儘管最近更廣泛的加密貨幣市場增長，但XRP表現出弱勢勢頭

儘管最近更廣泛的加密貨幣市場增長，但XRP表現出弱勢勢頭。而比特幣（BTC）本週飆升了11％

Despite recent surges in the broader cryptocurrency market, Ripple’s XRP has shown weak momentum compared to Bitcoin (BTC). While BTC has skyrocketed over 11% this week, hitting a new high of $94,671 and nearing the $100,000 mark, XRP has only managed a 6.56% gain. It continues to struggle near the $2.21 level, facing persistent resistance and failing to reflect the broader market’s recovery. Nonetheless, some analysts remain optimistic about the token’s long-term potential, with a few projecting the possibility of the asset eventually reaching a price of $100.

儘管最近在更廣泛的加密貨幣市場激增，但與比特幣（BTC）相比，Ripple的XRP表現出較弱的動力。儘管本週BTC飆升了11％以上，跌至94,671美元，接近100,000美元，但XRP僅管理了6.56％的收益。它繼續在2.21美元的水平上掙扎，面臨著持續的抵抗，無法反映出更廣泛的市場的複蘇。儘管如此，一些分析師仍然對代幣的長期潛力保持樂觀，其中一些分析師預測資產的可能性最終達到100美元。

Could XRP Realistically Hit $100?

XRP可以現實地達到100美元嗎？

This scenario would depend on significant changes in XRP’s tokenomics and the size of the global crypto market. Currently, more conservative price targets, such as $10 and $27, seem more plausible. However, some market commentators have suggested that XRP could reach as high as $100 under the right conditions. Last year, crypto analyst Levi Rietveld expressed strong confidence in this outcome, and more recently, analyst BarriC stated that investors may one day be willing to pay $100 per token.

這種情況將取決於XRP的令牌學和全球加密市場規模的重大變化。目前，更保守的價格目標（例如10美元和27美元）似乎更合理。但是，一些市場評論員認為，在正確的條件下，XRP可以達到高達100美元。去年，加密分析師Levi Rietveld對這一結果表達了強烈的信心，最近，分析師Barric表示，投資者可能有一天願意為每位令牌支付100美元。

This projection would also be contingent upon a substantial reduction in the asset’s total supply. XRPScan data shows that the asset has a total supply of about 99 billion tokens. At $100 per token, this would result in a fully diluted market capitalization of $9.9 trillion. For context, Bitcoin’s current valuation is roughly $1.9 trillion, and the entire global crypto market cap is around $3 trillion. Moreover, the estimated value of all the gold in the world is $22 trillion.

該預測也將取決於資產總供應的大幅度減少。 XRPSCAN數據表明，該資產的總供應約為990億個令牌。以每個令牌100美元的價格，這將導致9.9萬億美元的市值完全稀釋。對於上下文，比特幣目前的估值約為1.9萬億美元，整個全球加密市政上限約為3萬億美元。此外，世界上所有黃金的估計價值為22萬億美元。

Addressing the Supply Barrier

解決供應障礙

One potential path to reducing XRP’s market cap at higher price levels involves decreasing the total token supply. A commonly proposed solution has been the burning of Ripple’s escrow balance, which currently holds around 36.8 billion XRP. Burning this stash would reduce the circulating and total potential supply, potentially leading to higher valuations.

減少XRP較高價格水平的XRP市值的一條潛在途徑是減少令牌供應的總供應。一個普遍提出的解決方案是燃燒Ripple的託管平衡，目前持有約368億XRP。燃燒這種藏匿會減少循環和總潛在供應，並有可能導致更高的估值。

However, Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer, David Schwartz, has discouraged this approach. He points to the 2019 example of Stellar, which destroyed a portion of its token supply without achieving significant price gains. As such, the effectiveness of supply reduction in boosting price remains uncertain.

但是，Ripple的首席技術官David Schwartz勸阻這種方法。他指出了2019年的Stellar例子，該例子摧毀了其代幣供應的一部分而沒有實現大幅上漲。因此，降低供應價格的有效性仍然不確定。

Another idea, discussed within the community, involves donating the escrowed XRP to the U.S. government, following former President Donald Trump’s recent remarks about XRP being included in a national crypto reserve. While symbolically impactful, the practical implications of this action on price dynamics are still unclear.

在唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）最近關於XRP被包括在國家加密儲備中的言論之後，社區中討論的另一個想法涉及將XRP的XRP捐贈給美國政府。儘管具有像徵性的影響力，但此動作對價格動態的實際含義尚不清楚。

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Broader Market Growth as a Key Factor

廣泛的市場增長是關鍵因素

Even with a reduced supply, achieving a $100 valuation for the token would require substantial expansion of the entire cryptocurrency market. If XRP’s total supply were cut to 63 billion tokens and reached $100 per token, the resulting market cap would be $6.3 trillion. For XRP to account for just 6% of the total market, the global crypto market would need to grow to around $113.33 trillion.

即使供應量減少，為代幣達成100美元的估值也將需要大量擴展整個加密貨幣市場。如果XRP的總供應量減少到630億個令牌，並且每種令牌達到100美元，則產生的市值將為6.3萬億美元。為了使XRP僅佔總市場的6％，全球加密貨幣市場將需要增長到113.33萬億美元。

For comparison, if Bitcoin maintained its current dominance level of about 64.5%, it would command a $73.13 trillion market cap in this scenario. Divided across its 21 million coin supply, this would equate to a BTC price of around $3.4 million. Interestingly, this aligns with a forecast made by VanEck in 2024, which predicted Bitcoin could reach $3 million by 2050.

為了進行比較，如果比特幣的當前優勢水平約為64.5％，在這種情況下，它將指揮73.13萬億美元的市值。在其2100萬枚硬幣供應中分配，這將等同於BTC的價格約為340萬美元。有趣的是，這與Vaneck在2024年的預測相吻合，預計到2050年，該預測比特幣將達到300萬美元。

While the possibility of XRP hitting $100 is not entirely implausible, it is highly improbable without extraordinary changes in XRP’s tokenomics and the size of the global crypto market. The potential for such a price point to be realized depends largely on the cooperation and actions of the broader cryptocurrency community.

儘管XRP達到100美元的可能性並非完全令人難以置信，但如果沒有XRP的標記學和全球加密貨幣市場的規模，它極不可能。實現這種價格點的潛力在很大程度上取決於更廣泛的加密貨幣社區的合作和行動。