Dogecoin看到混合信號。模因硬幣是否準備好反彈，還是只是一廂情願的尾巴？讓我們深入了解支持水平並開放興趣。

Dogecoin's Wild Ride: Support Levels and Open Interest Under the Microscope

Dogecoin的野外騎行：在顯微鏡下的支持水平和開放興趣

Dogecoin, the original meme coin, has had its ups and downs. Recent market activity has left investors wondering: is a rebound on the horizon, or are we just seeing a dead cat bounce? Let's dig into the critical support levels and open interest (OI) to sniff out what's really going on.

原始的模因硬幣Dogecoin跌倒了。最近的市場活動使投資者想知道：反彈是在地平線上，還是我們只是看到一隻死貓反彈？讓我們深入了解關鍵的支持水平和開放興趣（OI），以嗅探真正發生的事情。

Dogecoin's June Swoon and Potential Rebound

Dogecoin的June Swoon和潛在的反彈

June wasn't exactly a walk in the park for Dogecoin. Selling pressure caused a nearly 30% drop in value. But don't bury your bones just yet! Technical indicators and macroeconomic reports suggest a possible shift in sentiment as we head into July. Buyers might just be shaking off the June blues.

六月並不是在公園散步Dogecoin。銷售壓力導致價值下降了近30％。但是，不要掩埋你的骨頭！技術指標和宏觀經濟報告表明，隨著我們進入七月，情緒可能會轉變。買家可能只是搖搖欲墜。

Currently, Dogecoin is hovering around $0.1628, down slightly over the last 24 hours. However, a 13.14% rise between June 23–24 offered a glimmer of hope. While it's not a full-blown bullish party, it's enough to soften the weekly losses. Still, year-to-date, Dogecoin is down nearly 50%, close to pre-November 2024 levels.

目前，Dogecoin在過去24小時內徘徊在0.1628美元左右，略有下降。但是，6月23日至24日之間有13.14％的增長給人們帶來了巨大的希望。雖然這不是一個成熟的看漲派對，但足以減輕每週的損失。儘管如此，年初至今，Dogecoin下跌了近50％，接近2024年11月之前的水平。

ETF Hopes and On-Chain Sentiment

ETF希望和鍊鍊情緒

There's buzz about potential Dogecoin ETFs. Bitwise, a major crypto asset management firm, recently updated its SEC filings for a spot Dogecoin ETF. While no Dogecoin ETF has been approved yet, Bitwise's move is seen as a positive sign, especially with the inclusion of in-kind creation and redemption mechanisms.

關於潛在的Dogecoin ETF的嗡嗡聲。一家主要的加密資產管理公司Bitwise，最近更新了其SEC申請dogecoin ETF。儘管尚未批准Dogecoin ETF，但Bitwise的舉動被視為一個積極的跡象，尤其是在包括實物創造和救贖機制的情況下。

On-chain sentiment offers cautious optimism. Funding rates are modestly positive, with the OI-weighted funding rate for DOGE at +0.0046% as of June 26. This means traders betting on price increases are paying a small fee to those betting against it. It suggests a slight inclination towards a rebound, with short-term sentiment leaning mildly bullish. Buyers are gradually regaining confidence without excessive leverage, which is generally a healthier setup for potential price recovery.

鏈上的情緒提供了謹慎的樂觀。籌資率適度為正，截至6月26日，Doge的OI加權籌資率為 +0.0046％。這意味著交易者下注的價格上漲是為那些賭注的人支付的費用很小。它表明對反彈有輕微的傾向，短期情緒傾向於看漲。買家逐漸重新獲得信心而沒有過多的槓桿作用，這通常是對潛在價格恢復的更健康的設置。

Key Support Levels and Technical Indicators

關鍵支持水平和技術指標

Dogecoin is approaching a 2-year-long trend bottom, a zone that has historically triggered downward rejection since October 2023. The June 23rd surge was a direct result of a rejection from this zone. This suggests Dogecoin might gain some momentum in the short term as it tests this significant support region again.

