尽管最近更广泛的加密货币市场增长，但XRP表现出弱势势头

尽管最近更广泛的加密货币市场增长，但XRP表现出弱势势头。而比特币（BTC）本周飙升了11％

Despite recent surges in the broader cryptocurrency market, Ripple’s XRP has shown weak momentum compared to Bitcoin (BTC). While BTC has skyrocketed over 11% this week, hitting a new high of $94,671 and nearing the $100,000 mark, XRP has only managed a 6.56% gain. It continues to struggle near the $2.21 level, facing persistent resistance and failing to reflect the broader market’s recovery. Nonetheless, some analysts remain optimistic about the token’s long-term potential, with a few projecting the possibility of the asset eventually reaching a price of $100.

尽管最近在更广泛的加密货币市场激增，但与比特币（BTC）相比，Ripple的XRP表现出较弱的动力。尽管本周BTC飙升了11％以上，跌至94,671美元，接近100,000美元，但XRP仅管理了6.56％的收益。它继续在2.21美元的水平上挣扎，面临着持续的抵抗，无法反映出更广泛的市场的复苏。尽管如此，一些分析师仍然对代币的长期潜力保持乐观，其中一些分析师预测资产的可能性最终达到100美元。

Could XRP Realistically Hit $100?

XRP可以现实地达到100美元吗？

This scenario would depend on significant changes in XRP’s tokenomics and the size of the global crypto market. Currently, more conservative price targets, such as $10 and $27, seem more plausible. However, some market commentators have suggested that XRP could reach as high as $100 under the right conditions. Last year, crypto analyst Levi Rietveld expressed strong confidence in this outcome, and more recently, analyst BarriC stated that investors may one day be willing to pay $100 per token.

这种情况将取决于XRP的令牌学和全球加密市场规模的重大变化。目前，更保守的价格目标（例如10美元和27美元）似乎更合理。但是，一些市场评论员认为，在正确的条件下，XRP可以达到高达100美元。去年，加密分析师Levi Rietveld对这一结果表达了强烈的信心，最近，分析师Barric表示，投资者可能有一天愿意为每位令牌支付100美元。

This projection would also be contingent upon a substantial reduction in the asset’s total supply. XRPScan data shows that the asset has a total supply of about 99 billion tokens. At $100 per token, this would result in a fully diluted market capitalization of $9.9 trillion. For context, Bitcoin’s current valuation is roughly $1.9 trillion, and the entire global crypto market cap is around $3 trillion. Moreover, the estimated value of all the gold in the world is $22 trillion.

该预测也将取决于资产总供应的大幅度减少。 XRPSCAN数据表明，该资产的总供应约为990亿个令牌。以每个令牌100美元的价格，这将导致9.9万亿美元的市值完全稀释。对于上下文，比特币目前的估值约为1.9万亿美元，整个全球加密市政上限约为3万亿美元。此外，世界上所有黄金的估计价值为22万亿美元。

Addressing the Supply Barrier

解决供应障碍

One potential path to reducing XRP’s market cap at higher price levels involves decreasing the total token supply. A commonly proposed solution has been the burning of Ripple’s escrow balance, which currently holds around 36.8 billion XRP. Burning this stash would reduce the circulating and total potential supply, potentially leading to higher valuations.

减少XRP较高价格水平的XRP市值的一条潜在途径是减少令牌供应的总供应。一个普遍提出的解决方案是燃烧Ripple的托管平衡，目前持有约368亿XRP。燃烧这种藏匿会减少循环和总潜在供应，并有可能导致更高的估值。

However, Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer, David Schwartz, has discouraged this approach. He points to the 2019 example of Stellar, which destroyed a portion of its token supply without achieving significant price gains. As such, the effectiveness of supply reduction in boosting price remains uncertain.

但是，Ripple的首席技术官David Schwartz劝阻这种方法。他指出了2019年的Stellar例子，该例子摧毁了其代币供应的一部分而没有实现大幅上涨。因此，降低供应价格的有效性仍然不确定。

Another idea, discussed within the community, involves donating the escrowed XRP to the U.S. government, following former President Donald Trump’s recent remarks about XRP being included in a national crypto reserve. While symbolically impactful, the practical implications of this action on price dynamics are still unclear.

在唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）最近关于XRP被包括在国家加密储备中的言论之后，社区中讨论的另一个想法涉及将XRP的XRP捐赠给美国政府。尽管具有象征性的影响力，但此动作对价格动态的实际含义尚不清楚。

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Broader Market Growth as a Key Factor

广泛的市场增长是关键因素

Even with a reduced supply, achieving a $100 valuation for the token would require substantial expansion of the entire cryptocurrency market. If XRP’s total supply were cut to 63 billion tokens and reached $100 per token, the resulting market cap would be $6.3 trillion. For XRP to account for just 6% of the total market, the global crypto market would need to grow to around $113.33 trillion.

即使供应量减少，为代币达成100美元的估值也将需要大量扩展整个加密货币市场。如果XRP的总供应量减少到630亿个令牌，并且每种令牌达到100美元，则产生的市值将为6.3万亿美元。为了使XRP仅占总市场的6％，全球加密货币市场将需要增长到113.33万亿美元。

For comparison, if Bitcoin maintained its current dominance level of about 64.5%, it would command a $73.13 trillion market cap in this scenario. Divided across its 21 million coin supply, this would equate to a BTC price of around $3.4 million. Interestingly, this aligns with a forecast made by VanEck in 2024, which predicted Bitcoin could reach $3 million by 2050.

为了进行比较，如果比特币的当前优势水平约为64.5％，在这种情况下，它将指挥73.13万亿美元的市值。在其2100万枚硬币供应中分配，这将等同于BTC的价格约为340万美元。有趣的是，这与Vaneck在2024年的预测相吻合，预计到2050年，该预测比特币将达到300万美元。

While the possibility of XRP hitting $100 is not entirely implausible, it is highly improbable without extraordinary changes in XRP’s tokenomics and the size of the global crypto market. The potential for such a price point to be realized depends largely on the cooperation and actions of the broader cryptocurrency community.

尽管XRP达到100美元的可能性并非完全令人难以置信，但如果没有XRP的标记学和全球加密货币市场的规模，它极不可能。实现这种价格点的潜力在很大程度上取决于更广泛的加密货币社区的合作和行动。