以太坊 (ETH) 價格有幾天內第二次跌破 3,000 美元的風險

這是根據 AMBCrypto 從累積交易量增量 (CVD) 獲得的數據得出的。

Ethereum [ETH] price risks dropping below the $3,000 price level for the second time in a few days. This was according to data obtained by AMBCrypto from the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD).

以太幣 [ETH] 價格有可能在幾天內第二次跌破 3,000 美元的價格水準。這是根據 AMBCrypto 從累積交易量增量 (CVD) 獲得的數據得出的。

On the daily ETH/USD chart, the spot CVD had dropped into the negative region. The CVD tracks the difference between the buying and selling volume of a cryptocurrency over some time.

在 ETH/USD 日線圖上，現貨 CVD 已跌入負值區域。 CVD 追蹤一段時間內加密貨幣的買賣量之間的差異。

When the value is positive, it means more holders are buying than those selling. If this continues, the price of the cryptocurrency might increase in the short-term. However, when it is negative, it means that sellers are dominant.

當價值為正時，意味著買進的持有者多於賣出的持有者。如果這種情況持續下去，加密貨幣的價格可能會在短期內上漲。然而，當它為負數時，則意味著賣方占主導地位。

Source: TradingView

來源：TradingView

In a situation like this, it becomes difficult for prices to increase. At press time, the price of the altcoin was $3,012. Before that, ETH had attempted to flip $3,100, but bears rejected the move.

在這樣的情況下，價格就很難上漲。截至發稿時，山寨幣的價格為 3,012 美元。在此之前，ETH 曾試圖突破 3,100 美元，但空頭拒絕了這一舉動。

However, apart from the CVD, another metric revealed that it could take some time before the cryptocurrency fully recovers.

然而，除了 CVD 之外，另一個指標顯示加密貨幣可能需要一段時間才能完全恢復。

One of such datasets is the Mean Coin Age (MCA). The MCA is the average age of coins on a blockchain. When it increases, it means old coins are moving back into circulation, thereby increasing the potential of a sell-off.

此類資料集之一是平均幣齡 (MCA)。 MCA 是區塊鏈上代幣的平均年齡。當它增加時，意味著舊硬幣正在重新進入流通，從而增加拋售的可能性。

But a decrease in the coin age implies that holders are refraining from selling. Instead, they are opting to keeping their assets in non-custodial wallets.

但幣齡的縮短意味著持有者不會出售。相反，他們選擇將資產保存在非託管錢包中。

As of this writing, ETH’s 90-day MCA had moved from 36.50 to 37.12. This increase implies a rise in trading activity involving the cryptocurrency.

截至撰寫本文時，ETH 的 90 天 MCA 已從 36.50 升至 37.12。這種成長意味著涉及加密貨幣的交易活動增加。

Since the price fell from the value on the 6th of July, it implies that the majority of the exchange ended in a sale.

由於價格較 7 月 6 日的價格下跌，這意味著大部分交易所以拋售告終。

If this continues, the price of ETH could slip below $3,000. Also, if buying pressure fails to match up with the increase, the price might drop to $2,881 like it did on the 5th.

如果這種情況持續下去，ETH 的價格可能會跌破 3,000 美元。此外，如果購買壓力未能與漲幅相匹配，價格可能會像 5 日那樣跌至 2,881 美元。

Source: Santiment

資料來源：Santiment

In addition to the above, the Realized Cap also aligned with the forecast. Realized Cap denotes the value of each coin when it last moved compared to its trading value.

除上述情況外，已實現上限也與預測一致。已實現上限表示每種代幣最後一次變動時的價值與其交易價值的比較。

As a measure of the collective cost basis, the one-day Realized Cap dropped to $559.45 million. This decrease implies that ETH had plunged some holders into unrealized losses.

作為衡量集體成本基礎的一項指標，單日已實現上限降至 5.5945 億美元。這種下降意味著 ETH 使一些持有者陷入了未實現的損失。

If this persists, the broader market might lose confidence in Ethereum, possibly prompting low demand for the cryptocurrency. Should this be the case, the price might fall as stated earlier.

如果這種情況持續下去，更廣泛的市場可能會對以太坊失去信心，這可能會導致對加密貨幣的需求下降。如果是這種情況，價格可能會如前所述下跌。

Source: Santiment

資料來源：Santiment

Interestingly, this decrease also presents a buying opportunity as long as ETH remains in a bull market.

有趣的是，只要 ETH 仍處於牛市，這種下跌也提供了買入機會。

However, the fruits of this change might not reflect in a few days or weeks. But in the long term, ETH’s price looks likely to jump.

然而，這種變化的成果可能不會在幾天或幾週內反映出來。但從長遠來看，ETH 的價格看起來可能會上漲。