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以太坊作为Web3泰坦的地位与最近的表现越来越低。
Despite being a titan of Web3, Ethereum’s recent performance has been sluggish compared to its peers. As the network is now the fabric underpinning vast swathes of the crypto economy, and with ETH the asset lagging behind competitors, investors have been left pondering a crucial question: can Ethereum muster the strength to hit the landmark $10,000 price point before the next Bitcoin halving reshapes the market around 2028? Exploring Ethereum’s current revival efforts, upgrade paths, and historical cycle dependencies provides context for this pivotal Ethereum price prediction.
尽管是Web3的泰坦,但与同龄人相比,以太坊的最近表现一直迟钝。由于该网络现在是加密经济的巨大范围的结构,并且随着ETH的资产落后于竞争对手,投资者一直在思考一个至关重要的问题:以太坊能否提高地标$ 10,000的价格,然后在2028年左右在下一个比特币将重新构造量减少市场之前,这是在下一个比特币降低整流罩的情况下?探索以太坊目前的复兴工作,升级路径和历史周期依赖关系为这种关键的以太坊价格预测提供了背景。
Green shoots or false dawn? Ethereum’s revival efforts
绿芽还是假黎明?以太坊的复兴努力
After a rather rocky start to 2025, there are signs that we might be seeing a slight revival in interest in the Ethereum ecosystem. On-chain data recently revealed a notable uptick in weekly unique addresses interacting with the ecosystem, suggesting that users might be returning to the network after a period of inactivity.
在2025年开始了相当艰难的开始之后,有一些迹象表明,我们可能会看到以太坊生态系统的兴趣略有复兴。链上数据最近揭示了与生态系统相互作用的每周独特地址的显着提升,这表明在一段时间后,用户可能会返回网络。
In addition, trader sentiment towards the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency appears to be warming, which has placed ETH at the forefront of market attention once again. As Benzinga reported earlier this week, despite not seeing the same floods of cash as Bitcoin, Spot ETH ETFs have pulled in a respectable $2.5 billion over a recent two-week span.
此外,对世界第二大加密货币的交易者情绪似乎正在变暖,这再次使ETH处于市场关注的最前沿。正如本辛加本周早些时候报道的那样,尽管没有看到与比特币相同的现金洪水,但现货ETH ETF在最近的两周范围内却获得了可观的25亿美元。
Perhaps more significantly, BlackRock’s (NYSE:BLK) plan to leverage Ethereum to tokenize a major Treasury fund underscores the potential for long-term institutional reliance on the network.
也许更重要的是,贝莱德(Blackrock)(NYSE:BLK)计划利用以太坊(Ethereum)将主要财政基金表示强调,这强调了长期机构对网络的依赖的潜力。
Of course, this technological evolution is also essential. Buterin has been floating interesting ideas to streamline the execution layer for better scalability and user experience, while the impending Pectra upgrade is focused on improving network efficiency.
当然,这种技术进化也是必不可少的。 Buterin一直在浮动有趣的想法,以简化执行层以获得更好的可扩展性和用户体验,而即将来临的Pectra升级则集中在提高网络效率上。
However, the shadow of competitors like Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) looms large, as the Solana blockchain has managed to capture significant user activity and DEX volume. For Ethereum to truly regain momentum and justify a bullish Ethereum price prediction, these upgrades must translate into tangible improvements that win back market share and demonstrably boost network demand.
但是,由于Solana区块链设法捕获了重要的用户活动和DEX量,因此Solana(Crypto:Sol)等竞争对手的阴影隐约可见。为了使以太坊真正恢复动力并证明看涨的以太坊价格预测是合理的,这些升级必须转化为有形的改进,以赢得市场份额,并明显提高网络需求。
Solana vs. Ethereum weekly DEX Volume Source: DeFiLlama
Solana vs.以太坊每周DEX卷来源:Defillama
Halving cycles & the $10k target
减半周期和$ 10K目标
Shifting the focus towards the multi-year timeframe, the potential for Ethereum to reach $10,000 is often discussed in relation to Bitcoin’s halving cycles. These cycles, occurring roughly every four years, have historically been followed by major crypto bull runs, forming “supercycles” in 2013, 2017, and 2021.
