比特币在美国的未来：与 W. Scott Stornetta 的对话

目前的共和党人已经为更多有利于比特币和加密货币的政策奠定了基础。这从共和党总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普的立场中可以明显看出

The current Republican Party is setting the stage for more Bitcoin- and crypto-friendly policies. This is evident in the positions taken by the Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, who endorsed pro-crypto stances at a recent event.

当前的共和党正在为更多支持比特币和加密货币的政策奠定基础。这一点在共和党总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普的立场中得到了体现，他在最近的一次活动中支持了支持加密货币的立场。

W. Scott Stornetta, regarded as one of the co-founders of blockchain technology, joined David Lin for a conversation about Bitcoin and its future. He discussed how a Trump presidency could lead to a significant increase in pro-Bitcoin policies, which would likely encourage business activity that has been waiting offshore to move into the US market.

W. Scott Stornetta，被视为区块链技术的联合创始人之一，与 David Lin 一起讨论了比特币及其未来。他讨论了特朗普担任总统如何导致支持比特币的政策大幅增加，这可能会鼓励一直在海外等待进入美国市场的商业活动。

Moreover, a recent US Supreme Court ruling, known as the Chevron ruling, could further impact the crypto landscape. This decision shifts more legislative and rulemaking power back to Congress from the executive branch. This could potentially limit the SEC’s authority, especially under the current chairman, Gary Gensler, who has adopted a broad and sometimes controversial approach to crypto regulation.

此外，美国最高法院最近的一项裁决（称为“雪佛龙裁决”）可能会进一步影响加密货币格局。这一决定将更多的立法和规则制定权从行政部门转移回国会。这可能会限制 SEC 的权威，特别是在现任主席加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 的领导下，他对加密货币监管采取了广泛且有时存在争议的方法。

Regardless of the election outcome, these changes suggest a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies in the US.

无论选举结果如何，这些变化都表明美国的加密货币环境更加有利。

Touching on President Biden's proposed 30% tax on crypto mining, if the Democrats win, there might be some adjustments or softening of this tax, especially with a new candidate entering the race. The political landscape around cryptocurrencies is becoming increasingly partisan, reflecting broader debates about privacy versus regulation and traditional party lines.

谈到拜登总统提议对加密货币挖矿征收 30% 的税，如果民主党获胜，这一税收可能会有所调整或软化，尤其是在有新候选人加入竞选的情况下。围绕加密货币的政治格局正变得越来越党派化，反映出关于隐私与监管和传统政党路线的更广泛辩论。

Stornetta also discussed whether a weaker dollar environment would be beneficial for alternative currencies like Bitcoin. He explained that to address this, it's important first to consider stablecoins, especially those in the second tier that aim to track a basket of currencies. Such stablecoins might find a niche in a weakening dollar environment.

斯托内塔还讨论了美元疲软的环境是否有利于比特币等替代货币。他解释说，为了解决这个问题，首先要考虑稳定币，尤其是那些旨在跟踪一篮子货币的第二层稳定币。此类稳定币可能会在美元疲软的环境中找到一席之地。

For Bitcoin, its future largely depends on its gradual integration into the global economy. The recent approval of Bitcoin ETFs, which was sanctioned by Gensler, is a step towards greater integration. Currently, over 20% of the US population is involved in cryptocurrencies, which shifts the narrative toward Bitcoin becoming a more integral part of the financial system.

对于比特币来说，它的未来很大程度上取决于它逐渐融入全球经济。最近，比特币 ETF 获得了 Gensler 的批准，这是迈向更大程度一体化的一步。目前，超过 20% 的美国人口参与加密货币，这使得比特币成为金融体系中更不可或缺的一部分。

This growing acceptance could lead to a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies in the US. While this may or may not be a partisan issue, it points toward a future where cryptocurrencies, including stablecoins and Bitcoin, are more embedded in the economy.

这种日益增长的接受度可能会为美国的加密货币带来更有利的环境。尽管这可能是也可能不是党派问题，但它表明未来加密货币（包括稳定币和比特币）将更加融入经济。