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Dogecoin看到混合信号。模因硬币是否准备好反弹,还是只是一厢情愿的尾巴?让我们深入了解支持水平并开放兴趣。
Dogecoin's Wild Ride: Support Levels and Open Interest Under the Microscope
Dogecoin的野外骑行:在显微镜下的支持水平和开放兴趣
Dogecoin, the original meme coin, has had its ups and downs. Recent market activity has left investors wondering: is a rebound on the horizon, or are we just seeing a dead cat bounce? Let's dig into the critical support levels and open interest (OI) to sniff out what's really going on.
原始的模因硬币Dogecoin跌倒了。最近的市场活动使投资者想知道:反弹是在地平线上,还是我们只是看到一只死猫反弹?让我们深入了解关键的支持水平和开放兴趣(OI),以嗅探真正发生的事情。
Dogecoin's June Swoon and Potential Rebound
Dogecoin的June Swoon和潜在的反弹
June wasn't exactly a walk in the park for Dogecoin. Selling pressure caused a nearly 30% drop in value. But don't bury your bones just yet! Technical indicators and macroeconomic reports suggest a possible shift in sentiment as we head into July. Buyers might just be shaking off the June blues.
六月并不是在公园散步Dogecoin。销售压力导致价值下降了近30%。但是,不要掩埋你的骨头!技术指标和宏观经济报告表明,随着我们进入七月,情绪可能会转变。买家可能只是摇摇欲坠。
Currently, Dogecoin is hovering around $0.1628, down slightly over the last 24 hours. However, a 13.14% rise between June 23–24 offered a glimmer of hope. While it's not a full-blown bullish party, it's enough to soften the weekly losses. Still, year-to-date, Dogecoin is down nearly 50%, close to pre-November 2024 levels.
目前,Dogecoin在过去24小时内徘徊在0.1628美元左右,略有下降。但是,6月23日至24日之间有13.14%的增长给人们带来了巨大的希望。虽然这不是一个成熟的看涨派对,但足以减轻每周的损失。尽管如此,年初至今,Dogecoin下跌了近50%,接近2024年11月之前的水平。
ETF Hopes and On-Chain Sentiment
ETF希望和链链情绪
There's buzz about potential Dogecoin ETFs. Bitwise, a major crypto asset management firm, recently updated its SEC filings for a spot Dogecoin ETF. While no Dogecoin ETF has been approved yet, Bitwise's move is seen as a positive sign, especially with the inclusion of in-kind creation and redemption mechanisms.
关于潜在的Dogecoin ETF的嗡嗡声。一家主要的加密资产管理公司Bitwise,最近更新了其SEC申请dogecoin ETF。尽管尚未批准Dogecoin ETF,但Bitwise的举动被视为一个积极的迹象,尤其是在包括实物创造和救赎机制的情况下。
On-chain sentiment offers cautious optimism. Funding rates are modestly positive, with the OI-weighted funding rate for DOGE at +0.0046% as of June 26. This means traders betting on price increases are paying a small fee to those betting against it. It suggests a slight inclination towards a rebound, with short-term sentiment leaning mildly bullish. Buyers are gradually regaining confidence without excessive leverage, which is generally a healthier setup for potential price recovery.
链上的情绪提供了谨慎的乐观。筹资率适度为正,截至6月26日,Doge的OI加权筹资率为 +0.0046%。这意味着交易者下注的价格上涨是为那些赌注的人支付的费用很小。它表明对反弹有轻微的倾向,短期情绪倾向于看涨。买家逐渐重新获得信心而没有过多的杠杆作用,这通常是对潜在价格恢复的更健康的设置。
Key Support Levels and Technical Indicators
关键支持水平和技术指标
Dogecoin is approaching a 2-year-long trend bottom, a zone that has historically triggered downward rejection since October 2023. The June 23rd surge was a direct result of a rejection from this zone. This suggests Dogecoin might gain some momentum in the short term as it tests this significant support region again.
