下周 ETH ETF 推出后，以太币价格可能创下历史新高

Matt Hougan 表示，在美国推出第一批现货以太 ETF 后，以太 (ETH) 价格可能会创历史新高

Ether’s ( ETH ) price could be on track to a new all-time high after the launch of the first United States spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs), an executive said.

一位高管表示，在美国推出第一只现货以太币交易所交易基金（ETF）后，以太币（ETH）的价格可能会创下历史新高。

The launch of the ETFs is expected to occur as soon as next week.

ETF 预计最快将于下周推出。

Ether price to hit new ATH after next week’s ETF launch: Bitwise CIO

Bitwise CIO：下周 ETF 推出后，以太币价格将触及新高

Ether’s price could hit a new all-time high after the launch of the first spot Ether ETFs in the United States, according to Matt Hougan, chief investment officer of Bitwise.

Bitwise 首席投资官 Matt Hougan 表示，在美国推出第一只现货 ETH ETF 后，以太币的价格可能会创下历史新高。

Hougan stated three main reasons for Ether to reach a new all-time high in a July 16 blog post. These include ETH’s inflation rate, the fact that Ether stakers aren’t selling like Bitcoin ( BTC ) miners and that 28% of Ether supply is already out of the market.

Hougan 在 7 月 16 日的博客文章中阐述了以太币创下历史新高的三个主要原因。其中包括 ETH 的通货膨胀率、以太币质押者不像比特币 (BTC) 矿工那样出售的事实，以及 28% 的以太币供应已经退出市场。

Hougan stated in the post:

霍根在帖子中表示：

Other factors also point to an incoming rally, including the number of Ether withdrawals from centralized exchanges, according to crypto analyst Leon Waidmann.

加密货币分析师莱昂·韦德曼 (Leon Waidmann) 表示，其他因素也预示着即将到来的反弹，包括从中心化交易所提取的以太币数量。

The analyst noted in a July 19 X post that the total Ether on centralized exchanges has dropped to a new all-time low in the past few months. According to Waidmann, the exchange outflows began around the time Ether fiyatı hit $1,200 in August 20221.

该分析师在 7 月 19 日的帖子中指出，中心化交易所的以太币总量在过去几个月已降至历史新低。根据 Waidmann 的说法，交易所资金流出大约是在 20221 年 8 月 Ether fiyatı 触及 1,200 美元时开始的。

Hougan also noted that Ether stakers aren’t selling their ETH like BTC miners sell their BTC, which could contribute to ETH’s price rally. Hougan stated that BTC miners sell nearly all of their BTC as soon as they mine it, which puts pressure on BTC's price. However, Ether stakers lock up their ETH for an extended period and earn rewards for helping to secure the network.

Hougan 还指出，以太坊质押者不会像 BTC 矿工出售 BTC 那样出售他们的 ETH，这可能会导致 ETH 价格上涨。 Hougan表示，BTC矿工在开采后几乎立即出售了所有的BTC，这给BTC的价格带来了压力。然而，以太坊质押者会长期锁定他们的 ETH，并因帮助保护网络安全而获得奖励。

Hougan further noted that around 28% of Ether’s total supply is already out of the market because it’s being staked or used in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols. Hougan said that this leaves only 72% of ETH in the market that traders can buy or sell.

Hougan 进一步指出，以太坊总供应量的约 28% 已经退出市场，因为它被质押或用于去中心化金融 (DeFi) 协议。 Hougan 表示，这使得市场上交易者可以买卖的 ETH 只剩下 72%。

$3,500 remains a formidable resistance for ETH

3,500 美元仍然是 ETH 的强大阻力

However, Ether futures suggest that there is little confidence in the chance of Ether breaking above the $4,000 mark in the short term, as the $3,500 mark remains a significant resistance zone.

然而，以太坊期货表明，人们对以太坊短期内突破 4,000 美元大关的机会信心不大，因为 3,500 美元大关仍然是一个重要的阻力区域。

Ether’s relative strength index (RSI) on the dailyの時間枠 also suggests that Ether’s price needs to cool down before rallying to a new all-time high. On the daily chart, Ether’s RSI rose to 58, indicating that the asset is not yet overbought but is trading above its fair value, according to TradingView data.

以太币每日的相对强弱指数（RSI）也表明，以太币的价格在反弹至新的历史高点之前需要冷却。根据 TradingView 的数据，日线图上，以太坊的 RSI 升至 58，表明该资产尚未超买，但交易价格高于其公允价值。

The RSI is a popular momentum indicator used to measure whether an asset is oversold or overbought based on the magnitude of recent price changes.

RSI 是一种流行的动量指标，用于根据近期价格变化的幅度来衡量资产是否超卖或超买。

After hitting a new all-time high, Ether fiyatı could face difficulties in rising further because of the resistance at the $4,000 level, according to crypto analyst Josh Lipton.

加密货币分析师 Josh Lipton 表示，在创下历史新高后，由于 4,000 美元水平的阻力，以太坊可能会面临进一步上涨的困难。

Lipton stated in a July 19 X post that Ether futures are indicating that there is little confidence in the chance of ETH breaking above the $4,000 mark in the short term. The analyst noted that the futures are showing that there is a higher chance of ETH falling below the $3,000 mark.

Lipton 在 7 月 19 日的帖子中表示，以太坊期货表明，人们对 ETH 短期内突破 4000 美元大关的机会信心不大。该分析师指出，期货显示 ETH 跌破 3000 美元大关的可能性更大。

Lipton also stated that Ether’s price could see a sell-the-news event after the initial ETF launch before starting its sustained rally toward new all-time highs.

Lipton 还表示，在 ETF 首次推出后，以太坊价格可能会出现抛售新闻事件，然后开始持续上涨并创出新的历史高点。

Kan told Cointelegraph that the initial hype around the ETF could lead to a sell-the-news event for ETH fiyatı in the short term. However, Kan said that ETH’s price will be able to climb in a more sustained manner after the initial shakeout.

Kan 告诉 Cointelegraph，围绕 ETF 的最初炒作可能会导致短期内 ETH fiyatı 出现抛售新闻事件。不过，Kan 表示，在最初的震荡之后，ETH 的价格将能够以更持续的方式攀升。

Kan further stated that the Ether ETFs could also help propel ETH to new all-time highs in the long term. Kan said:

Kan 进一步表示，从长远来看，以太 ETF 还可能有助于推动 ETH 创下历史新高。阚说：

Other analysts expect the Ether ETF to have wider ramifications on the altcoin market. For instance, popular crypto trader Mikybull expects the ETFs to catalyze the next altcoin bull market cycle.

其他分析师预计 Ether ETF 将对山寨币市场产生更广泛的影响。例如，受欢迎的加密货币交易商 Mikybull 预计 ETF 将催化下一个山寨币牛市周期。

The trader stated in a July 19 X post that the ETFs could lead to a massive inflow of new capital into the crypto market, which could push BTC to new all-time highs and catalyze the next altcoin bull market.

该交易员在 7 月 19 日的帖子中表示，ETF 可能会导致新资本大量流入加密货币市场，这可能推动 BTC 创下历史新高，并催化下一个山寨币牛市。

ETH’s price rallied over 11% during the past week, but ETH is still trading 29% below its old all-time high of $4,890 reached in November 2021.

过去一周，ETH 的价格上涨了 11% 以上，但 ETH 的交易价格仍比 2021 年 11 月创下的历史高点 4,890 美元低 29%。