以色列 - 伊朗冲突，替代币季节和加密货币：一场完美的风暴？

地缘政治紧张局势和比特币优势正在重塑加密景观。 Altcoin季节是否搁置？

The crypto market is a wild beast, and lately, it's been wrestling with some serious geopolitical drama. The intensifying Israel-Iran conflict is casting a long shadow, and while Bitcoin shows resilience, altcoins are feeling the heat. Let's dive into what's happening and what it means for your crypto portfolio.

加密市场是一种野兽，最近，它一直在与一些严肃的地缘政治戏剧作斗争。加剧以色列 - 伊朗的冲突正在蒙上阴影，尽管比特币表现出弹性，但山寨币仍感到热火。让我们深入了解正在发生的事情以及对您的加密产品组合的意义。

Bitcoin's Safe-Haven Status

比特币的安全状态

During times of global uncertainty, investors tend to flock to safer assets. Traditionally, that meant gold and Treasuries. But now, Bitcoin is increasingly being viewed as a digital safe haven. As the Israel-Iran conflict escalates, we're seeing capital rotate out of riskier assets, like altcoins, and into Bitcoin. This is reflected in Bitcoin's rising dominance, which has climbed since Israel's major operation against Iran. Bitcoin dominance would have to cross into the 70% territory before there is an end to the onslaught on the altcoin market. Pointing to historical performance, Rekt Capital mapped out the Bitcoin dominance being rejected at the 71% mark before the altcoin season can begin.

在全球不确定性时期，投资者倾向于涌向更安全的资产。传统上，这意味着黄金和国库。但是现在，比特币越来越被视为数字避风港。随着以色列 - 伊朗冲突的升级，我们看到资本从替代币等风险的资产中转移到比特币中。这反映在比特币的统治地位上升，自从以色列对伊朗的重大行动以来，该比特币一直在攀升。比特币优势必须进入70％的领土，直到替补市场上的猛烈袭击。指出历史表现，Rekt Capital绘制了比特币在山寨赛季开始之前以71％的拒绝的比特币优势。

Altcoin Season Delayed?

Altcoin季节推迟了吗？

All signs point to one conclusion: the altcoin season may not be ready. The altcoin market cap, excluding the top 10 coins, has dropped as investors seek safer shores. The ETH/BTC ratio has also fallen, indicating that Ethereum, along with most altcoins, is underperforming against Bitcoin. This suggests that even with Bitcoin's relatively stagnant price, its market dominance remains strong, further delaying the altcoin season.

所有迹象都指出一个结论：山寨币季节可能还没有准备好。除了投资者寻求更安全的海岸时，不包括前10个硬币的Altcoin市值已经下降了。 ETH/BTC的比率也下降了，表明以太坊以及大多数山寨币的表现不佳。这表明，即使比特币的价格相对停滞，其市场的统治地位仍然很强，进一步延迟了Altcoin季节。

What's the Magic Number? 71% Bitcoin Dominance

什么是魔术数？ 71％比特币优势

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital suggests that the Bitcoin dominance needs to hit 71% before the altcoin market can truly shine. Historically, altseasons have begun after Bitcoin dominance gets rejected at this level. A continuous rise in the Bitcoin dominance would mean that the altcoin prices would continue to fall, and with prices already so low, it seems a lot of altcoins could crash completely.

加密分析师Rekt Capital认为，在Altcoin市场能够真正发光之前，比特币优势需要达到71％。从历史上看，在比特币在此级别被拒绝之后，Altseasons开始了。比特币优势的持续上升将意味着山寨币的价格将继续下跌，而且价格已经如此低，似乎很多山寨币可能会完全崩溃。

SEI Token Bucking the Trend

sei代币逆转趋势

While many altcoins are struggling, SEI token has been a notable exception, experiencing a surge in price and becoming the best-performing altcoin of the week. However, on-chain data suggests increased volatility, so proceed with caution.

尽管许多AltCoins都在挣扎，但SEI令牌是一个值得注意的例外，经历了价格上涨，并成为本周表现最佳的山寨币。但是，链上的数据表明波动性增加，因此请谨慎行事。

Personal Take: Navigating the Uncertainty

个人拍摄：导航不确定性

The current market conditions are a reminder that crypto is not immune to geopolitical events. While Bitcoin's safe-haven status offers some stability, altcoins are more vulnerable to market sentiment and risk aversion. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and diversify their portfolios accordingly.

当前的市场条件提醒人们，加密货币不能免疫地缘政治事件。尽管比特币的安全状态具有一定的稳定性，但AltCoins更容易受到市场情绪和风险规避的影响。投资者应仔细考虑其风险承受能力，并相应地使其投资组合多样化。

Looking Ahead

展望未来

So, what's next? Keep an eye on Bitcoin's dominance. If it continues to rise and reaches that 71% mark, we might finally see the altcoin season we've all been waiting for. Until then, buckle up and enjoy the ride!

那么，下一步是什么？密切关注比特币的主导地位。如果它继续上升并达到71％的成绩，我们最终可能会看到我们都在等待的山寨赛赛季。在此之前，搭扣并享受旅程！