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在 X 上的一篇新文章中,分析师 Ali Martinez 讨论了以太坊目前在投资者成本基础分布方面的情况

A recent analysis by an analyst on X has highlighted the crucial importance of a specific on-chain demand zone for Ethereum, emphasizing that losing this zone could potentially lead to a drastic price crash to as low as $1,800.
X 分析师最近的一项分析强调了以太坊特定链上需求区域的至关重要性,并强调失去该区域可能会导致价格急剧下跌至 1,800 美元。
According to the analysis, which utilizes data from IntoTheBlock, a platform known for its market intelligence, vast amounts of ETH were acquired by investors within the price range of $2,292 to $2,359. This information is depicted in the chart, where the size of each dot corresponds to the quantity of ETH last purchased by investors within a particular price range.
根据该分析,该分析利用了以市场情报闻名的平台 IntoTheBlock 的数据,投资者在 2,292 美元至 2,359 美元的价格范围内购买了大量 ETH。该信息在图表中进行了描述,其中每个点的大小对应于投资者在特定价格范围内最后购买的 ETH 数量。
In this case, the substantial dot size within the mentioned price range indicates significant buying activity. More precisely, nearly 52.3 million ETH was acquired by 1.9 million addresses within this range.
在这种情况下,上述价格范围内的较大点尺寸表明存在大量购买活动。更准确地说,该范围内的 190 万个地址获取了近 5230 万个 ETH。
As Ethereum is currently retesting this price range, investors who purchased within it would be breaking even on their investments at this point. Cost basis, typically defined as the average price at which an investor acquired a particular asset, serves as a crucial level for any investor.
由于以太坊目前正在重新测试这个价格范围,因此在该价格范围内购买的投资者此时将实现盈亏平衡。成本基础通常定义为投资者购买特定资产的平均价格,对任何投资者来说都是至关重要的水平。
Hence, they tend to be more likely to engage in some form of action during a retest of their cost basis. However, in cases where price ranges contain the acquisition levels of only a small number of holders, any market reaction resulting from a retest may not be particularly impactful for the broader market.
因此,在重新测试其成本基础期间,他们往往更有可能采取某种形式的行动。然而,如果价格范围仅包含少数持有者的收购水平,则重新测试引起的任何市场反应可能不会对更广泛的市场产生特别影响。
On the other hand, when large demand zones, such as the one identified for Ethereum, are retested, it can often lead to noticeable shifts in the asset's price.
另一方面,当重新测试大需求区域(例如为以太坊确定的需求区域)时,通常会导致资产价格发生明显变化。
In terms of how a retest of a large demand zone influences a cryptocurrency's price, the key factor lies in investor psychology. Retests that occur from above, indicating investors who were in profit just before the retest, usually generate a buying reaction in the market.
就大需求区的重新测试如何影响加密货币的价格而言,关键因素在于投资者心理。从上方发生的重新测试表明在重新测试之前获利的投资者通常会在市场上产生买入反应。
This phenomenon occurs because these holders may anticipate the asset's price to rise further in the future, making them more inclined to purchase more at their cost basis, which appears to be a profitable opportunity.
出现这种现象是因为这些持有者可能预计未来资产价格会进一步上涨,从而使他们更倾向于以成本为基础购买更多资产,这似乎是一个有利可图的机会。
As Ethereum is currently retesting the $2,292 to $2,359 range from above, it's possible that this could provide support and contribute to a buying reaction. However, if a breakout below this zone occurs, the cryptocurrency's price may face further pressure.
由于以太坊目前正在重新测试上方 2,292 美元至 2,359 美元的区间,这可能会提供支撑并有助于购买反应。然而,如果突破该区域,加密货币的价格可能会面临进一步的压力。
The chart also reveals that the price ranges below this demand zone contain the cost basis of a small number of investors, indicating that they may not be able to prevent a further decline in the asset's price.
该图表还显示,低于该需求区域的价格范围包含少数投资者的成本基础,表明他们可能无法阻止资产价格进一步下跌。
“If this demand zone breaks, we could see a sell-off driving ETH toward $1,800,” the analyst noted. A sell-off to this level from the current price would constitute a decrease of over 21% in the coin's value.
这位分析师指出:“如果这个需求区域被打破,我们可能会看到抛售将 ETH 推向 1,800 美元。”从当前价格抛售至此水平将导致代币价值下降 21% 以上。
It now remains to be seen how the Ethereum price will unfold in the coming days and whether the on-chain support zone will hold.
现在,以太坊价格在未来几天将如何发展以及链上支撑区域是否会持续还有待观察。
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