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加密貨幣新聞文章

以太坊可以召集實力達到地標$ 10,000的價格點

2025/05/04 19:06

以太坊作為Web3泰坦的地位與最近的表現越來越低。

Despite being a titan of Web3, Ethereum’s recent performance has been sluggish compared to its peers. As the network is now the fabric underpinning vast swathes of the crypto economy, and with ETH the asset lagging behind competitors, investors have been left pondering a crucial question: can Ethereum muster the strength to hit the landmark $10,000 price point before the next Bitcoin halving reshapes the market around 2028? Exploring Ethereum’s current revival efforts, upgrade paths, and historical cycle dependencies provides context for this pivotal Ethereum price prediction.

儘管是Web3的泰坦,但與同齡人相比,以太坊的最近表現一直遲鈍。由於該網絡現在是加密經濟的巨大範圍的結構,並且隨著ETH的資產落後於競爭對手,投資者一直在思考一個至關重要的問題:以太坊能否提高地標$ 10,000的價格,然後在2028年左右在下一個比特幣將重新構造量減少市場之前,這是在下一個比特幣降低整流罩的情況下?探索以太坊目前的複興工作,升級路徑和歷史週期依賴關係為這種關鍵的以太坊價格預測提供了背景。

Green shoots or false dawn? Ethereum’s revival efforts

綠芽還是假黎明?以太坊的複興努力

After a rather rocky start to 2025, there are signs that we might be seeing a slight revival in interest in the Ethereum ecosystem. On-chain data recently revealed a notable uptick in weekly unique addresses interacting with the ecosystem, suggesting that users might be returning to the network after a period of inactivity.

在2025年開始了相當艱難的開始之後,有一些跡象表明,我們可能會看到以太坊生態系統的興趣略有復興。鏈上數據最近揭示了與生態系統相互作用的每週獨特地址的顯著提升,這表明在一段時間後,用戶可能會返回網絡。

In addition, trader sentiment towards the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency appears to be warming, which has placed ETH at the forefront of market attention once again. As Benzinga reported earlier this week, despite not seeing the same floods of cash as Bitcoin, Spot ETH ETFs have pulled in a respectable $2.5 billion over a recent two-week span.

此外,對世界第二大加密貨幣的交易者情緒似乎正在變暖,這再次使ETH處於市場關注的最前沿。正如本辛加本週早些時候報導的那樣,儘管沒有看到與比特幣相同的現金洪水,但現貨ETH ETF在最近的兩週範圍內卻獲得了可觀的25億美元。

Perhaps more significantly, BlackRock’s (NYSE:BLK) plan to leverage Ethereum to tokenize a major Treasury fund underscores the potential for long-term institutional reliance on the network.

也許更重要的是,貝萊德(Blackrock)(NYSE:BLK)計劃利用以太坊(Ethereum)將主要財政基金表示強調,這強調了長期機構對網絡的依賴的潛力。

Of course, this technological evolution is also essential. Buterin has been floating interesting ideas to streamline the execution layer for better scalability and user experience, while the impending Pectra upgrade is focused on improving network efficiency.

當然,這種技術進化也是必不可少的。 Buterin一直在浮動有趣的想法,以簡化執行層以獲得更好的可擴展性和用戶體驗,而即將來臨的Pectra升級則集中在提高網絡效率上。

However, the shadow of competitors like Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) looms large, as the Solana blockchain has managed to capture significant user activity and DEX volume. For Ethereum to truly regain momentum and justify a bullish Ethereum price prediction, these upgrades must translate into tangible improvements that win back market share and demonstrably boost network demand.

但是,由於Solana區塊鏈設法捕獲了重要的用戶活動和DEX量,因此Solana(Crypto:Sol)等競爭對手的陰影隱約可見。為了使以太坊真正恢復動力並證明看漲的以太坊價格預測是合理的,這些升級必須轉化為有形的改進,以贏得市場份額,並明顯提高網絡需求。

Solana vs. Ethereum weekly DEX Volume Source: DeFiLlama

Solana vs.以太坊每週DEX卷來源:Defillama

Halving cycles & the $10k target

減半週期和$ 10K目標

Shifting the focus towards the multi-year timeframe, the potential for Ethereum to reach $10,000 is often discussed in relation to Bitcoin’s halving cycles. These cycles, occurring roughly every four years, have historically been followed by major crypto bull runs, forming “supercycles” in 2013, 2017, and 2021.

