以太坊（ETH）突破了掉落的楔子，眼睛39％爬到$ 3,570

以太坊剛剛從看漲的楔子中脫穎而出，躍升了5％，而亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）表示，真正的舉動仍在領先。讓我們探討下一個圖表和宏觀趨勢的建議。

Ethereum price broke out of a falling wedge pattern in the 4-hour chart on Bitstamp on Monday, May 21. The wedge resistance is now providing immediate support for the next move.

5月21日星期一在Bitstamp的4小時圖表中，以太坊價格從掉落的楔形圖案中脫落。

What Happened: As of press time, Ethereum was trading at $2,592.20, showing a rise of 5% from the wedge breakout point.

發生的事情：截至發稿時，以太坊的交易價格為2,592.20美元，顯示出楔形突破點的增長5％。

The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,481.40 is offering dynamic support for the price. The EMA crossed over the 100-period EMA earlier this month, indicating a bullish technical factor.

50個週期指數的移動平均線（EMA）為$ 2,481.40，為價格提供動態支持。 EMA本月初越過了100週期EMA，表明是看漲的技術因素。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 59.16, indicating that the RSI is above the neutral 50 level and could leave room for further upside as long as it stays below the overbought zone.

相對強度指數（RSI）為59.16，表明RSI高於中性50水平，只要它停留在過高的區域以下，就可以留出進一步的上空。

If this breakout confirms with sustained volume and momentum, Ethereum’s price could escalate by nearly 39% from the current level. This would set a target near $3,570.80, which is calculated by adding the wedge’s height to the breakout point.

如果此突破以持續的數量和動量確認，以太坊的價格可能從當前水平上升近39％。這將設置一個目標接近$ 3,570.80的目標，該目標是通過將楔形的高度添加到突破點來計算得出的。

The volume of 1.51K is moderate and suggests that more trading activity could pour in to support the bullish move.

1.51k的體積是中等的，表明更多的交易活動可能會支持看漲的舉動。

The price action follows a prior sharp upward rally on May 9, which formed the wedge’s base, strengthening the case for continuation.

價格動作是在5月9日先前的急劇上升集會之後，該集會形成了楔子的基礎，從而加強了延續的案例。

If Ethereum manages to hold above the wedge and the 50-period EMA, and if RSI continues to climb, the breakout scenario toward $3,570.80 remains valid.

如果以太坊設法在楔形上和50個週期EMA上保持固定，並且RSI繼續攀升，則朝著3,570.80美元的突破情景仍然有效。

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查看更多：最佳加密貨幣掃描儀

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最高獎金，失敗者在24小時內

Why It’s Important: In a recent interview on the Bankless podcast, Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX and current Chief Investment Officer of Maelstrom, shared his thoughts on why he sees Ethereum (ETH) potentially hitting $10,000 or even $15,000.

為什麼重要的是：在最近對無岸播客的採訪中，Bitmex的前首席執行官兼Maelstrom的現任首席投資官Arthur Hayes分享了他為什麼看到以太坊（ETH）可能會達到10,000美元甚至15,000美元的想法。

Hayes tied this prediction to deep structural changes in the global financial system, which he believes will favor decentralized assets and push up prices. He also said Ethereum’s rapid rally reflects broader shifts in liquidity and investor behavior.

海耶斯將這一預測與全球金融體系的深層結構變化聯繫在一起，他認為這將有利於分散資產並推高價格。他還說，以太坊的快速集會反映了流動性和投資者行為的更大變化。

When asked about the factors driving Ethereum’s price surge of over 50% in a week, Hayes downplayed technical chart patterns and attributed the move to market sentiment. He noted that assets which are heavily criticized tend to rebound the fastest when a new market cycle begins.

當被問及一周內以太坊價格上漲超過50％的因素時，海耶斯淡化了技術圖表模式，並將這一轉變歸因於市場情緒。他指出，當新的市場週期開始時，受到嚴重批評的資產往往會反彈最快。

“The most hated asset goes up the fastest in the next cycle. It’s just human nature,” Hayes said.

