以太坊 (ETH) 价格有几天内第二次跌破 3,000 美元的风险

这是根据 AMBCrypto 从累积交易量增量 (CVD) 获得的数据得出的。

Ethereum [ETH] price risks dropping below the $3,000 price level for the second time in a few days. This was according to data obtained by AMBCrypto from the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD).

以太坊 [ETH] 价格有可能在几天内第二次跌破 3,000 美元的价格水平。这是根据 AMBCrypto 从累积交易量增量 (CVD) 获得的数据得出的。

On the daily ETH/USD chart, the spot CVD had dropped into the negative region. The CVD tracks the difference between the buying and selling volume of a cryptocurrency over some time.

在 ETH/USD 日线图上，现货 CVD 已跌入负值区域。 CVD 跟踪一段时间内加密货币的买卖量之间的差异。

When the value is positive, it means more holders are buying than those selling. If this continues, the price of the cryptocurrency might increase in the short-term. However, when it is negative, it means that sellers are dominant.

当价值为正时，意味着买入的持有者多于卖出的持有者。如果这种情况持续下去，加密货币的价格可能会在短期内上涨。然而，当它为负数时，则意味着卖方占主导地位。

Source: TradingView

来源：TradingView

In a situation like this, it becomes difficult for prices to increase. At press time, the price of the altcoin was $3,012. Before that, ETH had attempted to flip $3,100, but bears rejected the move.

在这样的情况下，价格就很难上涨。截至发稿时，山寨币的价格为 3,012 美元。在此之前，ETH 曾试图突破 3,100 美元，但空头拒绝了这一举动。

However, apart from the CVD, another metric revealed that it could take some time before the cryptocurrency fully recovers.

然而，除了 CVD 之外，另一个指标显示加密货币可能需要一段时间才能完全恢复。

One of such datasets is the Mean Coin Age (MCA). The MCA is the average age of coins on a blockchain. When it increases, it means old coins are moving back into circulation, thereby increasing the potential of a sell-off.

此类数据集之一是平均币龄 (MCA)。 MCA 是区块链上代币的平均年龄。当它增加时，意味着旧硬币正在重新进入流通，从而增加抛售的可能性。

But a decrease in the coin age implies that holders are refraining from selling. Instead, they are opting to keeping their assets in non-custodial wallets.

但币龄的缩短意味着持有者不会出售。相反，他们选择将资产保存在非托管钱包中。

As of this writing, ETH’s 90-day MCA had moved from 36.50 to 37.12. This increase implies a rise in trading activity involving the cryptocurrency.

截至撰写本文时，ETH 的 90 天 MCA 已从 36.50 升至 37.12。这种增长意味着涉及加密货币的交易活动增加。

Since the price fell from the value on the 6th of July, it implies that the majority of the exchange ended in a sale.

由于价格较 7 月 6 日的价格下跌，这意味着大部分交易所以抛售告终。

If this continues, the price of ETH could slip below $3,000. Also, if buying pressure fails to match up with the increase, the price might drop to $2,881 like it did on the 5th.

如果这种情况持续下去，ETH 的价格可能会跌破 3,000 美元。此外，如果购买压力未能与涨幅相匹配，价格可能会像 5 日那样跌至 2,881 美元。

Source: Santiment

资料来源：Santiment

In addition to the above, the Realized Cap also aligned with the forecast. Realized Cap denotes the value of each coin when it last moved compared to its trading value.

除上述情况外，已实现上限也与预测一致。已实现上限表示每种代币最后一次变动时的价值与其交易价值的比较。

As a measure of the collective cost basis, the one-day Realized Cap dropped to $559.45 million. This decrease implies that ETH had plunged some holders into unrealized losses.

作为衡量集体成本基础的一项指标，单日已实现上限降至 5.5945 亿美元。这种下降意味着 ETH 使一些持有者陷入了未实现的损失。

If this persists, the broader market might lose confidence in Ethereum, possibly prompting low demand for the cryptocurrency. Should this be the case, the price might fall as stated earlier.

如果这种情况持续下去，更广泛的市场可能会对以太坊失去信心，从而可能导致对加密货币的需求下降。如果是这种情况，价格可能会如前所述下跌。

Source: Santiment

资料来源：Santiment

Interestingly, this decrease also presents a buying opportunity as long as ETH remains in a bull market.

有趣的是，只要 ETH 仍处于牛市，这种下跌也提供了买入机会。

However, the fruits of this change might not reflect in a few days or weeks. But in the long term, ETH’s price looks likely to jump.

然而，这种变化的成果可能不会在几天或几周内体现出来。但从长远来看，ETH 的价格看起来可能会上涨。