Dogecoin接近了2年的趨勢底部，該區域自2023年10月以來一直在歷史上觸發下降。這表明Dogecoin在短期內可能會獲得一些動力，因為它再次測試了這個重要的支持區域。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 37, just above oversold territory. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a potential reversal as moving averages converge, hinting at a possible bullish crossover. While consolidation is likely in the short term, buying strength may gradually return, setting the stage for a potential mid-term rally if conditions remain favorable.

相對強度指數（RSI）目前為37，剛出售領土。移動平均收斂差異（MACD）顯示出潛在的逆轉，因為移動平均融合，暗示了可能的看漲跨界。儘管合併可能在短期內，但購買強度可能會逐漸返回，如果條件仍然有利，為潛在的中期集會奠定了基礎。

The next possible resistance zone is around $0.1720 (a 7% increase), while the price could find support at $0.1480 (a ~6.9% decrease).

下一個可能的電阻區約為0.1720美元（增長7％），而價格可能會在0.1480美元（下降約6.9％）的支持下找到。

Trader Tardigrade's Bullish Outlook

Trader Tardigrade的看漲前景

Adding fuel to the fire, technical expert Trader Tardigrade has spotted a hidden Bullish Divergence on Dogecoin's 1-hour chart. This, along with the meme coin's ascending trend line forming since September 2023, suggests a potential massive upsurge. Past trend lines have led to significant rallies, and Tardigrade believes Dogecoin could revisit its all-time high of $0.73.

技術專家交易員Tardigrade為火災增加了燃料，發現了Dogecoin的1小時圖表中隱藏的看漲差異。這是自2023年9月以來的模因硬幣的上升趨勢線的形成，這表明潛在的大規模上漲。過去的趨勢線導致了大量的集會，Tardigrade認為，Dogecoin可以重新審視其歷史最高高點0.73美元。

Open Interest and Skepticism

開放興趣和懷疑

Despite the potential for a rally, open interest (OI) tells a slightly different story. HBAR (another crypto) has seen its OI drop by nearly $80 million over the last two weeks, signaling rising skepticism among traders. While this data refers to HBAR and not Dogecoin, it highlights the caution prevailing in the broader crypto market, and decreased OI often adds to bearish sentiment. Traders pulling funds from HBAR indicates the caution prevailing in the market.

儘管有可能進行集會，但開放興趣（OI）講述了一個略有不同的故事。 HBAR（另一個加密貨幣）在過去的兩週內看到其OI下降了近8000萬美元，這表明交易者的懷疑息息相關。儘管此數據是指HBAR而不是Dogecoin，但它突出了更廣泛的加密貨幣市場中普遍存在的謹慎，而OI的減少通常會增加看跌的情緒。交易者從HBAR中撤出資金表明市場上的謹慎態度。

Final Thoughts: To the Moon or Back to the Doghouse?

最終想法：月球還是回到狗屋？

Dogecoin's future is a mixed bag of technical signals, ETF hopes, and cautious market sentiment. While there are reasons to be optimistic, particularly around key support levels and potential bullish patterns, the overall market caution can’t be ignored. Keep an eye on those support levels, watch for ETF developments, and maybe, just maybe, Dogecoin will surprise us all. Either way, it's sure to be an interesting ride. So, buckle up, fellow Dogecoin enthusiasts, and let's see where this meme coin takes us next!

Dogecoin的未來是一袋技術信號，ETF希望和謹慎的市場情緒。儘管有一些樂觀的理由，尤其是在關鍵支持水平和潛在的看漲模式周圍，但總體市場的警告不容忽視。密切關注這些支持水平，注意ETF的發展，也許，也許，Dogecoin會讓我們所有人感到驚訝。無論哪種方式，這肯定是一個有趣的旅程。因此，搭扣，Dogecoin愛好者的愛好者，讓我們看看這個模因硬幣將我們接下來帶我們到哪裡！