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加密貨幣新聞文章

以太坊(ETH)閃爍賣出信號,因為MVRV比率顯示了短期持有人的盈利能力的上升

2025/06/12 16:31

以太坊(ETH)已將賣出信號閃爍,因為實現價值(MVRV)的市場價值顯示了短期持有人的盈利能力的上升。

The price of Ethereum (ETH) may come under pressure as an indicator known as the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) flashed a sell signal. The 60-day MVRV shows that short-term holders are in significant profit, but as the risk of profit-taking increases, there is a chance that ETH could slip below the $2,410 support.

以太坊(ETH)的價格可能會受到壓力,作為稱為實現價值(MVRV)市場價值的指標(MVRV)閃爍了賣出信號。 60天的MVRV表明,短期持有人的利潤可觀,但是隨著獲利的風險增加,ETH可能會低於2,410美元的支持。

According to the 60-day MVRV chart, the 60-day realized value is widening with the 180-day realized value. At the time of writing, the 60-day MVRV is at 8.26%, which shows that short-term holders are sitting on massive gains.

根據60天的MVRV圖表,隨著180天實現的價值,60天實現的價值正在擴大。在撰寫本文時,60天的MVRV為8.26%,這表明短期持有人正處於巨大的收益。

However, the 180-day MVRV stands at 0.65, a sign that mid-term holders are still out-of-the-money. The widening spread between short-term and long-term holders began in late April and coincides with strong Ethereum price gains amid rising ETF inflows.

但是,180天的MVRV為0.65,這表明中期持有人仍然是無價的。短期持有人和長期持有人之間的擴大差異始於4月下旬,在ETF流入越來越多的情況下,以太坊價格上漲的幅度強勁。

The 60-day MVRV also crossed above the 180-day, which signals that traders who bought in the last 60 days are outperforming long-term holders. This occurrence usually highlights FOMO from traders who quickly joined the rally.

60天的MVRV也超過了180天,這表明在過去60天內購買的交易者表現優於長期持有人。這種情況通常突出了迅速加入集會的交易者的FOMO。

But despite the breakout from a 30-day consolidation range, there is still a risk of profit-taking, which may trigger short-term pullbacks. Mid-term holders that have held ETH for the last 180 days may sell as the MVRV flipped positive. It had been negative between February and May 2025.

但是,儘管從30天的整合範圍內進行了突破,但仍有獲利的風險,這可能會觸發短期回調。在過去180天中持有ETH的中期持有人可能會出售,因為MVRV傾斜了正面。在2月至2025年5月之間是負面的。

The likelihood of profit-taking increases further as the Network Realized Profit/Loss records slight spikes within the positive region. This shows that some traders may be selling to book profits.

隨著網絡在積極區域內略微尖峰,獲利的可能性進一步增加。這表明一些交易者可能正在出售預訂利潤。

The high short-term holder profitability and the recent spikes in realized profits are bearish signs that could see Ethereum price pull back.

短期持有人的盈利能力和最近實現的利潤的最新峰值是看跌的跡象,可以看到以太坊價格撤回。

As the risk of profit-taking increases, there is a possibility that Ethereum price could fall below the $2,410 support level. ETH is only 13% above this support as it trades at $2,739 at the time of press.

隨著獲利風險的增加,以太坊價格可能會低於2,410美元的支持水平。 ETH在新聞發佈時的交易價格僅比此支持率高13%。

If there is no bullish catalyst to aid the same rally witnessed between April and May, then ETH may breach this support and increase the likelihood of a downtrend to $2,000. Moreover, the AO histogram bars show that the bullish sentiment is growing weak, and this could see Ethereum price fail to defend the $2,410 support level and enter a downtrend.

如果沒有看漲的催化劑來幫助4月至5月之間的同一集會,那麼ETH可能會違反這種支持並將下降趨勢的可能性增加到2,000美元。此外,AO直方圖桿表明,看漲的情緒越來越弱,這可能會使以太坊價格無法捍衛2,410美元的支持水平並進入下降趨勢。

However, three chart patterns explain why ETH may rally to $4,000 despite the ongoing correction. If another rally commences, it may decrease the risk of profit-taking and avoid a drop below $2,410.

但是,儘管進行了持續的更正,但三個圖表模式解釋了為什麼ETH可能會漲到4,000美元。如果另一個集會開始,它可能會降低獲利的風險,並避免下降到2,410美元以下。

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