以太坊接近2019年爆炸性阈值

ETH/BTC的比率危险地接近临界水平，该水平引发了2019年以太坊的壮观上升。技术指标和Vitalik Buterin的提议燃料希望有重大逆转。

Ethereum is slowly but surely approaching the explosive threshold that propelled an incredible rally in 2019. As the ETH/BTC pair approaches 0.016 BTC, technical indicators and Vitalik Buterin’s proposals are fueling hopes for a major reversal.

以太坊正在缓慢但肯定地接近爆炸性阈值，该爆炸性阈值推动了2019年令人难以置信的集会。随着ETH/BTC对接近0.016 BTC，技术指标和Vitalik Buterin的建议促进了对重大逆转的希望。

After reaching a critical support at 0.016 BTC in September 2019, following a 90% decline from the 2018 peak, ETH/BTC triggered a nearly 450% rally in the next twelve months.

在2019年9月与2018年峰值下降90％后，在2019年9月获得了0.016 BTC的关键支持后，ETH/BTC在接下来的十二个月中触发了近450％的集会。

This configuration is strikingly similar to the present scenario, where ETH is approaching 0.016 BTC after a more than 80% decline from the 2021 peak.

这种配置与当前情况非常相似，在当前情况下，ETH在2021峰下降了80％以上后接近0.016 BTC。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a comparable oversold level, while the price stubbornly remains below key moving averages.

相对强度指数（RSI）显示出可比的超售水平，而价格固执地仍低于关键移动平均值。

A battle between optimism and skepticism

乐观与怀疑主义之间的战斗

Following a challenging period for Ethereum, co-founder Vitalik Buterin has unveiled an ambitious proposal to simplify the cryptocurrency’s architecture and establish new standards to improve its speed and maintainability.

在以太坊艰巨的时期之后，联合创始人Vitalik Buterin宣布了一项雄心勃勃的建议，以简化加密货币的体系结构并建立新的标准以提高其速度和可维护性。

The goal is to match Bitcoin’s simplicity within five years, a move that several analysts believe to be “the most optimistic thing for ETH.”

目的是在五年内匹配比特币的简单性，这一举动认为这是“对ETH最乐观的事情”。

Chart analysis reveals an attempt to break out of a “bearish parabola” active since December 2021, which contained ETH/BTC in a downward trend. However, chartist Jimie notes signs of exhaustion of this bearish structure.

图表分析表明，自2021年12月以来，试图摆脱“看跌抛物线”活跃的尝试，其中包含ETH/BTC的下降趋势。但是，宪章主义者吉米（Jimie）注意到这种看跌结构的疲惫迹象。

“We could see the end of this bearish parabola,” he says, adding that a failure to break out could lead to a continuation towards 0.016 BTC.

他说：“我们可以看到这种看跌抛物线的终结。”他补充说，未能突破可能导致延伸到0.016 BTC。

But critical voices are emerging, such as Adam Back, pioneer of Bitcoin’s proof of work, who remains skeptical of Buterin’s plan.

但是，批判性的声音正在出现，例如比特币工作证明的先驱亚当·贝德（Adam Back），他仍然对布特林的计划持怀疑态度。

According to Back, Buterin is focusing on superficial simplifications while neglecting fundamental flaws in Ethereum’s design.

根据Back的说法，Buterin专注于表面简化，同时忽略了以太坊设计中的基本缺陷。

In his view, Buterin’s proposals are a last-ditch attempt to salvage a cryptocurrency that has lost its relevance.

他认为，布特林的提议是挽救失去其相关性的加密货币的最后一项尝试。

At this point, Back suggests that it’s best to dump ETH before it hits zero and buy Bitcoin, an advice that has divided the crypto community.

在这一点上，Back建议最好在ETH达到零之前抛弃ETH并购买比特币，该建议将加密货币社区分开。

Could history repeat itself? The coming weeks will be crucial to determine if Ethereum can replicate its 2019 feat and break out of this psychological level.

历史可以重演吗？接下来的几周对于确定以太坊是否可以复制其2019年壮举并突破这一心理层面至关重要。