最奢侈的比特币预测是重新铺面

在比特币激增的背景下，最奢侈的预测是重新铺面。

In the wake of bitcoin’s recent surge, the most extravagant predictions are resurfacing. One of them, forecasting BTC at $250,000 by December, triggered a hilarious reaction from Billy Markus, co-founder of Dogecoin. But this is a reminder that not all projections are equal.

随着比特币最近的激增，最奢侈的预测正在浮出水面。其中一位预测BTC到12月的25万美元，引发了Dogecoin联合创始人Billy Markus的热闹反应。但这提醒您并非所有的预测都是平等的。

Thisbitcoin dream is buzzing but is it based on air?

这个Bitbitcoin的梦想在嗡嗡作响，但它是基于空气吗？

A shocking forecast comes from an unknown analyst who promises bitcoin at $250,000 before the end of 2025. An increase of more than 130% in seven months, while BTC is currently around $110,000, after having surpassed the $111,000 mark. This type of projection, without serious technical or macroeconomic basis, helps to sustain a speculative bubble in a market that is otherwise stabilizing.

令人震惊的预测来自一位未知的分析师，他承诺在2025年底之前以25万美元的价格为比特币。在七个月内增加了130％以上，而BTC目前约为110,000美元，在超过了111,000美元的成绩。这种类型的预测在没有严重的技术或宏观经济基础的情况下，有助于在一个稳定的市场中维持投机性泡沫。

Billy Markus, Dogecoin co-founder known on X (formerly Twitter) as Shibetoshi Nakamoto,, could not help but mock it.

Billy Markus，Dogecoin在X（以前称为Twitter）的联合创始人中，是Nakamoto的Shibetoshi，他不禁嘲笑它。

A scathing tweet that alone sums up the cyclical speculative hysteria returning in the crypto world. Far from being a simple troll, Markus regularly scoffs at and criticizes the faults of an ecosystem hungry for buzz but poor in rigor.

一条严厉的推文，单独总结了加密货币世界中周期性投机性的歇斯底里。马库斯（Markus）并不是一个简单的巨魔，他经常嘲笑并批评一个渴望嗡嗡作响的生态系统的缺点，但严谨。

Bitcoin predictions based on solid data

基于固体数据的比特币预测

In contrast to these fanciful rises, several recognized analysts propose much more moderate forecasts.

与这些幻想的上升相反，几位公认的分析师提出了更温和的预测。

These estimates are based on macroeconomic data, valuation models, and a rational reading of bitcoin cycles. Unlike the wild forecasts, which only serve to create hype. Worse, they reinforce a short-termism dynamic, attracting poorly informed investors seeking quick gains.

这些估计基于宏观经济数据，估值模型以及比特币周期的合理阅读。与狂野的预测不同，这只能创造炒作。更糟糕的是，他们加强了短期主义的动态，吸引了寻求快速收益的知情投资者。

Unfortunately, this phenomenon fuels BTC volatility and undermines the credibility of an already fragile sector in the eyes of regulators. By valuing spectacular prophecies over founded analyses, the crypto ecosystem risks falling back into the pitfalls that followed previous bubbles.

不幸的是，这种现象为BTC的波动赋予了波动，并破坏了监管机构眼中已经脆弱的部门的可信度。通过对基础分析的壮观预言进行评估，加密生态系统的风险落入了先前气泡之后的陷阱中。

$250,000 for BTC? Some Believe Firmly

BTC $ 250,000？有些人坚信

While the $250,000 target may seem optimistic for bitcoin, it is nevertheless supported by established figures. Arthur Hayes already mentioned such an increase in April 2025, subject to a return of quantitative easing by the Fed. He later touched upon it again at Token2049 in Dubai in May.

尽管$ 250,000的目标似乎对比特币感到乐观，但它仍然得到既定数字的支持。亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）已经提到了2025年4月的增长，前提是美联储的定量缓解。后来，他在5月在迪拜的Token2049再次涉及它。

On his side, Joe Burnett from Unchained expressed in early May that a BTC at $250,000 by the end of 2025 would not surprise him. These projections rely on increased global liquidity and U.S. budget deficits as potential catalysts for this bullish scenario.

在他这一边，Unchained的乔·伯内特（Joe Burnett）在5月初表示，到2025年底，BTC的价格为25万美元，这并不会让他感到惊讶。这些预测取决于全球流动性和美国预算赤字作为这种看涨情况的潜在催化剂。

Billy Markus’s sarcastic intervention therefore serves as a salutary safeguard. It humorously reminds us that a prediction only has value if it is based on structured and verifiable analysis. At a time when bitcoin threatens a critical support below $107,000, the challenge is not to dream up a price but to understand the dynamics that sustain it.

因此，比利·马克斯（Billy Markus）的讽刺干预是有益的保障。它幽默地提醒我们，一个预测仅基于结构化和可验证的分析时才具有价值。在比特币威胁到低于$ 107,000的关键支持的时候，挑战不是梦想价格，而是要了解维持它的动态。

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The world is evolving and adaptation is the best weapon to survive in this undulating universe. Originally a crypto community manager, I am interested in anything that is directly or indirectly linked to blockchain and its derivatives. To share my experience and highlight a field that I am passionate about, nothing is better than writing informative and relaxed articles.

世界正在发展，适应是在这个起伏的宇宙中生存的最佳武器。最初是加密社区经理，我对与区块链及其衍生物直接或间接相关的任何事物感兴趣。为了分享我的经验并突出一个我热衷的领域，没有什么比撰写内容丰富且轻松的文章更好。