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以太坊(ETH)已将卖出信号闪烁,因为实现价值(MVRV)的市场价值显示了短期持有人的盈利能力的上升。
The price of Ethereum (ETH) may come under pressure as an indicator known as the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) flashed a sell signal. The 60-day MVRV shows that short-term holders are in significant profit, but as the risk of profit-taking increases, there is a chance that ETH could slip below the $2,410 support.
以太坊(ETH)的价格可能会受到压力,作为称为实现价值(MVRV)市场价值的指标(MVRV)闪烁了卖出信号。 60天的MVRV表明,短期持有人的利润可观,但是随着获利的风险增加,ETH可能会低于2,410美元的支持。
According to the 60-day MVRV chart, the 60-day realized value is widening with the 180-day realized value. At the time of writing, the 60-day MVRV is at 8.26%, which shows that short-term holders are sitting on massive gains.
根据60天的MVRV图表,随着180天实现的价值,60天实现的价值正在扩大。在撰写本文时,60天的MVRV为8.26%,这表明短期持有人正处于巨大的收益。
However, the 180-day MVRV stands at 0.65, a sign that mid-term holders are still out-of-the-money. The widening spread between short-term and long-term holders began in late April and coincides with strong Ethereum price gains amid rising ETF inflows.
但是,180天的MVRV为0.65,这表明中期持有人仍然是无价的。短期持有人和长期持有人之间的扩大差异始于4月下旬,在ETF流入越来越多的情况下,以太坊价格上涨的幅度强劲。
The 60-day MVRV also crossed above the 180-day, which signals that traders who bought in the last 60 days are outperforming long-term holders. This occurrence usually highlights FOMO from traders who quickly joined the rally.
60天的MVRV也超过了180天,这表明在过去60天内购买的交易者表现优于长期持有人。这种情况通常突出了迅速加入集会的交易者的FOMO。
But despite the breakout from a 30-day consolidation range, there is still a risk of profit-taking, which may trigger short-term pullbacks. Mid-term holders that have held ETH for the last 180 days may sell as the MVRV flipped positive. It had been negative between February and May 2025.
但是,尽管从30天的整合范围内进行了突破,但仍有获利的风险,这可能会触发短期回调。在过去180天中持有ETH的中期持有人可能会出售,因为MVRV倾斜了正面。在2月至2025年5月之间是负面的。
The likelihood of profit-taking increases further as the Network Realized Profit/Loss records slight spikes within the positive region. This shows that some traders may be selling to book profits.
随着网络在积极区域内略微尖峰,获利的可能性进一步增加。这表明一些交易者可能正在出售预订利润。
The high short-term holder profitability and the recent spikes in realized profits are bearish signs that could see Ethereum price pull back.
短期持有人的盈利能力和最近实现的利润的最新峰值是看跌的迹象,可以看到以太坊价格撤回。
As the risk of profit-taking increases, there is a possibility that Ethereum price could fall below the $2,410 support level. ETH is only 13% above this support as it trades at $2,739 at the time of press.
随着获利风险的增加,以太坊价格可能会低于2,410美元的支持水平。 ETH在新闻发布时的交易价格仅比此支持率高13%。
If there is no bullish catalyst to aid the same rally witnessed between April and May, then ETH may breach this support and increase the likelihood of a downtrend to $2,000. Moreover, the AO histogram bars show that the bullish sentiment is growing weak, and this could see Ethereum price fail to defend the $2,410 support level and enter a downtrend.
如果没有看涨的催化剂来帮助4月至5月之间的同一集会,那么ETH可能会违反这种支持并将下降趋势的可能性增加到2,000美元。此外,AO直方图杆表明,看涨的情绪越来越弱,这可能会使以太坊价格无法捍卫2,410美元的支持水平并进入下降趋势。
However, three chart patterns explain why ETH may rally to $4,000 despite the ongoing correction. If another rally commences, it may decrease the risk of profit-taking and avoid a drop below $2,410.
但是,尽管进行了持续的更正,但三个图表模式解释了为什么ETH可能会涨到4,000美元。如果另一个集会开始,它可能会降低获利的风险,并避免下降到2,410美元以下。
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