以太坊（ETH）突破了掉落的楔子，眼睛39％爬到$ 3,570

以太坊刚刚从看涨的楔子中脱颖而出，跃升了5％，而亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）表示，真正的举动仍在领先。让我们探讨下一个图表和宏观趋势的建议。

Ethereum price broke out of a falling wedge pattern in the 4-hour chart on Bitstamp on Monday, May 21. The wedge resistance is now providing immediate support for the next move.

5月21日星期一在Bitstamp的4小时图表中，以太坊价格从掉落的楔形图案中脱落。

What Happened: As of press time, Ethereum was trading at $2,592.20, showing a rise of 5% from the wedge breakout point.

发生的事情：截至发稿时，以太坊的交易价格为2,592.20美元，显示出楔形突破点的增长5％。

The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,481.40 is offering dynamic support for the price. The EMA crossed over the 100-period EMA earlier this month, indicating a bullish technical factor.

50个周期指数的移动平均线（EMA）为$ 2,481.40，为价格提供动态支持。 EMA本月初越过了100周期EMA，表明是看涨的技术因素。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 59.16, indicating that the RSI is above the neutral 50 level and could leave room for further upside as long as it stays below the overbought zone.

相对强度指数（RSI）为59.16，表明RSI高于中性50水平，只要它停留在过高的区域以下，就可以留出进一步的上空。

If this breakout confirms with sustained volume and momentum, Ethereum’s price could escalate by nearly 39% from the current level. This would set a target near $3,570.80, which is calculated by adding the wedge’s height to the breakout point.

如果此突破以持续的数量和动量确认，以太坊的价格可能从当前水平上升近39％。这将设置一个目标接近$ 3,570.80的目标，该目标是通过将楔形的高度添加到突破点来计算得出的。

The volume of 1.51K is moderate and suggests that more trading activity could pour in to support the bullish move.

1.51k的体积是中等的，表明更多的交易活动可能会支持看涨的举动。

The price action follows a prior sharp upward rally on May 9, which formed the wedge’s base, strengthening the case for continuation.

价格动作是在5月9日先前的急剧上升集会之后，该集会形成了楔子的基础，从而加强了延续的案例。

If Ethereum manages to hold above the wedge and the 50-period EMA, and if RSI continues to climb, the breakout scenario toward $3,570.80 remains valid.

如果以太坊设法在楔形上和50个周期EMA上保持固定，并且RSI继续攀升，则朝着3,570.80美元的突破情景仍然有效。

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Why It’s Important: In a recent interview on the Bankless podcast, Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX and current Chief Investment Officer of Maelstrom, shared his thoughts on why he sees Ethereum (ETH) potentially hitting $10,000 or even $15,000.

为什么重要的是：在最近对无岸播客的采访中，Bitmex的前首席执行官兼Maelstrom的现任首席投资官Arthur Hayes分享了他为什么看到以太坊（ETH）可能会达到10,000美元甚至15,000美元的想法。

Hayes tied this prediction to deep structural changes in the global financial system, which he believes will favor decentralized assets and push up prices. He also said Ethereum’s rapid rally reflects broader shifts in liquidity and investor behavior.

海耶斯将这一预测与全球金融体系的深层结构变化联系在一起，他认为这将有利于分散资产并推高价格。他还说，以太坊的快速集会反映了流动性和投资者行为的更大变化。

When asked about the factors driving Ethereum’s price surge of over 50% in a week, Hayes downplayed technical chart patterns and attributed the move to market sentiment. He noted that assets which are heavily criticized tend to rebound the fastest when a new market cycle begins.

当被问及一周内以太坊价格上涨超过50％的因素时，海耶斯淡化了技术图表模式，并将这一转变归因于市场情绪。他指出，当新的市场周期开始时，受到严重批评的资产往往会反弹最快。

“The most hated asset goes up the fastest in the next cycle. It’s just human nature,” Hayes said.

