以太坊（ETH）市場主導地位在2021年5月以來未見的過多的RSI級別，從歷史上講是重大回調

自2021年5月以來，以太坊的市場統治地位已經達到了超級理由的RSI水平，其歷史上是重大回調。

The strong recovery in Ether (ETH) has pushed its daily relative strength index (RSI) to its most overbought zone since May 2021, which might translate into a near-term price pullback.

自2021年5月以來，Ether（ETH）的強勁恢復已將其每日相對強度指數（RSI）推向了其最多的區域，這可能會轉化為近期的價格下跌。

Usually, such extreme RSI levels on ETH.D, the ratio of Ethereum’s market cap to the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, mark the beginning of major pullbacks.

通常，這種極端的RSI水平在ETH.D上，以太坊的市值與加密貨幣市值總資本的比率標誌著重大回調的開始。

One notable instance occurred in early July 2024, when ETH dominance peaked at 9.87% with RSI at 80. Over the following 315 days, ETH.D dropped by more than 17.5% as RSI slid below 70.

一個值得注意的例子發生在2024年7月上旬，當時ETH的優勢峰值達到9.87％，RSI為80。在接下來的315天中，ETH.D下降了17.5％以上，因為RSI SLID低於70。

The current RSI spike, again above 80, mimics a similar setup, suggesting that Ethereum could be nearing a local top in its market share.

當前的RSI Spike再次超過80歲，模仿了類似的設置，這表明以太坊可能在其市場份額上接近本地頂級。

The world's second-largest cryptocurrency has surged over 50% month-to-date in May, vastly outperforming the broader crypto market’s 15.25% gain. The rally has pushed Ethereum’s market dominance (ETH.D) toward the critical 10% threshold for the first time since March.

5月，全球第二大加密貨幣已經飆升了50％以上，超過50％的月份，表現出色的加密貨幣市場的增長范圍很大。自3月以來，集會將以太坊的市場優勢（ETH.D）推向了關鍵的10％閾值。

However, the rising dominance accompanies signs of overheating, which indicates that Ethereum bulls should not celebrate the rally just yet.

然而，伴隨著過熱的跡象伴隨著上升的統治地位，這表明以太坊公牛還不應該慶祝集會。

Extreme RSI levels on ETH.D usually mark major pullbacks

ETH上的極端RSI級別。 D通常標誌著主要的回調

The cryptocurrency's strong recovery in market share has pushed its daily RSI into its most overbought zone, which might translate into a near-term price pullback.

加密貨幣在市場份額方面的強勁恢復已將其每日RSI推向其最多的區域，這可能會轉化為近期的價格下跌。

Usually, such extreme RSI levels mark the beginning of major pullbacks. One notable instance occurred in early July 2024, when ETH dominance peaked at 9.87% with RSI at 80. Over the following 315 days, ETH.D dropped by more than 17.5% as RSI slid below 70.

通常，這種極端的RSI級別標誌著主要撤退的開始。一個值得注意的例子發生在2024年7月上旬，當時ETH的優勢峰值達到9.87％，RSI為80。在接下來的315天中，ETH.D下降了17.5％以上，因為RSI SLID低於70。

The current RSI spike, again above 80, mimics a similar setup, suggesting that Ethereum could be nearing a local top in its market share.

當前的RSI Spike再次超過80歲，模仿了類似的設置，這表明以太坊可能在其市場份額上接近本地頂級。

The chart above highlights that ETH.D remains below its 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA; the blue wave). This resistance level has repeatedly capped Ethereum's dominance during previous recovery attempts.

上圖強調了ETH.D仍低於其200天的指數移動平均線（200天EMA；藍波）。在先前的恢復嘗試中，這種阻力水平反复限制了以太坊的主導地位。

Moreover, we can observe that previous overbought pullbacks have initially pushed Ethereum's market share towards its 50-day EMA (the red wave).

此外，我們可以觀察到，以前的倒退最初已將以太坊的市場份額推向其50天的EMA（紅波）。

The ETH.D metric, therefore, risks decreasing towards its current 50-day EMA support at around 8.24% by June, suggesting potential capital rotation out of Ethereum markets to other coins in the coming weeks.

因此，ETH.D指標的風險降低了目前的50天EMA支持，到6月的8.24％左右，這表明在接下來的幾週內，潛在的資本轉移到以太坊市場向其他硬幣旋轉。

As the final point, we can notice that on the four-hour ETH/USD chart, a classic bearish divergence is emerging, where Ethereum's price continues to print higher highs, but momentum indicators trend lower.

最後一點，我們可以注意到，在四小時的ETH/USD圖表上，經典的看跌差異正在出現，以太坊的價格繼續打印出更高的高點，但動量指標趨勢降低。

Crypto trader AlphaBTC noted that ETH is showing "three clear drives of divergence," a setup often preceding trend exhaustion. He added that key Fibonacci levels align with potential support zones, suggesting a pullback could be imminent.

Crypto Trader Alphabtc指出，ETH顯示了“三個明確的差異驅動器”，這通常是趨勢耗盡之前的設置。他補充說，關鍵的斐波那契水平與潛在的支撐區保持一致，這表明可能會回落。

With ETH hovering near the $2,740 Fibonacci extension, profit-taking pressure may intensify, opening the door for a short-term correction towards lower Fib levels at around $2,330 or even $2,190, down 10%-15% from the current prices.

隨著ETH徘徊在2,740美元的斐波那契延長范圍內，利潤壓力可能會加劇，為較低的FIB水平的短期校正打開了大門，較低的FIB水平約為2,330美元，甚至2,190美元左右，比目前的價格下降了10％-15％。

suggesting that the cryptocurrency would eventually climb over $3,500.

表明加密貨幣最終將攀升3500美元。

Veteran trader Peter Brandt further predicts a "moon shot" rally to over $3,800.

資深商人彼得·布蘭特（Peter Brandt）進一步預測，“月球射擊”集會將超過3,800美元。