海斯說：“最討厭的資產在下一個週期中最快上升。這只是人性。”

He explained that Ethereum had been largely ignored in favor of other tokens like Solana, leading to a decline in the ETH-to-BTC ratio and a decrease in Ethereum’s popularity. However, Hayes believed this set the stage for a strong comeback as people would get bored of the new favorites and return to the original assets.

他解釋說，以太坊在很大程度上被忽略了，而支持其他令牌，例如Solana，導致ETH與BTC的比率下降，以太坊的受歡迎程度下降。但是，海耶斯認為這為重大捲土重來奠定了基礎，因為人們會對新的收藏夾感到無聊並返回原始資產。

“ETH was kind of dead. Everyone hated it. The BTC/ETH ratio was falling, Solana was running … it was time.”

“ Eth有點死了。每個人都討厭它。BTC/ETH的比例下降了，Solana正在運行……是時候了。”

While Hayes hasn’t added to his Ethereum position recently, he remains long on ETH and views the current price increase as just the beginning.

儘管海耶斯最近還沒有增加他的以太坊位置，但他仍然對ETH保持持久，並將目前的價格上漲視為一開始。

“It’s great it’s going up, but okay—let’s talk at $10,000 or $15,000. Let’s talk when it’s meaningful.”

“這很棒，但是好吧，好的 - 讓我們的談話價格為10,000美元或15,000美元。在有意義的時候讓我們來談談。”

framing Ethereum’s rally within a broader macroeconomic trend that he calls a “phase shift.” Hayes believes the world is moving away from U.S. Treasuries as the core of the global financial system. In the future, he expects capital to shift toward neutral store-of-value assets like gold and Bitcoin.

他稱以太坊的集會在更廣泛的宏觀經濟趨勢中，他稱之為“相位轉移”。海耶斯認為，世界正在遠離美國國債，這是全球金融體系的核心。將來，他希望資本將轉向黃金和比特幣等中立商店的價值存儲資產。

In this new financial landscape, Ethereum emerges as a higher-risk, higher-reward trade. As global central banks print more money and capital controls increase, Hayes thinks Ethereum will benefit from a rise in speculative risk flows.

在這種新的金融景觀中，以太坊成為了高風險，高回報的貿易。隨著全球中央銀行印刷更多的資金和資本控制的增加，海斯認為以太坊將受益於投機風險流的增加。

“They print the money, and the consequence will be gold and Bitcoin going through the roof.”

“他們打印了錢，其結果將是黃金和比特幣穿過屋頂。”

Even though he considers Bitcoin and gold to be the primary reserve assets in a politically divided world, Hayes sees Ethereum as a powerful asset for those looking for asymmetric gains. He acknowledged that Ethereum has underperformed compared to Bitcoin, which he attributes to a lack of attention and a focus on newer projects.

即使他認為比特幣和黃金是政治上分歧世界中的主要儲備資產，但海耶斯將以太坊視為尋求不對稱收益的人的強大資產。他承認，與比特幣相比，以太坊的表現不佳，他歸因於缺乏關注和對新項目的關注。

Hayes said Ethereum’s next big move could be triggered by clearer regulations or a renewed focus on decentralized finance (DeFi). He pointed to projects like EtherFi and Pendle as examples of how Ethereum-based ecosystems could finally start generating reliable cash flows.

海耶斯說，以太坊的下一個重大舉措可能是由更清晰的法規或重新關注分散金融（DEFI）引發的。他指出像Etherfi和Pendle這樣的項目是基於以太坊的生態系統最終如何開始產生可靠的現金流量的例子。

Hayes believes these developments could provide the fundamental support Ethereum needs to justify a much higher valuation.

海耶斯認為，這些事態發展可以為以太坊提供基本的支持，以證明估值更高。

“If you want to preserve access to capital and spend it how you want, the only things you can own are gold and Bitcoin. But if you want big upside, Ethereum is the play.”

“如果您想保留獲得資本的機會並花費您想要的方式，那麼您唯一可以擁有的是黃金和比特幣。但是，如果您想要大的上升空間，那麼以太坊就是戲劇。”

Hayes also shared how he structures his own portfolio.

海耶斯還分享了他如何結構自己的投資組合。