将重点转移到了多年的时间范围内,以太坊的潜力经常与比特币的减半周期讨论10,000美元。这些周期大约每四年发生一次,其历史上是主要的加密公牛奔跑,在2013年,2017年和2021年形成了“超级环保”。
As the leading altcoin, Ethereum has typically benefited immensely during these periods of halving-induced euphoria. With the next halving anticipated around 2028, the question arises: could this cycle witness an Ethereum price prediction reaching the $10,000 milestone?
作为领先的山寨币,以太坊通常在减少诱发的欣快感时期受益匪浅。随着下一个预计将在2028年左右,问题出现了:这个周期能否见证以太坊价格预测达到10,000美元的里程碑?
Within this framework, it becomes plausible. To achieve this target from current levels (around $1,800-$2,000) would require a greater than 5x increase. While substantial, such gains are not unprecedented during peak bull market phases driven by halving scarcity narratives and subsequent retail/institutional FOMO.
在此框架内,它变得合理。为了从当前水平(约合1,800-2,000美元)实现这一目标,将需要大于5倍。虽然很大,但在牛市高峰市场阶段,由于稀缺叙事和随后的零售/机构FOMO的一半驱动,这种收益并不是前所未有的。
If history repeats itself and Ethereum manages to maintain its network effect and relevance, the next halving cycle presents the most logical timeframe for potentially reaching, or at least approaching, the $10,000 mark.
如果历史重复自我,以太坊设法保持其网络效应和相关性,那么下一个减半周期将为可能达到或至少接近10,000美元的最合乎逻辑的时间范围。
In the past year the ETH price peaked at $4,000; is $10,000 in the cards? Source: CoinMarketCap
在过去的一年中,ETH价格为4,000美元; $ 10,000在卡中吗?资料来源:CoinMarketCap
Technical hurdles & near-term outlook for the Ethereum price prediction
以太坊价格预测的技术障碍和近期前景
While the long-term narratives are bullish, Ethereum’s immediate technicals present some challenges. As highlighted in a recent analysis by Benzinga's own kripto virology, ETH found support near its -1SD line, suggesting a potential bottom.
尽管长期叙述是看好的,但以太坊的直接技术却带来了一些挑战。正如Benzinga自己的Kripto病毒学最近的一项分析中所强调的那样,ETH在其-1SD系列附近发现了支持,这表明潜在的底部。
However, the lower part of the price is encountering resistance between $2,066 and $2,517 as many traders bought high and are now averaging down. Breaking out of the immediate levels like $2,000, $2,300, and $2,533 is crucial for the bulls to gain momentum.
但是,由于许多交易者购买高价,现在平均降低了价格,因此价格下部遇到了2,066美元至2,517美元的阻力。从$ 2,000,$ 2,300和2,533美元的立即分发出来,对于公牛队获得势头至关重要。
The indicators are also presenting a mixed picture. Derivatives data suggests that optimism is returning with rising Open Interest and a strong build-up of Call options. On the other hand, on-chain metrics like the Price-DeBase Average (DAA) are showing a negative divergence, and the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating that institutional and large-scale investors are not yet returning in droves.
指示器还显示了混合图片。衍生工具数据表明,乐观情绪正在以不断上升的开放兴趣和强烈的呼叫选项的良好形式恢复。另一方面,诸如价格基本平均水平(DAA)之类的链链指标显示出负分歧,而Chaikin货币流(CMF)表明机构和大型投资者尚未返回家伙。
This rather complex picture makes any short-term Ethereum price prediction difficult. Overcoming these hurdles and technical anomalies will be essential for any serious Ethereum price prediction aiming for $10k.
这张相当复杂的图片使任何短期以太坊价格预测变得困难。克服这些障碍和技术异常对于任何严重的以太坊价格预测至关重要,目的是以1万美元的价格预测。
An alternative opportunity: Remittix (RTX)
另一种机会:REMITTIX(RTX)
As Ethereum navigates this multi-year path, investors seeking nearer-
当以太坊驾驶这一多年道路时,寻求更接近的投资者
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