最奢侈的比特幣預測是重新鋪面

在比特幣激增的背景下，最奢侈的預測是重新鋪面。

In the wake of bitcoin’s recent surge, the most extravagant predictions are resurfacing. One of them, forecasting BTC at $250,000 by December, triggered a hilarious reaction from Billy Markus, co-founder of Dogecoin. But this is a reminder that not all projections are equal.

隨著比特幣最近的激增，最奢侈的預測正在浮出水面。其中一位預測BTC到12月的25萬美元，引發了Dogecoin聯合創始人Billy Markus的熱鬧反應。但這提醒您並非所有的預測都是平等的。

Thisbitcoin dream is buzzing but is it based on air?

這個Bitbitcoin的夢想在嗡嗡作響，但它是基於空氣嗎？

A shocking forecast comes from an unknown analyst who promises bitcoin at $250,000 before the end of 2025. An increase of more than 130% in seven months, while BTC is currently around $110,000, after having surpassed the $111,000 mark. This type of projection, without serious technical or macroeconomic basis, helps to sustain a speculative bubble in a market that is otherwise stabilizing.

令人震驚的預測來自一位未知的分析師，他承諾在2025年底之前以25萬美元的價格為比特幣。在七個月內增加了130％以上，而BTC目前約為110,000美元，在超過了111,000美元的成績。這種類型的預測在沒有嚴重的技術或宏觀經濟基礎的情況下，有助於在一個穩定的市場中維持投機性泡沫。

Billy Markus, Dogecoin co-founder known on X (formerly Twitter) as Shibetoshi Nakamoto,, could not help but mock it.

Billy Markus，Dogecoin在X（以前稱為Twitter）的聯合創始人中，是Nakamoto的Shibetoshi，他不禁嘲笑它。

A scathing tweet that alone sums up the cyclical speculative hysteria returning in the crypto world. Far from being a simple troll, Markus regularly scoffs at and criticizes the faults of an ecosystem hungry for buzz but poor in rigor.

一條嚴厲的推文，單獨總結了加密貨幣世界中周期性投機性的歇斯底里。馬庫斯（Markus）並不是一個簡單的巨魔，他經常嘲笑並批評一個渴望嗡嗡作響的生態系統的缺點，但嚴謹。

Bitcoin predictions based on solid data

基於固體數據的比特幣預測

In contrast to these fanciful rises, several recognized analysts propose much more moderate forecasts.

與這些幻想的上升相反，幾位公認的分析師提出了更溫和的預測。

These estimates are based on macroeconomic data, valuation models, and a rational reading of bitcoin cycles. Unlike the wild forecasts, which only serve to create hype. Worse, they reinforce a short-termism dynamic, attracting poorly informed investors seeking quick gains.

這些估計基於宏觀經濟數據，估值模型以及比特幣週期的合理閱讀。與狂野的預測不同，這只能創造炒作。更糟糕的是，他們加強了短期主義的動態，吸引了尋求快速收益的知情投資者。

Unfortunately, this phenomenon fuels BTC volatility and undermines the credibility of an already fragile sector in the eyes of regulators. By valuing spectacular prophecies over founded analyses, the crypto ecosystem risks falling back into the pitfalls that followed previous bubbles.

不幸的是，這種現象為BTC的波動賦予了波動，並破壞了監管機構眼中已經脆弱的部門的可信度。通過對基礎分析的壯觀預言進行評估，加密生態系統的風險落入了先前氣泡之後的陷阱中。

$250,000 for BTC? Some Believe Firmly

BTC $ 250,000？有些人堅信

While the $250,000 target may seem optimistic for bitcoin, it is nevertheless supported by established figures. Arthur Hayes already mentioned such an increase in April 2025, subject to a return of quantitative easing by the Fed. He later touched upon it again at Token2049 in Dubai in May.

儘管$ 250,000的目標似乎對比特幣感到樂觀，但它仍然得到既定數字的支持。亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）已經提到了2025年4月的增長，前提是美聯儲的定量緩解。後來，他在5月在迪拜的Token2049再次涉及它。

On his side, Joe Burnett from Unchained expressed in early May that a BTC at $250,000 by the end of 2025 would not surprise him. These projections rely on increased global liquidity and U.S. budget deficits as potential catalysts for this bullish scenario.

在他這一邊，Unchained的喬·伯內特（Joe Burnett）在5月初表示，到2025年底，BTC的價格為25萬美元，這並不會讓他感到驚訝。這些預測取決於全球流動性和美國預算赤字作為這種看漲情況的潛在催化劑。

Billy Markus’s sarcastic intervention therefore serves as a salutary safeguard. It humorously reminds us that a prediction only has value if it is based on structured and verifiable analysis. At a time when bitcoin threatens a critical support below $107,000, the challenge is not to dream up a price but to understand the dynamics that sustain it.

因此，比利·馬克斯（Billy Markus）的諷刺干預是有益的保障。它幽默地提醒我們，一個預測僅基於結構化和可驗證的分析時才具有價值。在比特幣威脅到低於$ 107,000的關鍵支持的時候，挑戰不是夢想價格，而是要了解維持它的動態。

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The world is evolving and adaptation is the best weapon to survive in this undulating universe. Originally a crypto community manager, I am interested in anything that is directly or indirectly linked to blockchain and its derivatives. To share my experience and highlight a field that I am passionate about, nothing is better than writing informative and relaxed articles.

世界正在發展，適應是在這個起伏的宇宙中生存的最佳武器。最初是加密社區經理，我對與區塊鍊及其衍生物直接或間接相關的任何事物感興趣。為了分享我的經驗並突出一個我熱衷的領域，沒有什麼比撰寫內容豐富且輕鬆的文章更好。