下週 ETH ETF 推出後，以太幣價格可能創下歷史新高

Matt Hougan 表示，在美國推出第一批現貨以太 ETF 後，以太 (ETH) 價格可能會創歷史新高

Ether’s ( ETH ) price could be on track to a new all-time high after the launch of the first United States spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs), an executive said.

一位高層表示，在美國推出第一隻現貨以太幣交易所交易基金（ETF）後，以太幣（ETH）的價格可能會創下歷史新高。

The launch of the ETFs is expected to occur as soon as next week.

ETF 預計最快下週推出。

Ether price to hit new ATH after next week’s ETF launch: Bitwise CIO

Bitwise CIO：下週 ETF 推出後，以太幣價格將觸及新高

Ether’s price could hit a new all-time high after the launch of the first spot Ether ETFs in the United States, according to Matt Hougan, chief investment officer of Bitwise.

Bitwise 首席投資長 Matt Hougan 表示，在美國推出第一隻現貨 ETH ETF 後，以太幣的價格可能會創下歷史新高。

Hougan stated three main reasons for Ether to reach a new all-time high in a July 16 blog post. These include ETH’s inflation rate, the fact that Ether stakers aren’t selling like Bitcoin ( BTC ) miners and that 28% of Ether supply is already out of the market.

Hougan 在 7 月 16 日的部落格文章中闡述了以太幣創下歷史新高的三個主要原因。其中包括 ETH 的通貨膨脹率、以太幣質押者不像比特幣 (BTC) 礦工那樣出售的事實，以及 28% 的以太幣供應已經退出市場。

Hougan stated in the post:

霍根在貼文中表示：

Other factors also point to an incoming rally, including the number of Ether withdrawals from centralized exchanges, according to crypto analyst Leon Waidmann.

加密貨幣分析師 Leon Waidmann 表示，其他因素也預示著即將到來的反彈，包括從中心化交易所提取的以太幣數量。

The analyst noted in a July 19 X post that the total Ether on centralized exchanges has dropped to a new all-time low in the past few months. According to Waidmann, the exchange outflows began around the time Ether fiyatı hit $1,200 in August 20221.

該分析師在 7 月 19 日的貼文中指出，中心化交易所的以太幣總量在過去幾個月已降至歷史新低。根據 Waidmann 的說法，交易所資金流出大約是在 20221 年 8 月 Ether fiyatı 觸及 1,200 美元時開始的。

Hougan also noted that Ether stakers aren’t selling their ETH like BTC miners sell their BTC, which could contribute to ETH’s price rally. Hougan stated that BTC miners sell nearly all of their BTC as soon as they mine it, which puts pressure on BTC's price. However, Ether stakers lock up their ETH for an extended period and earn rewards for helping to secure the network.

Hougan 還指出，以太坊質押者不會像 BTC 礦工出售 BTC 那樣出售他們的 ETH，這可能會導致 ETH 價格上漲。 Hougan表示，BTC礦工在開採後幾乎立即出售了所有的BTC，這給BTC的價格帶來了壓力。然而，以太坊質押者會長期鎖定他們的 ETH，並因幫助保護網路安全而獲得獎勵。

Hougan further noted that around 28% of Ether’s total supply is already out of the market because it’s being staked or used in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols. Hougan said that this leaves only 72% of ETH in the market that traders can buy or sell.

Hougan 進一步指出，以太幣總供應量的約 28% 已經退出市場，因為它被質押或用於去中心化金融 (DeFi) 協議。 Hougan 表示，這使得市場上交易者可以買賣的 ETH 只剩下 72%。

$3,500 remains a formidable resistance for ETH

3,500 美元仍然是 ETH 的強大阻力

However, Ether futures suggest that there is little confidence in the chance of Ether breaking above the $4,000 mark in the short term, as the $3,500 mark remains a significant resistance zone.

然而，以太坊期貨表明，人們對以太坊短期內突破 4,000 美元大關的機會信心不大，因為 3,500 美元大關仍然是一個重要的阻力區域。

Ether’s relative strength index (RSI) on the dailyの時間枠 also suggests that Ether’s price needs to cool down before rallying to a new all-time high. On the daily chart, Ether’s RSI rose to 58, indicating that the asset is not yet overbought but is trading above its fair value, according to TradingView data.

以太幣每日的相對強弱指數（RSI）也表明，以太幣的價格在反彈至新的歷史高點之前需要冷卻。根據 TradingView 的數據，日線圖上，以太坊的 RSI 升至 58，表示該資產尚未超買，但交易價格高於其公允價值。

The RSI is a popular momentum indicator used to measure whether an asset is oversold or overbought based on the magnitude of recent price changes.

RSI 是一種流行的動量指標，用於根據近期價格變化的幅度來衡量資產是否超賣或超買。

After hitting a new all-time high, Ether fiyatı could face difficulties in rising further because of the resistance at the $4,000 level, according to crypto analyst Josh Lipton.

加密貨幣分析師 Josh Lipton 表示，在創下歷史新高後，由於 4,000 美元水平的阻力，以太坊可能會面臨進一步上漲的困難。

Lipton stated in a July 19 X post that Ether futures are indicating that there is little confidence in the chance of ETH breaking above the $4,000 mark in the short term. The analyst noted that the futures are showing that there is a higher chance of ETH falling below the $3,000 mark.

Lipton 在 7 月 19 日的貼文中表示，以太坊期貨表明，人們對 ETH 短期內突破 4000 美元大關的機會信心不大。該分析師指出，期貨顯示 ETH 跌破 3000 美元大關的可能性更大。

Lipton also stated that Ether’s price could see a sell-the-news event after the initial ETF launch before starting its sustained rally toward new all-time highs.

Lipton 也表示，在 ETF 首次推出後，以太坊價格可能會出現拋售新聞事件，然後開始持續上漲並創造新的歷史高點。

Kan told Cointelegraph that the initial hype around the ETF could lead to a sell-the-news event for ETH fiyatı in the short term. However, Kan said that ETH’s price will be able to climb in a more sustained manner after the initial shakeout.

Kan 告訴 Cointelegraph，圍繞 ETF 的最初炒作可能會導致短期內 ETH fiyatı 出現拋售新聞事件。不過，Kan 表示，在最初的震盪之後，ETH 的價格將能夠以更持續的方式攀升。

Kan further stated that the Ether ETFs could also help propel ETH to new all-time highs in the long term. Kan said:

Kan 進一步表示，從長遠來看，以太 ETF 也可能有助於推動 ETH 創下歷史新高。隚說：

Other analysts expect the Ether ETF to have wider ramifications on the altcoin market. For instance, popular crypto trader Mikybull expects the ETFs to catalyze the next altcoin bull market cycle.

其他分析師預計 Ether ETF 將對山寨幣市場產生更廣泛的影響。例如，受歡迎的加密貨幣交易商 Mikybull 預計 ETF 將催化下一個山寨幣牛市週期。

The trader stated in a July 19 X post that the ETFs could lead to a massive inflow of new capital into the crypto market, which could push BTC to new all-time highs and catalyze the next altcoin bull market.

該交易員在 7 月 19 日的貼文中表示，ETF 可能會導致新資本大量流入加密貨幣市場，這可能推動 BTC 創下歷史新高，並催化下一個山寨幣牛市。

ETH’s price rallied over 11% during the past week, but ETH is still trading 29% below its old all-time high of $4,890 reached in November 2021.

過去一周，ETH 的價格上漲了 11% 以上，但 ETH 的交易價格仍比 2021 年 11 月創下的歷史高點 4,890 美元低 29%。