印度在2024年上合组织峰会上拒绝中国的去美元化提议

2024 年上海合作组织 (SCO) 峰会是地缘政治紧张局势的焦点。印度正式拒绝了中国以人民币取代美元进行贸易交流的提议，此举可能重新定义国际贸易的动态。

At the SCO Summit 2024, China, backed by Russia, pushed for de-dollarization by proposing the use of local currencies, mainly the yuan, in international trade transactions. However, India notably opposed this initiative, opting to continue using the US dollar as the reference currency for its trade exchanges. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi chose to send Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar to represent him at this summit, sending a clear message of his disagreement with the Chinese proposal.

在2024年上合组织峰会上，中国在俄罗斯的支持下推动去美元化，提议在国际贸易交易中使用本币（主要是人民币）。然而，印度强烈反对这一举措，选择继续使用美元作为其贸易往来的参考货币。印度总理莫迪选择派外长苏杰生代表自己出席本次峰会，明确表示不同意中方提议。

While India saved by using the yuan and the ruble to pay for Russian oil in 2022, the country ultimately prefers to use the dollar for its future transactions. This decision is driven by both economic concerns and a distrust of China’s global ambitions. In response to Russia's demand that oil purchases be made in yuan, India opted to reduce its imports of Russian oil and pivoted towards the United States, paying in dollars.

尽管印度在 2022 年使用人民币和卢布购买俄罗斯石油，节省了开支，但该国最终更愿意使用美元进行未来的交易。这一决定是出于经济担忧和对中国全球雄心的不信任。为了回应俄罗斯以人民币购买石油的要求，印度选择减少从俄罗斯进口石油，转而转向美国，以美元支付。

This firm stance against China's proposed de-dollarization could significantly impact global economic dynamics. By refusing to adopt the yuan for trade exchanges, India sends a clear message about its commitment to maintaining the US dollar as the dominant currency. This decision could influence other BRICS members, creating a division within the group regarding the future direction of monetary policies.

这种反对中国提议的去美​​元化的坚定立场可能会对全球经济动态产生重大影响。通过拒绝采用人民币进行贸易往来，印度发出了明确的信息，表明其致力于维持美元作为主导货币的地位。这一决定可能会影响其他金砖国家成员，从而在集团内部就货币政策的未来方向产生分歧。

Russia's support for China's de-dollarization initiatives reveals the shared ambitions of these two nations to reduce global dependency on the dollar. However, India's resistance might hinder these efforts, complicating the implementation of a currency substitution strategy. The immediate impact is already being felt in oil transactions, where India has begun diversifying its supply sources by turning to the United States and paying in dollars instead of yuan or rubles. This strategy not only strengthens the dollar's position in the short term but also demonstrates India's caution towards China's growing economic influence.

俄罗斯对中国去美元化举措的支持体现了两国减少全球对美元依赖的共同雄心。然而，印度的抵制可能会阻碍这些努力，使货币替代战略的实施变得复杂化。石油交易已经感受到了直接影响，印度已开始通过转向美国并以美元而不是人民币或卢布支付来实现供应来源多元化。这一策略不仅在短期内强化了美元的地位，也表明了印度对中国日益增长的经济影响力的谨慎态度。

The long-term implications of this strategic divergence within BRICS are still up for grabs. If other member countries decide to follow India's example, the dominance of the dollar could be consolidated, at least temporarily. Conversely, if China and Russia succeed in convincing more nations to follow suit, the much-desired de-dollarization could have a chance of becoming a reality.

金砖国家内部这种战略分歧的长期影响仍有待考量。如果其他成员国决定效仿印度的榜样，美元的主导地位可能会得到巩固，至少是暂时的。相反，如果中国和俄罗斯成功说服更多国家效仿，人们渴望的去美元化可能有机会成为现实。