Michael Saylor 认为比特币 (BTC) 将在大约两年内飙升超过 19,000%

MicroStrategy 创始人兼执行主席 Michael Saylor 认为比特币 (BTC) 将在大约二十年内飙升超过 19,000%。

MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor thinks Bitcoin (BTC) will skyrocket over 19,000% in about two decades.

MicroStrategy 创始人 Michael Saylor 认为比特币 (BTC) 将在大约 20 年内飙升超过 19,000%。

At the Bitcoin2024 conference in Nashville, Saylor unveiled his long-term predictions for BTC, stretching out to the year 2045.

在纳什维尔举行的 Bitcoin2024 会议上，Saylor 公布了他对 BTC 的长期预测，预计将持续到 2045 年。

In his base-case scenario, the BTC firebrand sees Bitcoin’s annual rate of return (ARR) decreasing over time until the crypto king hits $13 million with a market cap of $280 trillion.

在他的基本情景中，这位 BTC 煽动者认为比特币的年回报率 (ARR) 随着时间的推移而下降，直到这位加密之王的市值达到 1300 万美元，市值达到 280 万亿美元。

“Here’s my macro Bitcoin forecast: it’s 21 years. It goes out to the year 2045. What do I think will happen? Well, I’ve got a bear case and a bull case.

“这是我对比特币的宏观预测：21 年。时间到了 2045 年。我认为会发生什么？嗯，我有一个看跌的情况和一个看涨的情况。

But what I think will happen is that 55% ARR goes to 50%, 45%, 40%, 35%, 30%, 25%, 20% – it’s between 50% and 20%. It will gradually decelerate till it’s growing about twice as fast as the S&P index.

但我认为将会发生的是，55%的ARR会变成50%、45%、40%、35%、30%、25%、20%——在50%到20%之间。它会逐渐减速，直到其增长速度约为标准普尔指数的两倍。

At that rate, Bitcoin is $13 million a coin in year 2045. It could be a $3 million bear case, it could be a $49 million bull case. But what is Bitcoin? 7% of the world’s asset then.”

按照这个速度，到 2045 年，比特币的价格将达到 1300 万美元。它可能是 300 万美元的熊市，也可能是 4900 万美元的牛市。但比特币是什么？那时世界资产的 7%。”

Saylor’s MicroStrategy is the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin in the world with a stash of 226,331 BTC valued at $15.318 billion.

Saylor 的 MicroStrategy 是全球最大的比特币企业持有者，拥有 226,331 枚比特币，价值 153.18 亿美元。

Crypto trader Luke Martin says Saylor would be the wealthiest man on the planet if BTC soars to $13 million per coin in 2045.

加密货币交易员 Luke Martin 表示，如果 2045 年 BTC 价格飙升至每枚 1300 万美元，塞勒将成为地球上最富有的人。

“If you factor in percentage ownership of Microstrategy and personal coins… His BTC position would = $573 billion, making him the richest person on earth if his prediction plays out…

“如果考虑到 Microstrategy 和个人代币的所有权百分比……他的 BTC 头寸将 = 5730 亿美元，如果他的预测成真，他将成为地球上最富有的人……

Really puts the Bitcoin nation-state game theory into perspective. One guy was able to accumulate a BTC position that could rival the largest central bank gold reserve in a decade or two. One guy live-tweeting his buys nonstop for four years.

真正正确地看待比特币民族国家博弈论。一个人能够积累的比特币头寸可以与一两年内最大的央行黄金储备相媲美。一个人连续四年不停地在推特上直播他的购买行为。

Study conviction.“

研究信念。“

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $68,018.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 68,018 美元。