將重點轉移到了多年的時間範圍內,以太坊的潛力經常與比特幣的減半週期討論10,000美元。這些週期大約每四年發生一次,其歷史上是主要的加密公牛奔跑,在2013年,2017年和2021年形成了“超級環保”。

As the leading altcoin, Ethereum has typically benefited immensely during these periods of halving-induced euphoria. With the next halving anticipated around 2028, the question arises: could this cycle witness an Ethereum price prediction reaching the $10,000 milestone?

作為領先的山寨幣,以太坊通常在減少誘發的欣快感時期受益匪淺。隨著下一個預計將在2028年左右,問題出現了:這個週期能否見證以太坊價格預測達到10,000美元的里程碑?

Within this framework, it becomes plausible. To achieve this target from current levels (around $1,800-$2,000) would require a greater than 5x increase. While substantial, such gains are not unprecedented during peak bull market phases driven by halving scarcity narratives and subsequent retail/institutional FOMO.

在此框架內,它變得合理。為了從當前水平(約合1,800-2,000美元)實現這一目標,將需要大於5倍。雖然很大,但在牛市高峰市場階段,由於稀缺敘事和隨後的零售/機構FOMO的一半驅動,這種收益並不是前所未有的。

If history repeats itself and Ethereum manages to maintain its network effect and relevance, the next halving cycle presents the most logical timeframe for potentially reaching, or at least approaching, the $10,000 mark.

如果歷史重複自我,以太坊設法保持其網絡效應和相關性,那麼下一個減半週期將為可能達到或至少接近10,000美元的最合乎邏輯的時間範圍。

In the past year the ETH price peaked at $4,000; is $10,000 in the cards? Source: CoinMarketCap

在過去的一年中,ETH價格為4,000美元; $ 10,000在卡中嗎?資料來源:CoinMarketCap

Technical hurdles & near-term outlook for the Ethereum price prediction

以太坊價格預測的技術障礙和近期前景

While the long-term narratives are bullish, Ethereum’s immediate technicals present some challenges. As highlighted in a recent analysis by Benzinga's own kripto virology, ETH found support near its -1SD line, suggesting a potential bottom.

儘管長期敘述是看好的,但以太坊的直接技術卻帶來了一些挑戰。正如Benzinga自己的Kripto病毒學最近的一項分析中所強調的那樣,ETH在其-1SD系列附近發現了支持,這表明潛在的底部。

However, the lower part of the price is encountering resistance between $2,066 and $2,517 as many traders bought high and are now averaging down. Breaking out of the immediate levels like $2,000, $2,300, and $2,533 is crucial for the bulls to gain momentum.

但是,由於許多交易者購買高價,現在平均降低了價格,因此價格下部遇到了2,066美元至2,517美元的阻力。從$ 2,000,$ 2,300和2,533美元的立即分發出來,對於公牛隊獲得勢頭至關重要。

The indicators are also presenting a mixed picture. Derivatives data suggests that optimism is returning with rising Open Interest and a strong build-up of Call options. On the other hand, on-chain metrics like the Price-DeBase Average (DAA) are showing a negative divergence, and the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating that institutional and large-scale investors are not yet returning in droves.

指示器還顯示了混合圖片。衍生工具數據表明,樂觀情緒正在以不斷上升的開放興趣和強烈的呼叫選項的良好形式恢復。另一方面,諸如價格基本平均水平(DAA)之類的鍊鍊指標顯示出負分歧,而Chaikin貨幣流(CMF)表明機構和大型投資者尚未返回傢伙。

This rather complex picture makes any short-term Ethereum price prediction difficult. Overcoming these hurdles and technical anomalies will be essential for any serious Ethereum price prediction aiming for $10k.

這張相當複雜的圖片使任何短期以太坊價格預測變得困難。克服這些障礙和技術異常對於任何嚴重的以太坊價格預測至關重要,目的是以1萬美元的價格預測。

An alternative opportunity: Remittix (RTX)

另一種機會:REMITTIX(RTX)

As Ethereum navigates this multi-year path, investors seeking nearer-

當以太坊駕駛這一多年道路時,尋求更接近的投資者

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