Polymarket 显示，以太坊价格可能会先降至 2,000 美元，然后再升至 4,000 美元

自 8 月 25 日触底 54% 以来，以太坊 (ETH) 在 12 月 31 日之前跌至 2,000 美元的可能性一直在上升。

The price of Ethereum (ETH) is set to drop to $2,000 before jumping to $4,000, according to Polymarket, a popular prediction platform.

根据热门预测平台 Polymarket 的数据，以太坊 (ETH) 的价格将先跌至 2,000 美元，然后再升至 4,000 美元。

The odds of ETH falling to $2,000 before Dec. 31 have been rising since Aug. 25, when they bottomed at 54%. These odds increased to 60% on Aug. 27 as the coin dropped to $2,600 from this week’s high of $2,818.

自 8 月 25 日触底 54% 以来，ETH 在 12 月 31 日之前跌至 2,000 美元的可能性一直在上升。 8 月 27 日，随着代币从本周高点 2,818 美元跌至 2,600 美元，这一可能性增加至 60%。

Ethereum, like most altcoins, has been in a strong downward trend since March, when it peaked at $4,085. Therefore, the odds of falling to $2,000 have risen since the coin needs to drop by 23%. It would need to rise by 54% to reach $4,000.

与大多数山寨币一样，以太坊自 3 月份达到峰值 4,085 美元以来一直处于强劲下跌趋势。因此，由于该币需要下跌 23%，因此跌至 2000 美元的可能性有所上升。它需要上涨 54% 才能达到 4,000 美元。

Another Polymarket poll with $231,000 in assets shows an 8% chance of Ether rising to $3,000 before September. Most traders in another poll with $1.1 million don’t expect it to hit a record high this year.

另一项 Polymarket 资产 231,000 美元的民意调查显示，以太币在 9 月之前上涨至 3,000 美元的可能性为 8%。在另一项调查中，大多数交易员预计 110 万美元不会在今年创下历史新高。

This year, ETH has faced numerous challenges. It is experiencing substantial competition in the stablecoin market, where Tron (TRX) is handling billions of dollars in transactions each day.

今年，ETH 面临着诸多挑战。 Tron（TRX）在稳定币市场上正在经历激烈的竞争，每天处理数十亿美元的交易。

It is also facing competition in the Decentralized Finance industry, where Solana (SOL) had the most DEX volume in July as demand for its meme coins rose. Solana's exchange-traded volume on decentralized exchanges was $57 billion in July, compared to Ethereum’s $54.5 billion.

它还面临着去中心化金融行业的竞争，随着对其模因币的需求上升，Solana (SOL) 在 7 月份的 DEX 交易量最多。 7 月份，Solana 在去中心化交易所的交易所交易量为 570 亿美元，而以太坊为 545 亿美元。

This month, however, Ethereum is leading by far, having handled $50 billion compared to Solana’s $33 billion.

然而本月，以太坊遥遥领先，处理了 500 亿美元的交易，而 Solana 处理了 330 亿美元的交易。

The biggest challenge that Ether is facing is that its exchange-traded funds are not having traction among investors. Data by SoSoValue shows that these funds have had a cumulative outflow of $477 million since their inception. They have had outflows in the past eight consecutive days.

以太坊面临的最大挑战是其交易所交易基金在投资者中没有吸引力。 SoSoValue的数据显示，这些基金自成立以来已累计流出4.77亿美元。过去连续八天都有资金流出。

Moreover, Ether has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows. Most importantly, it has also formed a death cross as the 200-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) have crossed each other.

此外，以太币已经形成了一系列较低的高点和较低的低点。最重要的是，随着 200 天和 50 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 相互交叉，它还形成了死亡交叉。

It has also formed a bearish flag chart pattern, pointing to more downside. If this happens, the next point to watch will be this month’s low at $2,113. A break below that point will raise the chances of the coin falling to $2,000.

它还形成了看跌旗形图表模式，表明还有更多下行空间。如果发生这种情况，下一个值得关注的点将是本月低点 2,113 美元。跌破该点将增加代币跌至 2,000 美元的可能性。