以太坊（ETH）市场主导地位在2021年5月以来未见的过多的RSI级别，从历史上讲是重大回调

自2021年5月以来，以太坊的市场统治地位已经达到了超级理由的RSI水平，其历史上是重大回调。

The strong recovery in Ether (ETH) has pushed its daily relative strength index (RSI) to its most overbought zone since May 2021, which might translate into a near-term price pullback.

自2021年5月以来，Ether（ETH）的强劲恢复已将其每日相对强度指数（RSI）推向了其最多的区域，这可能会转化为近期的价格下跌。

Usually, such extreme RSI levels on ETH.D, the ratio of Ethereum’s market cap to the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, mark the beginning of major pullbacks.

通常，这种极端的RSI水平在ETH.D上，以太坊的市值与加密货币市值总资本的比率标志着重大回调的开始。

One notable instance occurred in early July 2024, when ETH dominance peaked at 9.87% with RSI at 80. Over the following 315 days, ETH.D dropped by more than 17.5% as RSI slid below 70.

一个值得注意的例子发生在2024年7月上旬，当时ETH的优势峰值达到9.87％，RSI为80。在接下来的315天中，ETH.D下降了17.5％以上，因为RSI SLID低于70。

The current RSI spike, again above 80, mimics a similar setup, suggesting that Ethereum could be nearing a local top in its market share.

当前的RSI Spike再次超过80岁，模仿了类似的设置，这表明以太坊可能在其市场份额上接近本地顶级。

The world's second-largest cryptocurrency has surged over 50% month-to-date in May, vastly outperforming the broader crypto market’s 15.25% gain. The rally has pushed Ethereum’s market dominance (ETH.D) toward the critical 10% threshold for the first time since March.

5月，全球第二大加密货币已经飙升了50％以上，超过50％的月份，表现出色的加密货币市场的增长范围很大。自3月以来，集会将以太坊的市场优势（ETH.D）推向了关键的10％阈值。

However, the rising dominance accompanies signs of overheating, which indicates that Ethereum bulls should not celebrate the rally just yet.

然而，伴随着过热的迹象伴随着上升的统治地位，这表明以太坊公牛还不应该庆祝集会。

Extreme RSI levels on ETH.D usually mark major pullbacks

ETH上的极端RSI级别。D通常标志着主要的回调

The cryptocurrency's strong recovery in market share has pushed its daily RSI into its most overbought zone, which might translate into a near-term price pullback.

加密货币在市场份额方面的强劲恢复已将其每日RSI推向其最多的区域，这可能会转化为近期的价格下跌。

Usually, such extreme RSI levels mark the beginning of major pullbacks. One notable instance occurred in early July 2024, when ETH dominance peaked at 9.87% with RSI at 80. Over the following 315 days, ETH.D dropped by more than 17.5% as RSI slid below 70.

通常，这种极端的RSI级别标志着主要撤退的开始。一个值得注意的例子发生在2024年7月上旬，当时ETH的优势峰值达到9.87％，RSI为80。在接下来的315天中，ETH.D下降了17.5％以上，因为RSI SLID低于70。

The current RSI spike, again above 80, mimics a similar setup, suggesting that Ethereum could be nearing a local top in its market share.

当前的RSI Spike再次超过80岁，模仿了类似的设置，这表明以太坊可能在其市场份额上接近本地顶级。

The chart above highlights that ETH.D remains below its 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA; the blue wave). This resistance level has repeatedly capped Ethereum's dominance during previous recovery attempts.

上图强调了ETH.D仍低于其200天的指数移动平均线（200天EMA；蓝波）。在先前的恢复尝试中，这种阻力水平反复限制了以太坊的主导地位。

Moreover, we can observe that previous overbought pullbacks have initially pushed Ethereum's market share towards its 50-day EMA (the red wave).

此外，我们可以观察到，以前的倒退最初已将以太坊的市场份额推向其50天的EMA（红波）。

The ETH.D metric, therefore, risks decreasing towards its current 50-day EMA support at around 8.24% by June, suggesting potential capital rotation out of Ethereum markets to other coins in the coming weeks.

因此，ETH.D指标的风险降低了目前的50天EMA支持，到6月的8.24％左右，这表明在接下来的几周内，潜在的资本转移到以太坊市场向其他硬币旋转。

As the final point, we can notice that on the four-hour ETH/USD chart, a classic bearish divergence is emerging, where Ethereum's price continues to print higher highs, but momentum indicators trend lower.

最后一点，我们可以注意到，在四小时的ETH/USD图表上，经典的看跌差异正在出现，以太坊的价格继续打印出更高的高点，但动量指标趋势降低。

Crypto trader AlphaBTC noted that ETH is showing "three clear drives of divergence," a setup often preceding trend exhaustion. He added that key Fibonacci levels align with potential support zones, suggesting a pullback could be imminent.

Crypto Trader Alphabtc指出，ETH显示了“三个明确的差异驱动器”，这通常是趋势耗尽之前的设置。他补充说，关键的斐波那契水平与潜在的支撑区保持一致，这表明可能会回落。

With ETH hovering near the $2,740 Fibonacci extension, profit-taking pressure may intensify, opening the door for a short-term correction towards lower Fib levels at around $2,330 or even $2,190, down 10%-15% from the current prices.

随着ETH徘徊在2,740美元的斐波那契延长范围内，利润压力可能会加剧，为较低的FIB水平的短期校正打开了大门，较低的FIB水平约为2,330美元，甚至2,190美元左右，比目前的价格下降了10％-15％。

suggesting that the cryptocurrency would eventually climb over $3,500.

表明加密货币最终将攀升3500美元。

Veteran trader Peter Brandt further predicts a "moon shot" rally to over $3,800.

资深商人彼得·布兰特（Peter Brandt）进一步预测，“月球射击”集会将超过3,800美元。