case scenario, the BTC firebrand sees Bitcoin’s annual rate of return (ARR) decreasing over time until the crypto king hits $13 million with a market cap of $280 trillion.

在他的基本情景中，這位 BTC 煽動者認為比特幣的年回報率 (ARR) 隨著時間的推移而下降，直到這位加密之王的市值達到 1300 萬美元，市值達到 280 兆美元。

“Here’s my macro Bitcoin forecast: it’s 21 years. It goes out to the year 2045. What do I think will happen? Well, I’ve got a bear case and a bull case.

「這是我對比特幣的宏觀預測：21 年。時間到了 2045 年。嗯，我有一個看跌的情況和一個看漲的情況。

But what I think will happen is that 55% ARR goes to 50%, 45%, 40%, 35%, 30%, 25%, 20% – it’s between 50% and 20%. It will gradually decelerate till it’s growing about twice as fast as the S&P index.

但我認為將會發生的是，55%的ARR會變成50%、45%、40%、35%、30%、25%、20%──在50%到20%之間。它會逐漸減速，直到其成長速度約為標準普爾指數的兩倍。

At that rate, Bitcoin is $13 million a coin in year 2045. It could be a $3 million bear case, it could be a $49 million bull case. But what is Bitcoin? 7% of the world’s asset then.”

以這個速度，到 2045 年，比特幣的價格將達到 1300 萬美元。 它可能是 300 萬美元的熊市，也可能是 4900 萬美元的牛市。但比特幣是什麼？那時世界資產的 7%。

Saylor’s MicroStrategy is the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin in the world with a stash of 226,331 BTC valued at $15.318 billion.

Saylor 的 MicroStrategy 是全球最大的比特幣企業持有者，擁有 226,331 枚比特幣，價值 153.18 億美元。

Crypto trader Luke Martin says Saylor would be the wealthiest man on the planet if BTC soars to $13 million per coin in 2045.

加密貨幣交易員 Luke Martin 表示，如果 2045 年 BTC 價格飆升至每枚 1,300 萬美元，塞勒將成為地球上最富有的人。

“If you factor in percentage ownership of Microstrategy and personal coins… His BTC position would = $573 billion, making him the richest person on earth if his prediction plays out…

「如果考慮到 Microstrategy 和個人代幣的所有權百分比……他的 BTC 頭寸將 = 5730 億美元，如果他的預測成真，他將成為地球上最富有的人……

Really puts the Bitcoin nation-state game theory into perspective. One guy was able to accumulate a BTC position that could rival the largest central bank gold reserve in a decade or two. One guy live-tweeting his buys nonstop for four years.

真正正確看待比特幣民族國家博弈論。一個人能夠累積的比特幣部位可以與一兩年內最大的央行黃金儲備相媲美。一個人連續四年不停地在推特上直播他的購買行為。

Study conviction.“

研究信念。

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $68,018.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 68,018 美元。