以色列 - 伊朗衝突，替代幣季節和加密貨幣：一場完美的風暴？

地緣政治緊張局勢和比特幣優勢正在重塑加密景觀。 Altcoin季節是否擱置？

The crypto market is a wild beast, and lately, it's been wrestling with some serious geopolitical drama. The intensifying Israel-Iran conflict is casting a long shadow, and while Bitcoin shows resilience, altcoins are feeling the heat. Let's dive into what's happening and what it means for your crypto portfolio.

加密市場是一種野獸，最近，它一直在與一些嚴肅的地緣政治戲劇作鬥爭。加劇以色列 - 伊朗的衝突正在蒙上陰影，儘管比特幣表現出彈性，但山寨幣仍感到熱火。讓我們深入了解正在發生的事情以及對您的加密產品組合的意義。

Bitcoin's Safe-Haven Status

比特幣的安全狀態

During times of global uncertainty, investors tend to flock to safer assets. Traditionally, that meant gold and Treasuries. But now, Bitcoin is increasingly being viewed as a digital safe haven. As the Israel-Iran conflict escalates, we're seeing capital rotate out of riskier assets, like altcoins, and into Bitcoin. This is reflected in Bitcoin's rising dominance, which has climbed since Israel's major operation against Iran. Bitcoin dominance would have to cross into the 70% territory before there is an end to the onslaught on the altcoin market. Pointing to historical performance, Rekt Capital mapped out the Bitcoin dominance being rejected at the 71% mark before the altcoin season can begin.

在全球不確定性時期，投資者傾向於湧向更安全的資產。傳統上，這意味著黃金和國庫。但是現在，比特幣越來越被視為數字避風港。隨著以色列 - 伊朗衝突的升級，我們看到資本從替代幣等風險的資產中轉移到比特幣中。這反映在比特幣的統治地位上升，自從以色列對伊朗的重大行動以來，該比特幣一直在攀升。比特幣優勢必須進入70％的領土，直到替補市場上的猛烈襲擊。指出歷史表現，Rekt Capital繪製了比特幣在山寨賽季開始之前以71％的拒絕的比特幣優勢。

Altcoin Season Delayed?

Altcoin季節推遲了嗎？

All signs point to one conclusion: the altcoin season may not be ready. The altcoin market cap, excluding the top 10 coins, has dropped as investors seek safer shores. The ETH/BTC ratio has also fallen, indicating that Ethereum, along with most altcoins, is underperforming against Bitcoin. This suggests that even with Bitcoin's relatively stagnant price, its market dominance remains strong, further delaying the altcoin season.

所有跡像都指出一個結論：山寨幣季節可能還沒有準備好。除了投資者尋求更安全的海岸時，不包括前10個硬幣的Altcoin市值已經下降了。 ETH/BTC的比率也下降了，表明以太坊以及大多數山寨幣的表現不佳。這表明，即使比特幣的價格相對停滯，其市場的統治地位仍然很強，進一步延遲了Altcoin季節。

What's the Magic Number? 71% Bitcoin Dominance

什麼是魔術數？ 71％比特幣優勢

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital suggests that the Bitcoin dominance needs to hit 71% before the altcoin market can truly shine. Historically, altseasons have begun after Bitcoin dominance gets rejected at this level. A continuous rise in the Bitcoin dominance would mean that the altcoin prices would continue to fall, and with prices already so low, it seems a lot of altcoins could crash completely.

加密分析師Rekt Capital認為，在Altcoin市場能夠真正發光之前，比特幣優勢需要達到71％。從歷史上看，在比特幣在此級別被拒絕之後，Altseasons開始了。比特幣優勢的持續上升將意味著山寨幣的價格將繼續下跌，而且價格已經如此低，似乎很多山寨幣可能會完全崩潰。

SEI Token Bucking the Trend

sei代幣逆轉趨勢

While many altcoins are struggling, SEI token has been a notable exception, experiencing a surge in price and becoming the best-performing altcoin of the week. However, on-chain data suggests increased volatility, so proceed with caution.

儘管許多AltCoins都在掙扎，但SEI令牌是一個值得注意的例外，經歷了價格上漲，並成為本週表現最佳的山寨幣。但是，鏈上的數據表明波動性增加，因此請謹慎行事。

Personal Take: Navigating the Uncertainty

個人拍攝：導航不確定性

The current market conditions are a reminder that crypto is not immune to geopolitical events. While Bitcoin's safe-haven status offers some stability, altcoins are more vulnerable to market sentiment and risk aversion. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and diversify their portfolios accordingly.

當前的市場條件提醒人們，加密貨幣不能免疫地緣政治事件。儘管比特幣的安全狀態具有一定的穩定性，但AltCoins更容易受到市場情緒和風險規避的影響。投資者應仔細考慮其風險承受能力，並相應地使其投資組合多樣化。

Looking Ahead

展望未來

So, what's next? Keep an eye on Bitcoin's dominance. If it continues to rise and reaches that 71% mark, we might finally see the altcoin season we've all been waiting for. Until then, buckle up and enjoy the ride!

那麼，下一步是什麼？密切關注比特幣的主導地位。如果它繼續上升並達到71％的成績，我們最終可能會看到我們都在等待的山寨賽賽季。在此之前，搭扣並享受旅程！