海斯说：“最讨厌的资产在下一个周期中最快上升。这只是人性。”

He explained that Ethereum had been largely ignored in favor of other tokens like Solana, leading to a decline in the ETH-to-BTC ratio and a decrease in Ethereum’s popularity. However, Hayes believed this set the stage for a strong comeback as people would get bored of the new favorites and return to the original assets.

他解释说，以太坊在很大程度上被忽略了，而支持其他令牌，例如Solana，导致ETH与BTC的比率下降，以太坊的受欢迎程度下降。但是，海耶斯认为这为重大卷土重来奠定了基础，因为人们会对新的收藏夹感到无聊并返回原始资产。

“ETH was kind of dead. Everyone hated it. The BTC/ETH ratio was falling, Solana was running … it was time.”

“ Eth有点死了。每个人都讨厌它。BTC/ETH的比例下降了，Solana正在运行……是时候了。”

While Hayes hasn’t added to his Ethereum position recently, he remains long on ETH and views the current price increase as just the beginning.

尽管海耶斯最近还没有增加他的以太坊位置，但他仍然对ETH保持持久，并将目前的价格上涨视为一开始。

“It’s great it’s going up, but okay—let’s talk at $10,000 or $15,000. Let’s talk when it’s meaningful.”

“这很棒，但是好吧，好的 - 让我们的谈话价格为10,000美元或15,000美元。在有意义的时候让我们来谈谈。”

framing Ethereum’s rally within a broader macroeconomic trend that he calls a “phase shift.” Hayes believes the world is moving away from U.S. Treasuries as the core of the global financial system. In the future, he expects capital to shift toward neutral store-of-value assets like gold and Bitcoin.

他称以太坊的集会在更广泛的宏观经济趋势中，他称之为“相位转移”。海耶斯认为，世界正在远离美国国债，这是全球金融体系的核心。将来，他希望资本将转向黄金和比特币等中立商店的价值存储资产。

In this new financial landscape, Ethereum emerges as a higher-risk, higher-reward trade. As global central banks print more money and capital controls increase, Hayes thinks Ethereum will benefit from a rise in speculative risk flows.

在这种新的金融景观中，以太坊成为了高风险，高回报的贸易。随着全球中央银行印刷更多的资金和资本控制的增加，海斯认为以太坊将受益于投机风险流的增加。

“They print the money, and the consequence will be gold and Bitcoin going through the roof.”

“他们打印了钱，其结果将是黄金和比特币穿过屋顶。”

Even though he considers Bitcoin and gold to be the primary reserve assets in a politically divided world, Hayes sees Ethereum as a powerful asset for those looking for asymmetric gains. He acknowledged that Ethereum has underperformed compared to Bitcoin, which he attributes to a lack of attention and a focus on newer projects.

即使他认为比特币和黄金是政治上分歧世界中的主要储备资产，但海耶斯将以太坊视为寻求不对称收益的人的强大资产。他承认，与比特币相比，以太坊的表现不佳，他归因于缺乏关注和对新项目的关注。

Hayes said Ethereum’s next big move could be triggered by clearer regulations or a renewed focus on decentralized finance (DeFi). He pointed to projects like EtherFi and Pendle as examples of how Ethereum-based ecosystems could finally start generating reliable cash flows.

海耶斯说，以太坊的下一个重大举措可能是由更清晰的法规或重新关注分散金融（DEFI）引发的。他指出像Etherfi和Pendle这样的项目是基于以太坊的生态系统最终如何开始产生可靠的现金流量的例子。

Hayes believes these developments could provide the fundamental support Ethereum needs to justify a much higher valuation.

海耶斯认为，这些事态发展可以为以太坊提供基本的支持，以证明估值更高。

“If you want to preserve access to capital and spend it how you want, the only things you can own are gold and Bitcoin. But if you want big upside, Ethereum is the play.”

“如果您想保留获得资本的机会并花费您想要的方式，那么您唯一可以拥有的是黄金和比特币。但是，如果您想要大的上升空间，那么以太坊就是戏剧。”

Hayes also shared how he structures his own portfolio.

海耶斯还分享了他如何结构自己的投资组合。