Dogecoin（Doge）花了近三年的时间整合了。现在，技术指标表明可能会发生突破。

Dogecoin在其2021年的价格峰值之后花费了将近三年的整合。现在，技术指标表明，流行的模因硬币可能有望进行重大突破。

Dogecoin price has spent nearly three years consolidating after its 2021 price peak. Now, technical indicators suggest the popular meme coin may be poised for a major breakout.

Dogecoin Price在其2021年的价格峰值之后花费了将近三年的整合。现在，技术指标表明，流行的模因硬币可能有望进行重大突破。

Analyst Maelius has spotted promising signs for DOGE on the weekly chart.

分析师Maelius在每周图表上发现了Doge的有希望的迹象。

The DOGE/USDT pair on Binance is currently printing a weekly candle at $0.1828, up 7.2% for the week. Two key moving averages frame the current structure: the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA-50) at $0.203 and the rising 200-week EMA at $0.138.

Doge/USDT对Binance目前正在打印每周的蜡烛为0.1828美元，一周增长了7.2％。两个关键的移动平均值框架当前结构：50周的指数移动平均线（EMA-50）为0.203美元，上升的200周EMA为0.138美元。

Price briefly dipped below the EMA-50 earlier this year. However, it never lost the EMA-200, which now sits inside a broad demand zone ranging from approximately $0.11 to $0.20.

今年早些时候，价格短暂下降到EMA-50。但是，它从未丢失EMA-200，现在位于大约0.11美元至0.20美元之间的广泛需求区域内。

An ascending trend-line connecting the October 2023, August 2024, and April 2025 swing-lows provides additional support. The most recent pullback bounced almost precisely at the intersection of this diagonal with the EMA-200 and the lower edge of the demand zone.

连接2023年10月，2024年8月和2025年4月的趋势线的上升趋势线提供了额外的支持。最近的回调几乎恰恰在该对角线与EMA-200和需求区的下边缘的交点上弹跳。

This area of triple confluence is often viewed by technical analysts as an ideal launching point for the next advance.

技术分析师通常将这个三重汇合处视为下一个进步的理想发射点。

Elliott Wave Projection

Elliott Wave投影

Maelius bases his analysis on a nested Elliott Wave count. The pattern shows a “1-2, 1-2” sequence that began with a move to $0.2288 in March 2024, retraced to $0.0805 in August, then rallied to nearly $0.4843 in December before correcting to $0.1298 in April 2025.

Maelius将他的分析基于嵌套的Elliott Wave数量。该模式显示了一个“ 1-2，1-2”序列，最初是在2024年3月提升至0.2288美元的$ 0.2288，在8月回落至0.0805美元，然后在12月的12月升至近0.4843美元，然后在2025年4月纠正至0.1298美元。

In Elliott Wave theory, consecutive 1-2 structures often precede a powerful third wave. Maelius projects DOGE to reach approximately $1 during this third wave.

在Elliott Wave理论中，连续的1-2结构通常在强大的第三波之前。 Maelius项目的Doge在第三波浪潮中达到约1美元。

After this move, he forecasts a fourth-wave correction below $0.70, followed by a fifth wave potentially reaching between $1.30 and $1.70.

此举之后，他预测了低于$ 0.70的第四波更正，其次是第五波可能达到1.30美元至1.70美元之间的第五波。

"Respecting major demand area, EMA200 as well as diagonal support and it seems like 1,2,1,2 is completed and now we head for 3rd EW (within larger 3rd),

“尊重主要需求区域，EMA200和对角线支撑，似乎已经完成了1,2,1,2

1W WTO just made a bullish cross for the first time since August. Histogram also went from deep red to neutral gray, mirroring transitions that preceeded prior strong advances in $DOGE. "

自八月以来，1W WTO刚刚第一次看涨。直方图也从深红色变为中性灰色，反映了$ DOGE先前强劲进步的过渡。 “

The WaveTrend Oscillator (WTO) has just produced a bullish cross on the weekly timeframe, the first such signal since August 2024. The histogram has shifted from deep red to neutral gray, mirroring transitions that preceeded previous strong advances in Dogecoin's price.

Wavetrend振荡器（WTO）刚刚在每周的时间范围内产生了一个看涨的十字架，这是自2024年8月以来的第一个信号。直方图已从深红色转变为中性灰色，反映了先前在Dogecoin价格的强劲进步之前的过渡。

As the saying goes, "triple top, triple bottom."

俗话说：“三重顶，三重底部”。

Dogecoin is currently holding a multi-year demand block, trading above its 200-week EMA, and testing its 50-week EMA while showing fresh bullish momentum- all signs that bode well for the meme coin in the long term.

Dogecoin目前拥有多年的需求障碍，超过了200周的EMA，并测试了50周的EMA，同时表现出新鲜的看涨势头 - 从长远来看，所有兆头都很好。

Macro Factors Driving Recent Gains

宏观因素推动了最近的收益

Dogecoin has surged over 4% in the past 24 hours following the US Federal Reserve's decision to maintain current interest rates.

在美国美联储决定维持当前利率的决定后，在过去的24小时内，多霉素飙升了4％以上。

While rate holds typically exert pressure on crypto assets, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments concerning the US economic outlook and the potential for Trump's tariffs to dampen the recovery have provided much-needed clarity for the market.

虽然利率通常会对加密货币资产施加压力，但美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）关于美国经济前景的评论以及特朗普对削弱复苏的关税的潜力为市场提供了急需的清晰度。

Powell stated that the US economy was in a good position with inflation decreasing. He highlighted Trump's tariffs as the primary concern that led to the decision to keep rates steady.

鲍威尔说，美国经济处于良好状态，通货膨胀率下降。他强调，特朗普的关税是导致决定稳定的决定的主要关注点。

Interestingly, uncertainties regarding tariffs have become a bullish factor for crypto assets like Dogecoin. Last week, Bitcoin soared to nearly $97,000 amid these worries, and DOGE seems poised for its own surge.

有趣的是，关于关税的不确定性已成为像Dogecoin这样的加密资产的看涨因素。上周，在这些担忧的情况下，比特币飙升至近97,000美元，而Doge似乎有了自己的激增。

The upcoming US-China trade talks, set to begin on May 10, are also expected to influence crypto prices. The two economic powers have imposed substantial tariffs on each other's goods, creating tension in the markets. However, the hope for an agreement between the countries has contributed to the positive sentiment for meme coins and the broader crypto market.

即将于5月10日开始的即将开始的美国 - 中国贸易谈判也有望影响加密价格。这两个经济大国对彼此的商品征收了重大关税，在市场上造成了紧张局势。但是，两国之间达成协议的希望促成了对模因硬币和更广泛的加密市场的积极情绪。

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's announcement that the US could soon reach trade agreements with 17 key trading partners has further brightened the outlook for the global economy and financial markets.

美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特（Scott Bessent）宣布，美国可能很快就可以与17个主要贸易伙伴达成贸易协定，从而进一步使对全球经济和金融市场的前景更加明显。