去年1月，當加密貨幣市場搖擺不定時，勞爾·帕爾（Raoul Pal）對Solana（Sol）和Sui（SUI）的願景大膽樂觀地感到驚訝

去年1月，當加密貨幣市場動搖時，勞爾·帕爾（Raoul Pal）對Solana（Sol）（Sol）和Sui（Sui）的願景感到驚訝。

Last January, as the crypto market was showing signs of fatigue, Raoul Pal surprised everyone with his boldly optimistic vision for Solana (SOL) and Sui (SUI).

去年1月，當加密貨幣市場表現出疲勞的跡象時，勞爾·帕爾（Raoul Pal）以他對Solana（Sol）（Sol）和Sui（Sui）（SUI）的大膽樂觀的願景使所有人感到驚訝。

While the crypto winter was cooling enthusiasm and leading traders to prefer a cautious approach, the founder of Real Vision, counter to this collective wisdom, decided to bet on a bright future for these two altcoins. To fully decode this unique bet, we need to zoom in on the architecture of these blockchains. But first, let’s take a look at the technical and macroeconomic analysis that guided Pal.

儘管加密冬天的熱情熱情，並使交易者更喜歡一種謹慎的方法，但對這種集體智慧的創始人的創始人決定押注這兩個Altcoins的光明未來。為了完全解碼這個獨特的賭注，我們需要放大這些區塊鏈的體系結構。但是首先，讓我們看一下指導PAL的技術和宏觀經濟分析。

Solana vs Sui: The Battle of Layer 1 Blockchains

Solana vs Sui：第1層區塊鏈之戰

Both Solana and Sui are establishing themselves as champions of Layer 1, boasting unique strengths. However, their architectures differ radically. Solana combines Proof-of-History and Proof-of-Stake, a combination that guarantees very high throughput and nearly symbolic fees.

索拉納（Solana）和蘇伊（Sui）都將自己確立為第1層的擁護者，擁有獨特的優勢。但是，它們的體系結構根本不同。索拉納（Solana）結合了歷史證明和驗證證明，這種組合可以保證吞吐量很高和幾乎象徵性的費用。

Naturally, this setting is ideal for Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), which require fast transactions and low costs to operate efficiently. This explains the density of Solana’s ecosystem, which boasts over 900 projects and an active community.

自然，此設置非常適合分散融資（FAFI）和無殺菌令牌（NFTS），這些設置需要快速交易和低成本才能有效運營。這解釋了Solana生態系統的密度，該生態系統擁有900多個項目和一個活躍的社區。

Yet, the shadow of network-wide failures still looms over Solana, a critical weakness that could limit its potential for broader adoption. In contrast, Sui is powered by a novel Byzantine Fault Tolerant consensus protocol, focusing more on security and scalability.

然而，整個網絡失敗的陰影仍然籠罩在索拉納（Solana）上，這是一個關鍵的弱點，可能會限制其更廣泛採用的潛力。相比之下，SUI由一種新型的拜占庭式容錯共識方案提供動力，更多地關注安全性和可擴展性。

This choice makes Sui ideal for video games and Web3 applications, which demand high levels of complexity and a large number of users. However, Sui's still nascent ecosystem suffers from a lack of partners and developers—a final hurdle for broad adoption.

此選擇使SUI非常適合視頻遊戲和Web3應用程序，這些應用程序需要高水平的複雜性和大量用戶。但是，SUI仍然有新生的生態系統遭受缺乏合作夥伴和開發人員的困擾，這是廣泛採用的最終障礙。

Given these distinctions, the duel promises to be exciting. Solana, launched in 2020, dominates the scene today with a mature ecosystem and a dense user base.

鑑於這些區別，決鬥有望令人興奮。索拉納（Solana）於2020年推出，今天以成熟的生態系統和密集的用戶群為主。

In the same vein, optimism for new highs on price charts often depends on the actions of major players like Cathie Wood's ARK Invest. As for their technical analysis, Solana is currently testing the 1.618 Fibonacci level, aiming for a move to 410.

同樣，對新高價的樂觀態度通常取決於Cathie Wood的ARK Invest等主要參與者的行動。至於他們的技術分析，Solana目前正在測試1.618斐波那契水平，旨在遷移到410。

But to reach this zone, Solana must first overcome the resistance at 250, a level last seen in November 2021. Maintaining this threshold will be crucial to envision a true breakout.