Dogecoin接近了2年的趋势底部,该区域自2023年10月以来一直在历史上触发下降。这表明Dogecoin在短期内可能会获得一些动力,因为它再次测试了这个重要的支持区域。
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 37, just above oversold territory. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a potential reversal as moving averages converge, hinting at a possible bullish crossover. While consolidation is likely in the short term, buying strength may gradually return, setting the stage for a potential mid-term rally if conditions remain favorable.
相对强度指数(RSI)目前为37,刚出售领土。移动平均收敛差异(MACD)显示出潜在的逆转,因为移动平均融合,暗示了可能的看涨跨界。尽管合并可能在短期内,但购买强度可能会逐渐返回,如果条件仍然有利,为潜在的中期集会奠定了基础。
The next possible resistance zone is around $0.1720 (a 7% increase), while the price could find support at $0.1480 (a ~6.9% decrease).
下一个可能的电阻区约为0.1720美元(增长7%),而价格可能会在0.1480美元(下降约6.9%)的支持下找到。
Trader Tardigrade's Bullish Outlook
Trader Tardigrade的看涨前景
Adding fuel to the fire, technical expert Trader Tardigrade has spotted a hidden Bullish Divergence on Dogecoin's 1-hour chart. This, along with the meme coin's ascending trend line forming since September 2023, suggests a potential massive upsurge. Past trend lines have led to significant rallies, and Tardigrade believes Dogecoin could revisit its all-time high of $0.73.
技术专家交易员Tardigrade为火灾增加了燃料,发现了Dogecoin的1小时图表中隐藏的看涨差异。这是自2023年9月以来的模因硬币的上升趋势线的形成,这表明潜在的大规模上涨。过去的趋势线导致了大量的集会,Tardigrade认为,Dogecoin可以重新审视其历史最高高点0.73美元。
Open Interest and Skepticism
开放兴趣和怀疑
Despite the potential for a rally, open interest (OI) tells a slightly different story. HBAR (another crypto) has seen its OI drop by nearly $80 million over the last two weeks, signaling rising skepticism among traders. While this data refers to HBAR and not Dogecoin, it highlights the caution prevailing in the broader crypto market, and decreased OI often adds to bearish sentiment. Traders pulling funds from HBAR indicates the caution prevailing in the market.
尽管有可能进行集会,但开放兴趣(OI)讲述了一个略有不同的故事。 HBAR(另一个加密货币)在过去的两周内看到其OI下降了近8000万美元,这表明交易者的怀疑息息相关。尽管此数据是指HBAR而不是Dogecoin,但它突出了更广泛的加密货币市场中普遍存在的谨慎,而OI的减少通常会增加看跌的情绪。交易者从HBAR中撤出资金表明市场上的谨慎态度。
Final Thoughts: To the Moon or Back to the Doghouse?
最终想法:月球还是回到狗屋?
Dogecoin's future is a mixed bag of technical signals, ETF hopes, and cautious market sentiment. While there are reasons to be optimistic, particularly around key support levels and potential bullish patterns, the overall market caution can’t be ignored. Keep an eye on those support levels, watch for ETF developments, and maybe, just maybe, Dogecoin will surprise us all. Either way, it's sure to be an interesting ride. So, buckle up, fellow Dogecoin enthusiasts, and let's see where this meme coin takes us next!
Dogecoin的未来是一袋技术信号,ETF希望和谨慎的市场情绪。尽管有一些乐观的理由,尤其是在关键支持水平和潜在的看涨模式周围,但总体市场的警告不容忽视。密切关注这些支持水平,注意ETF的发展,也许,也许,Dogecoin会让我们所有人感到惊讶。无论哪种方式,这肯定是一个有趣的旅程。因此,搭扣,Dogecoin爱好者的爱好者,让我们看看这个模因硬币将我们接下来带我们到哪里!
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