比特幣在美國的未來：與 W. Scott Stornetta 的對話

目前的共和黨人已經為更多有利於比特幣和加密貨幣的政策奠定了基礎。這從共和黨總統候選人川普的立場可以明顯看出

The current Republican Party is setting the stage for more Bitcoin- and crypto-friendly policies. This is evident in the positions taken by the Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, who endorsed pro-crypto stances at a recent event.

目前的共和黨正在為更多支持比特幣和加密貨幣的政策奠定基礎。這一點在共和黨總統候選人唐納德·川普的立場中得到了體現，他在最近的活動中支持了支持加密貨幣的立場。

W. Scott Stornetta, regarded as one of the co-founders of blockchain technology, joined David Lin for a conversation about Bitcoin and its future. He discussed how a Trump presidency could lead to a significant increase in pro-Bitcoin policies, which would likely encourage business activity that has been waiting offshore to move into the US market.

W. Scott Stornetta，被視為區塊鏈技術的聯合創始人之一，與 David Lin 一起討論了比特幣及其未來。他討論了川普擔任總統如何導致支持比特幣的政策大幅增加，這可能會鼓勵一直在海外等待進入美國市場的商業活動。

Moreover, a recent US Supreme Court ruling, known as the Chevron ruling, could further impact the crypto landscape. This decision shifts more legislative and rulemaking power back to Congress from the executive branch. This could potentially limit the SEC’s authority, especially under the current chairman, Gary Gensler, who has adopted a broad and sometimes controversial approach to crypto regulation.

此外，美國最高法院最近的一項裁決（稱為「雪佛龍裁決」）可能會進一步影響加密貨幣格局。這項決定將更多的立法和規則制定權從行政部門轉移回國會。這可能會限制 SEC 的權威，特別是在現任主席加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 的領導下，他對加密貨幣監管採取了廣泛且有時存在爭議的方法。

Regardless of the election outcome, these changes suggest a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies in the US.

無論選舉結果如何，這些變化都顯示美國的加密貨幣環境更加有利。

Touching on President Biden's proposed 30% tax on crypto mining, if the Democrats win, there might be some adjustments or softening of this tax, especially with a new candidate entering the race. The political landscape around cryptocurrencies is becoming increasingly partisan, reflecting broader debates about privacy versus regulation and traditional party lines.

談到拜登總統提議對加密貨幣挖礦徵收 30% 的稅，如果民主黨獲勝，這項稅收可能會有所調整或軟化，尤其是在有新候選人加入競選的情況下。圍繞加密貨幣的政治格局正變得越來越黨派化，反映出關於隱私與監管和傳統政黨路線的更廣泛辯論。

Stornetta also discussed whether a weaker dollar environment would be beneficial for alternative currencies like Bitcoin. He explained that to address this, it's important first to consider stablecoins, especially those in the second tier that aim to track a basket of currencies. Such stablecoins might find a niche in a weakening dollar environment.

斯托內塔也討論了美元疲軟的環境是否有利於比特幣等替代貨幣。他解釋說，為了解決這個問題，首先要考慮穩定幣，尤其是那些旨在追蹤一籃子貨幣的第二層穩定幣。這類穩定幣可能會在美元疲軟的環境中找到一席之地。

For Bitcoin, its future largely depends on its gradual integration into the global economy. The recent approval of Bitcoin ETFs, which was sanctioned by Gensler, is a step towards greater integration. Currently, over 20% of the US population is involved in cryptocurrencies, which shifts the narrative toward Bitcoin becoming a more integral part of the financial system.

對於比特幣來說，它的未來很大程度上取決於它逐漸融入全球經濟。最近，比特幣 ETF 獲得了 Gensler 的批准，這是邁向更大程度一體化的一步。目前，超過 20% 的美國人口參與加密貨幣，這使得比特幣成為金融體系中更不可或缺的一部分。

This growing acceptance could lead to a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies in the US. While this may or may not be a partisan issue, it points toward a future where cryptocurrencies, including stablecoins and Bitcoin, are more embedded in the economy.

這種日益增長的接受度可能會為美國的加密貨幣帶來更有利的環境。儘管這可能是也可能不是黨派問題，但它表明未來加密貨幣（包括穩定幣和比特幣）將更加融入經濟。