到 2024 年 9 月，以太幣 (ETH) 可能會達到 6,000 美元：原因如下

受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師 degentrading (@degentradingLSD) 做出了大膽預測，認為以太幣到 2024 年 9 月將達到 6,000 美元。

Crypto analyst Degentrading has predicted that ETH will reach $6,000 by September 2024. This bold prediction comes in response to Mechanism Capital founder Andrew Kang's analysis, which suggests that Ethereum will underperform despite the imminent launch of US spot Ethereum ETFs.

加密貨幣分析師Degentrading 預測ETH 到2024 年9 月將達到6,000 美元。 這一大膽的預測是對Mechanism Capital 創始人Andrew Kang 分析的回應，該分析表明，儘管美國現貨以太坊ETF 即將推出，但以太坊坊坊將表現不佳。

According to Degentrading, the change in CME open interest (OI) from pre-ETF days to the present indicates a substantial increase of approximately $5 billion. He suggests that this could be the upper bound of cash and carry trades prior to the ETF launch.

根據 Degentrading 的數據，CME 未平倉合約 (OI) 從 ETF 上市前到現在的變化表明，大幅增加了約 50 億美元。他表示，這可能是 ETF 推出之前現金和套利交易的上限。

However, he notes that the challenges posed by the extinction of prime brokers like Genesis could limit the overall cash and carry trades to a minority, estimating a maximum of $1-2 billion. This would leave an estimated $7 billion in potential inflows, which is highly dependent on assumptions.

然而，他指出，Genesis 等主要經紀商的消亡帶來的挑戰可能會將現金和套利交易總量限制在少數，估計最多可達 10-20 億美元。這將留下估計 70 億美元的潛在流入，這在很大程度上取決於假設。

Degentrading also highlights the contrasting sentiments in traditional finance (TradFi) compared to Crypto Twitter (CT). While CT is largely pessimistic about Ethereum's performance, TradFi professionals show more enthusiasm for ETH and even SOL compared to BTC.

退化交易也凸顯了傳統金融 (TradFi) 與加密貨幣 Twitter (CT) 的截然不同的情緒。雖然 CT 對以太坊的表現基本上持悲觀態度，但與 BTC 相比，TradFi 專業人士對 ETH 甚至 SOL 表現出更大的熱情。

He argues that this enthusiasm, combined with Ethereum's relative illiquidity, could lead to significant price movements with relatively smaller capital inflows. This could be a key factor in his prediction of ETH reaching $6,000 by September 2024.

他認為，這種熱情加上以太坊的相對流動性不足，可能會導致價格大幅波動，而資本流入則相對較小。這可能是他預測 ETH 到 2024 年 9 月將達到 6,000 美元的關鍵因素。