Dogecoin（Doge）花了近三年的時間整合了。現在，技術指標表明可能會發生突破。

Dogecoin在其2021年的價格峰值之後花費了將近三年的整合。現在，技術指標表明，流行的模因硬幣可能有望進行重大突破。

Dogecoin price has spent nearly three years consolidating after its 2021 price peak. Now, technical indicators suggest the popular meme coin may be poised for a major breakout.

Dogecoin Price在其2021年的價格峰值之後花費了將近三年的整合。現在，技術指標表明，流行的模因硬幣可能有望進行重大突破。

Analyst Maelius has spotted promising signs for DOGE on the weekly chart.

分析師Maelius在每週圖表上發現了Doge的有希望的跡象。

The DOGE/USDT pair on Binance is currently printing a weekly candle at $0.1828, up 7.2% for the week. Two key moving averages frame the current structure: the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA-50) at $0.203 and the rising 200-week EMA at $0.138.

Doge/USDT對Binance目前正在打印每週的蠟燭為0.1828美元，一周增長了7.2％。兩個關鍵的移動平均值框架當前結構：50週的指數移動平均線（EMA-50）為0.203美元，上升的200週EMA為0.138美元。

Price briefly dipped below the EMA-50 earlier this year. However, it never lost the EMA-200, which now sits inside a broad demand zone ranging from approximately $0.11 to $0.20.

今年早些時候，價格短暫下降到EMA-50。但是，它從未丟失EMA-200，現在位於大約0.11美元至0.20美元之間的廣泛需求區域內。

An ascending trend-line connecting the October 2023, August 2024, and April 2025 swing-lows provides additional support. The most recent pullback bounced almost precisely at the intersection of this diagonal with the EMA-200 and the lower edge of the demand zone.

連接2023年10月，2024年8月和2025年4月的趨勢線的上升趨勢線提供了額外的支持。最近的回調幾乎恰恰在該對角線與EMA-200和需求區的下邊緣的交點上彈跳。

This area of triple confluence is often viewed by technical analysts as an ideal launching point for the next advance.

技術分析師通常將這個三重匯合處視為下一個進步的理想發射點。

Elliott Wave Projection

Elliott Wave投影

Maelius bases his analysis on a nested Elliott Wave count. The pattern shows a “1-2, 1-2” sequence that began with a move to $0.2288 in March 2024, retraced to $0.0805 in August, then rallied to nearly $0.4843 in December before correcting to $0.1298 in April 2025.

Maelius將他的分析基於嵌套的Elliott Wave數量。該模式顯示了一個“ 1-2，1-2”序列，最初是在2024年3月提升至0.2288美元的$ 0.2288，在8月回落至0.0805美元，然後在12月的12月升至近0.4843美元，然後在2025年4月糾正至0.1298美元。

In Elliott Wave theory, consecutive 1-2 structures often precede a powerful third wave. Maelius projects DOGE to reach approximately $1 during this third wave.

在Elliott Wave理論中，連續的1-2結構通常在強大的第三波之前。 Maelius項目的Doge在第三波浪潮中達到約1美元。

After this move, he forecasts a fourth-wave correction below $0.70, followed by a fifth wave potentially reaching between $1.30 and $1.70.

此舉之後，他預測了低於$ 0.70的第四波更正，其次是第五波可能達到1.30美元至1.70美元之間的第五波。

"Respecting major demand area, EMA200 as well as diagonal support and it seems like 1,2,1,2 is completed and now we head for 3rd EW (within larger 3rd),

“尊重主要需求區域，EMA200和對角線支撐，似乎已經完成了1,2,1,2

1W WTO just made a bullish cross for the first time since August. Histogram also went from deep red to neutral gray, mirroring transitions that preceeded prior strong advances in $DOGE. "

自八月以來，1W WTO剛剛第一次看漲。直方圖也從深紅色變為中性灰色，反映了$ DOGE先前強勁進步的過渡。 “

The WaveTrend Oscillator (WTO) has just produced a bullish cross on the weekly timeframe, the first such signal since August 2024. The histogram has shifted from deep red to neutral gray, mirroring transitions that preceeded previous strong advances in Dogecoin's price.

Wavetrend振盪器（WTO）剛剛在每週的時間範圍內產生了一個看漲的十字架，這是自2024年8月以來的第一個信號。直方圖已從深紅色轉變為中性灰色，反映了先前在Dogecoin價格的強勁進步之前的過渡。

As the saying goes, "triple top, triple bottom."

俗話說：“三重頂，三重底部”。

Dogecoin is currently holding a multi-year demand block, trading above its 200-week EMA, and testing its 50-week EMA while showing fresh bullish momentum- all signs that bode well for the meme coin in the long term.

Dogecoin目前擁有多年的需求障礙，超過了200週的EMA，並測試了50週的EMA，同時表現出新鮮的看漲勢頭 - 從長遠來看，所有兆頭都很好。

Macro Factors Driving Recent Gains

宏觀因素推動了最近的收益

Dogecoin has surged over 4% in the past 24 hours following the US Federal Reserve's decision to maintain current interest rates.

在美國美聯儲決定維持當前利率的決定後，在過去的24小時內，多黴素飆升了4％以上。

While rate holds typically exert pressure on crypto assets, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments concerning the US economic outlook and the potential for Trump's tariffs to dampen the recovery have provided much-needed clarity for the market.

雖然利率通常會對加密貨幣資產施加壓力，但美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）關於美國經濟前景的評論以及特朗普對削弱復甦的關稅的潛力為市場提供了急需的清晰度。

Powell stated that the US economy was in a good position with inflation decreasing. He highlighted Trump's tariffs as the primary concern that led to the decision to keep rates steady.

鮑威爾說，美國經濟處於良好狀態，通貨膨脹率下降。他強調，特朗普的關稅是導致決定穩定的決定的主要關注點。

Interestingly, uncertainties regarding tariffs have become a bullish factor for crypto assets like Dogecoin. Last week, Bitcoin soared to nearly $97,000 amid these worries, and DOGE seems poised for its own surge.

有趣的是，關於關稅的不確定性已成為像Dogecoin這樣的加密資產的看漲因素。上週，在這些擔憂的情況下，比特幣飆升至近97,000美元，而Doge似乎有了自己的激增。

The upcoming US-China trade talks, set to begin on May 10, are also expected to influence crypto prices. The two economic powers have imposed substantial tariffs on each other's goods, creating tension in the markets. However, the hope for an agreement between the countries has contributed to the positive sentiment for meme coins and the broader crypto market.

即將於5月10日開始的即將開始的美國 - 中國貿易談判也有望影響加密價格。這兩個經濟大國對彼此的商品徵收了重大關稅，在市場上造成了緊張局勢。但是，兩國之間達成協議的希望促成了對模因硬幣和更廣泛的加密市場的積極情緒。

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's announcement that the US could soon reach trade agreements with 17 key trading partners has further brightened the outlook for the global economy and financial markets.

美國財政部長斯科特·貝森特（Scott Bessent）宣布，美國可能很快就可以與17個主要貿易夥伴達成貿易協定，從而進一步使對全球經濟和金融市場的前景更加明顯。