但是要到達該區域，索拉納必須首先克服250的阻力，這是2021年11月最後一次出現的水平。保持這個閾值對於設想真正的突破至關重要。

On the other hand, younger Sui is betting on innovation with its unique features and potential for rapid development. Both respond to a specific need, and ultimately, both blockchain platforms should ideally coexist, each in its niche.

另一方面，年輕的Sui以其獨特的特徵和快速發展的潛力押注創新。兩者都響應特定的需求，最終，兩個區塊鏈平台都應該在其利基市場中共存。

Now let's return to the optimistic predictions of economist and entrepreneur Raoul Pal, who is known for his bold market takes.

現在，讓我們回到經濟學家和企業家拉爾·帕爾（Raoul Pal）的樂觀預測，後者以其大膽的市場而聞名。

Earlier this year, as bitcoin was struggling to break through the $50,000 mark, Pal surprised everyone by already targeting $100,000 for the flagship cryptocurrency.

今年早些時候，隨著比特幣努力打破50,000美元的分數，PAL已經以100,000美元的旗艦加密貨幣為目標，這使所有人感到驚訝。

In January, during an interview on Real Vision, the founder of the eponymous financial platform, was already presenting a rather optimistic vision for the year, especially considering the gloomy predictions of most analysts at the time.

一月份，在對真實願景的採訪中，同名金融平台的創始人已經為當年提供了相當樂觀的願景，尤其是考慮到當時大多數分析師的陰暗預測。

While the market was still digesting the fallout of FTX and the crypto winter was continuing to cool enthusiasm, Pal, counter to this collective wisdom, decided to bet on a bright future for two altcoins in particular: Solana (SOL) and Sui (SUI).

儘管市場仍在消化FTX的後果，而加密冬季仍在繼續冷靜的熱情，帕爾，與這種集體智慧相反，決定押注兩個尤其是兩個Altcoins的光明未來：Solana（Sol）（Sol）（SOL）和SUI（SUI）（SUI）。

"I'm stupid bullish Solana in the long term," he admitted, already displaying his unique brand of optimism.

他承認：“從長遠來看，我很愚蠢。”

His analysis, based on a logarithmic chart, identified a major resistance around $250, a level last reached in November 2021. For Pal, maintaining this threshold would be crucial to envision a true breakout.

基於對數圖表，他的分析確定了250美元左右的主要阻力，該水平在2021年11月達到了。對於PAL，維持此閾值對於設想真正的突破至關重要。

"If it breaks the 1.618 Fibonacci, which is around $410, then it really starts to create a new bull market in a big, big way," he added, mentioning an ambitious target.

他補充說：“如果它打破了約410美元左右的1.618斐波那契，那麼它確實開始以大而大的方式創造一個新的牛市。”

Since this prediction, the market has not followed the expected trajectory. Solana, which was trading around $216 in early January, underwent a severe correction, dropping to $95 before stabilizing around $150 today.

自從這一預測以來，市場尚未遵循預期的軌跡。索拉納（Solana）在1月初交易約216美元，進行了嚴重的更正，下降到95美元，然後穩定在今天的150美元左右。

While the bullish scenario remains theoretically valid, the path looks steeper than expected.

雖然看漲的情況在理論上仍然有效，但道路看起來比預期的要陡峭。

As for Sui, the initial enthusiasm was just as striking. In January, as the crypto broke through resistance at $4.88 to reach a peak of $5.22, volumes tripled in 24 hours, exceeding $2.45 billion.

至於Sui，最初的熱情同樣令人震驚。一月份，加密貨幣打破了4.88美元的阻力，達到5.22美元的峰值，數量在24小時內增加了兩倍，超過24.5億美元。

"It feels like Sui is ready to enter hyperspace," Pal exclaimed excitedly, adding that "long-term investors might want to consider buying some of this new optimism and energy."

帕爾興奮地喊道：“感覺就像SUI準備進入Hyperspace。”他補充說：“長期投資者可能想考慮購買一些新的樂觀和精力。”

Yet, the breath quickly faded. SUI crypto slipped to $1.71 before rebounding to $3.45 today. Despite the recovery, the initial hype quickly burned out, and volatility has

然而，呼吸迅速消失了。 Sui Crypto在籃板上跌至今天3.45美元，降至1.71美元。儘管恢復了