Polymarket 顯示，以太坊價格可能會先降至 2,000 美元，然後再升至 4,000 美元

自 8 月 25 日觸底 54% 以來，以太坊 (ETH) 在 12 月 31 日之前跌至 2,000 美元的可能性一直在上升。

The price of Ethereum (ETH) is set to drop to $2,000 before jumping to $4,000, according to Polymarket, a popular prediction platform.

根據熱門預測平台 Polymarket 的數據，以太坊 (ETH) 的價格將先跌至 2,000 美元，然後再升至 4,000 美元。

The odds of ETH falling to $2,000 before Dec. 31 have been rising since Aug. 25, when they bottomed at 54%. These odds increased to 60% on Aug. 27 as the coin dropped to $2,600 from this week’s high of $2,818.

自 8 月 25 日觸底 54% 以來，ETH 在 12 月 31 日之前跌至 2,000 美元的可能性一直在上升。 8 月 27 日，隨著代幣從本周高點 2,818 美元跌至 2,600 美元，這一可能性增加至 60%。

Ethereum, like most altcoins, has been in a strong downward trend since March, when it peaked at $4,085. Therefore, the odds of falling to $2,000 have risen since the coin needs to drop by 23%. It would need to rise by 54% to reach $4,000.

與大多數山寨幣一樣，以太坊自 3 月達到高峰 4,085 美元以來一直處於強勁下跌趨勢。因此，由於該幣需要下跌 23%，因此跌至 2000 美元的可能性有所上升。它需要上漲 54% 才能達到 4,000 美元。

Another Polymarket poll with $231,000 in assets shows an 8% chance of Ether rising to $3,000 before September. Most traders in another poll with $1.1 million don’t expect it to hit a record high this year.

另一項 Polymarket 資產 231,000 美元的民調顯示，以太幣在 9 月之前上漲至 3,000 美元的可能性為 8%。在另一項調查中，大多數交易員預計 110 萬美元不會在今年創下歷史新高。

This year, ETH has faced numerous challenges. It is experiencing substantial competition in the stablecoin market, where Tron (TRX) is handling billions of dollars in transactions each day.

今年，ETH 面臨諸多挑戰。 Tron（TRX）在穩定幣市場上正在經歷激烈的競爭，每天處理數十億美元的交易。

It is also facing competition in the Decentralized Finance industry, where Solana (SOL) had the most DEX volume in July as demand for its meme coins rose. Solana's exchange-traded volume on decentralized exchanges was $57 billion in July, compared to Ethereum’s $54.5 billion.

它還面臨去中心化金融業的競爭，隨著對其迷因幣的需求上升，Solana (SOL) 在 7 月的 DEX 交易量最多。 7 月份，Solana 在去中心化交易所的交易所交易量為 570 億美元，而以太坊為 545 億美元。

This month, however, Ethereum is leading by far, having handled $50 billion compared to Solana’s $33 billion.

然而本月，以太坊遙遙領先，處理了 500 億美元的交易，而 Solana 處理了 330 億美元的交易。

The biggest challenge that Ether is facing is that its exchange-traded funds are not having traction among investors. Data by SoSoValue shows that these funds have had a cumulative outflow of $477 million since their inception. They have had outflows in the past eight consecutive days.

以太坊面臨的最大挑戰是其交易所交易基金在投資者之間沒有吸引力。 SoSoValue的數據顯示，這些基金自成立以來已累積流出4.77億美元。過去連續八天都有資金流出。

Moreover, Ether has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows. Most importantly, it has also formed a death cross as the 200-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) have crossed each other.

此外，以太幣已經形成了一系列較低的高點和較低的低點。最重要的是，隨著 200 天和 50 天指數移動平均線 (EMA) 相互交叉，它也形成了死亡交叉。

It has also formed a bearish flag chart pattern, pointing to more downside. If this happens, the next point to watch will be this month’s low at $2,113. A break below that point will raise the chances of the coin falling to $2,000.

它還形成了一個看跌旗形圖表模式，表明還有更多下行空間。如果發生這種情況，下一個值得關注的點將是本月低點 2,113 美元。跌破該點將增加代幣跌至 2,000 美元的可能性。