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在 X 上的一篇新文章中,分析師 Ali Martinez 討論了以太坊目前在投資者成本基礎分佈方面的情況

A recent analysis by an analyst on X has highlighted the crucial importance of a specific on-chain demand zone for Ethereum, emphasizing that losing this zone could potentially lead to a drastic price crash to as low as $1,800.
X 分析師最近的一項分析強調了以太坊特定鏈上需求區域的至關重要性,並強調失去該區域可能會導致價格急劇下跌至 1,800 美元。
According to the analysis, which utilizes data from IntoTheBlock, a platform known for its market intelligence, vast amounts of ETH were acquired by investors within the price range of $2,292 to $2,359. This information is depicted in the chart, where the size of each dot corresponds to the quantity of ETH last purchased by investors within a particular price range.
根據該分析,該分析利用了以市場情報聞名的平台 IntoTheBlock 的數據,投資者在 2,292 美元至 2,359 美元的價格範圍內購買了大量 ETH。這些資訊在圖表中進行了描述,其中每個點的大小對應於投資者在特定價格範圍內最後購買的 ETH 數量。
In this case, the substantial dot size within the mentioned price range indicates significant buying activity. More precisely, nearly 52.3 million ETH was acquired by 1.9 million addresses within this range.
在這種情況下,上述價格範圍內的較大點尺寸表示有大量購買活動。更準確地說,該範圍內的 190 萬個地址獲取了近 5230 萬個 ETH。
As Ethereum is currently retesting this price range, investors who purchased within it would be breaking even on their investments at this point. Cost basis, typically defined as the average price at which an investor acquired a particular asset, serves as a crucial level for any investor.
由於以太幣目前正在重新測試這個價格範圍,因此在該價格範圍內購買的投資者此時將實現損益兩平。成本基礎通常定義為投資者購買特定資產的平均價格,對任何投資者來說都是至關重要的水平。
Hence, they tend to be more likely to engage in some form of action during a retest of their cost basis. However, in cases where price ranges contain the acquisition levels of only a small number of holders, any market reaction resulting from a retest may not be particularly impactful for the broader market.
因此,在重新測試其成本基礎期間,他們往往更有可能採取某種形式的行動。然而,如果價格範圍僅包含少數持有者的收購水平,則重新測試引起的任何市場反應可能不會對更廣泛的市場產生特別影響。
On the other hand, when large demand zones, such as the one identified for Ethereum, are retested, it can often lead to noticeable shifts in the asset's price.
另一方面,當重新測試大需求區域(例如為以太坊確定的需求區域)時,通常會導致資產價格發生顯著變化。
In terms of how a retest of a large demand zone influences a cryptocurrency's price, the key factor lies in investor psychology. Retests that occur from above, indicating investors who were in profit just before the retest, usually generate a buying reaction in the market.
就大需求區的重新測試如何影響加密貨幣的價格而言,關鍵因素在於投資者心理。從上方發生的重新測試表明在重新測試之前獲利的投資者通常會在市場上產生買入反應。
This phenomenon occurs because these holders may anticipate the asset's price to rise further in the future, making them more inclined to purchase more at their cost basis, which appears to be a profitable opportunity.
出現這種現像是因為這些持有者可能預計未來資產價格會進一步上漲,使他們更傾向於以成本為基礎購買更多資產,這似乎是一個有利可圖的機會。
As Ethereum is currently retesting the $2,292 to $2,359 range from above, it's possible that this could provide support and contribute to a buying reaction. However, if a breakout below this zone occurs, the cryptocurrency's price may face further pressure.
由於以太幣目前正在重新測試上方 2,292 美元至 2,359 美元的區間,這可能會提供支撐並有助於購買反應。然而,如果突破該區域,加密貨幣的價格可能會面臨進一步的壓力。
The chart also reveals that the price ranges below this demand zone contain the cost basis of a small number of investors, indicating that they may not be able to prevent a further decline in the asset's price.
該圖表還顯示,低於該需求區域的價格範圍包含少數投資者的成本基礎,顯示他們可能無法阻止資產價格進一步下跌。
“If this demand zone breaks, we could see a sell-off driving ETH toward $1,800,” the analyst noted. A sell-off to this level from the current price would constitute a decrease of over 21% in the coin's value.
這位分析師指出:“如果這個需求區域被打破,我們可能會看到拋售將 ETH 推向 1,800 美元。”從當前價格拋售至此水準將導致代幣價值下降超過 21%。
It now remains to be seen how the Ethereum price will unfold in the coming days and whether the on-chain support zone will hold.
現在,以太坊價格在未來幾天將如何發展以及鏈上支撐區域是否會持續還有待觀察。
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