印度在2024年上合組織高峰會上拒絕中國的去美元化提議

2024 年上海合作組織 (SCO) 高峰會是地緣政治緊張局勢的焦點。印度正式拒絕了中國以人民幣取代美元進行貿易交流的提議，此舉可能重新定義國際貿易的動態。

At the SCO Summit 2024, China, backed by Russia, pushed for de-dollarization by proposing the use of local currencies, mainly the yuan, in international trade transactions. However, India notably opposed this initiative, opting to continue using the US dollar as the reference currency for its trade exchanges. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi chose to send Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar to represent him at this summit, sending a clear message of his disagreement with the Chinese proposal.

在2024年上合組織高峰會上，中國在俄羅斯的支持下推動去美元化，提議在國際貿易交易中使用本幣（主要是人民幣）。然而，印度強烈反對這項舉措，選擇繼續使用美元作為其貿易往來的參考貨幣。印度總理莫迪選擇派外長蘇傑生代表自己出席本次峰會，明確表示不同意中方提議。

While India saved by using the yuan and the ruble to pay for Russian oil in 2022, the country ultimately prefers to use the dollar for its future transactions. This decision is driven by both economic concerns and a distrust of China’s global ambitions. In response to Russia's demand that oil purchases be made in yuan, India opted to reduce its imports of Russian oil and pivoted towards the United States, paying in dollars.

儘管印度在 2022 年使用人民幣和盧布購買俄羅斯石油，節省了開支，但該國最終更願意使用美元進行未來的交易。這項決定是出於經濟擔憂和對中國全球雄心的不信任。為了回應俄羅斯以人民幣購買石油的要求，印度選擇減少從俄羅斯進口石油，轉而轉向美國，以美元支付。

This firm stance against China's proposed de-dollarization could significantly impact global economic dynamics. By refusing to adopt the yuan for trade exchanges, India sends a clear message about its commitment to maintaining the US dollar as the dominant currency. This decision could influence other BRICS members, creating a division within the group regarding the future direction of monetary policies.

這種反對中國提議的去美元化的堅定立場可能會對全球經濟動態產生重大影響。透過拒絕採用人民幣進行貿易往來，印度發出了明確的訊息，表明其致力於維持美元作為主導貨幣的地位。這項決定可能會影響其他金磚國家成員，導致該集團內部就貨幣政策的未來方向產生分歧。

Russia's support for China's de-dollarization initiatives reveals the shared ambitions of these two nations to reduce global dependency on the dollar. However, India's resistance might hinder these efforts, complicating the implementation of a currency substitution strategy. The immediate impact is already being felt in oil transactions, where India has begun diversifying its supply sources by turning to the United States and paying in dollars instead of yuan or rubles. This strategy not only strengthens the dollar's position in the short term but also demonstrates India's caution towards China's growing economic influence.

俄羅斯對中國去美元化措施的支持體現了兩國減少全球對美元依賴的共同雄心。然而，印度的抵制可能會阻礙這些努力，使貨幣替代策略的實施變得複雜。石油交易已經感受到了直接影響，印度已開始透過轉向美國並以美元而不是人民幣或盧布支付來實現供應來源多元化。這項策略不僅在短期內強化了美元的地位，也顯示了印度對中國日益增長的經濟影響力的謹慎態度。

The long-term implications of this strategic divergence within BRICS are still up for grabs. If other member countries decide to follow India's example, the dominance of the dollar could be consolidated, at least temporarily. Conversely, if China and Russia succeed in convincing more nations to follow suit, the much-desired de-dollarization could have a chance of becoming a reality.

金磚國家內部這種戰略分歧的長期影響仍有待考慮。如果其他成員國決定效法印度的榜樣，美元的主導地位可能會得到鞏固，至少是暫時的。相反，如果中國和俄羅斯成功說服更多國家效仿，人們渴望的去美元化可能有機會成為現實。