以太坊接近2019年爆炸性閾值

ETH/BTC的比率危險地接近臨界水平，該水平引發了2019年以太坊的壯觀上升。技術指標和Vitalik Buterin的提議燃料希望有重大逆轉。

Ethereum is slowly but surely approaching the explosive threshold that propelled an incredible rally in 2019. As the ETH/BTC pair approaches 0.016 BTC, technical indicators and Vitalik Buterin’s proposals are fueling hopes for a major reversal.

以太坊正在緩慢但肯定地接近爆炸性閾值，該爆炸性閾值推動了2019年令人難以置信的集會。隨著ETH/BTC對接近0.016 BTC，技術指標和Vitalik Buterin的建議促進了對重大逆轉的希望。

After reaching a critical support at 0.016 BTC in September 2019, following a 90% decline from the 2018 peak, ETH/BTC triggered a nearly 450% rally in the next twelve months.

在2019年9月與2018年峰值下降90％後，在2019年9月獲得了0.016 BTC的關鍵支持後，ETH/BTC在接下來的十二個月中觸發了近450％的集會。

This configuration is strikingly similar to the present scenario, where ETH is approaching 0.016 BTC after a more than 80% decline from the 2021 peak.

這種配置與當前情況非常相似，在當前情況下，ETH在2021峰下降了80％以上後接近0.016 BTC。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a comparable oversold level, while the price stubbornly remains below key moving averages.

相對強度指數（RSI）顯示出可比的超售水平，而價格固執地仍低於關鍵移動平均值。

A battle between optimism and skepticism

樂觀與懷疑主義之間的戰鬥

Following a challenging period for Ethereum, co-founder Vitalik Buterin has unveiled an ambitious proposal to simplify the cryptocurrency’s architecture and establish new standards to improve its speed and maintainability.

在以太坊艱鉅的時期之後，聯合創始人Vitalik Buterin宣布了一項雄心勃勃的建議，以簡化加密貨幣的體系結構並建立新的標準以提高其速度和可維護性。

The goal is to match Bitcoin’s simplicity within five years, a move that several analysts believe to be “the most optimistic thing for ETH.”

目的是在五年內匹配比特幣的簡單性，這一舉動認為這是“對ETH最樂觀的事情”。

Chart analysis reveals an attempt to break out of a “bearish parabola” active since December 2021, which contained ETH/BTC in a downward trend. However, chartist Jimie notes signs of exhaustion of this bearish structure.

圖表分析表明，自2021年12月以來，試圖擺脫“看跌拋物線”活躍的嘗試，其中包含ETH/BTC的下降趨勢。但是，憲章主義者吉米（Jimie）注意到這種看跌結構的疲憊跡象。

“We could see the end of this bearish parabola,” he says, adding that a failure to break out could lead to a continuation towards 0.016 BTC.

他說：“我們可以看到這種看跌拋物線的終結。”他補充說，未能突破可能導致延伸到0.016 BTC。

But critical voices are emerging, such as Adam Back, pioneer of Bitcoin’s proof of work, who remains skeptical of Buterin’s plan.

但是，批判性的聲音正在出現，例如比特幣工作證明的先驅亞當·貝德（Adam Back），他仍然對布特林的計劃持懷疑態度。

According to Back, Buterin is focusing on superficial simplifications while neglecting fundamental flaws in Ethereum’s design.

根據Back的說法，Buterin專注於表面簡化，同時忽略了以太坊設計中的基本缺陷。

In his view, Buterin’s proposals are a last-ditch attempt to salvage a cryptocurrency that has lost its relevance.

他認為，布特林的提議是挽救失去其相關性的加密貨幣的最後一項嘗試。

At this point, Back suggests that it’s best to dump ETH before it hits zero and buy Bitcoin, an advice that has divided the crypto community.

在這一點上，Back建議最好在ETH達到零之前拋棄ETH併購買比特幣，該建議將加密貨幣社區分開。

Could history repeat itself? The coming weeks will be crucial to determine if Ethereum can replicate its 2019 feat and break out of this psychological level.

歷史可以重演嗎？接下來的幾週對於確定以太坊是否可以復制其2019年壯舉並突破這一心理層面至關重要。